Ken Pomeroy's Big Ten Predictions the Rest of the Way

JonDMiller

JonDMiller

Publisher/Founder
Ken Pomeroy rest of way B1G Picks:
MI 8-0
IN 8-1
Iowa 6-2
MN 6-2
OSU 5-3
WI 4-3
MSU 4-4
ILL 3-6
NW 2-6
Purdue 1-7
Neb 1-7
PSU 0-8

That would make the B1G Standings look like:

1. Indiana 16-2
1. Michigan 16-2
3. Ohio State 12-6
4. Michigan State 12-6
5. Minnesota 11-7
5. Wisconsin 11-7
7. Iowa 9-9
8. Northwestern 6-12
8. Purdue 6-12
10. Illinois 5-13
11. Nebraska 3-15
12. Penn State 0-18
 
If that transpires for the Hawks and thats a big "IF". Then they will be squarely on the bubble, IMHO.
Win 2 games in the BTT and they are in for sure. Win one and selection Sunday is interesting. Win 0 and NIT 1 or 2 seed.
 
I don't buy it. IMO regardless of who we're playing, our offense isn't playing well enough to take a team out of the game and we have shown that we cannot come up with ways to win the close games. Until this team proves they can play both ends of the court when the game is on the line, I think 6-2 is a long shot. I hope that I'm wrong, but history says that we can't close out games so I don't see how suddenly it'll all get turned around.
 
PSU will get somebody and we struggled to hold them off at home. IN and MN are not winnable games and I would not bank on beating NE at their place. 5-3, 4-4 more realistic with Marble mired in his slump. With Marble scoring 13-15 ppg, I think 6-2 would be attainable.
 
kicker22 said:
I don't buy it. IMO regardless of who we're playing, our offense isn't playing well enough to take a team out of the game and we have shown that we cannot come up with ways to win the close games. Until this team proves they can play both ends of the court when the game is on the line, I think 6-2 is a long shot. I hope that I'm wrong, but history says that we can't close out games so I don't see how suddenly it'll all get turned around.
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I would agree with this. 6-2 is very generous. Is it possible?? Yes it is. Likely?? Probably not.
 
Even if KenPom's predictions play out, Iowa needs a signature win or two. It doesn't have that right now. What it does have are a couple lop-sided losses that will hurt.
 
kmajhawk said:
Even if KenPom's predictions play out, Iowa needs a signature win or two. It doesn't have that right now. What it does have are a couple lop-sided losses that will hurt.
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IF, big IF.
They follow the predictions

They'd be 20-11.
They'd get Illinois, NW or Purdue first round.
Then they'd get likely UM or IU.

They have to win two, so that would include a marquee win over the Hoosiers or Wolverines.

22-12 (assuming they lose in the semis) would be prob enough to get in based on 11-10 conf rec in the best conf in the land plus having a really good L10.

A lot of ifs though. A lot.

I don't know that 21-12 is enough unless they lose a close one in the quarters - a la losing to Wisc on a Alando Tucker 1/2 court heave
 
The thing is that a teams identity can be defined by how they finish games. There are teams that have been tested and found ways to win those close games in the last few possessions in which they get that little extra boost down the stretch because they've been successful in the past. But there are also those teams that continually find themselves on the losing ends of those games and are crippled by it based on the lack of success they've had in the past. Experienced teams tend to be stronger mentally, so my fear is that a younger team takes the "here we go again mindset".

Every minute that the "underdog" is allowed to stay in a game they get that much more dangerous. If you continually back a wounded animal into a corner and get closer and closer without finishing them off eventually they are going to strike. While we should be favored in all but two of the last eight games we still have to finish regardless of who we are up against. IMO the fact we struggle at finishing out the close games only fuels the opposition who may or may not have anything to lose.
 
Igothawked said:
If that transpires for the Hawks and thats a big "IF". Then they will be squarely on the bubble, IMHO.
Win 2 games in the BTT and they are in for sure. Win one and selection Sunday is interesting. Win 0 and NIT 1 or 2 seed.
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Let's just beat Northwestern and go from there. We will probably lose one of those we are supposed to win and I would give us a puncher's chance vs. Indiana even. If we can be in a position to beat Wiscy and Minny on the road it's conceivable we could be in the same position vs. Indiana (if we shoot well-a big if obviously).
 
Starts with NW. It won't be an easy game. We need to play with the same energy we displayed against Minnesota and Wisky on the road. Play hard, and we will win the game
 
tednugentfan said:
PSU will get somebody and we struggled to hold them off at home. IN and MN are not winnable games and I would not bank on beating NE at their place. 5-3, 4-4 more realistic with Marble mired in his slump. With Marble scoring 13-15 ppg, I think 6-2 would be attainable.
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Iowa blew the game in the barn, so now getting the Gophers at home isn't winnable? Do you try to sound stupid?
 
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