oregonhawkeye
Well-Known Member
I have said this before. A hard schedule like 2019 compared to an easy schedule like 2018 really only makes a difference of 1 game at best.
An easy schedule does not turn a 7-5 team into an 11-1 team, it turns it into an 8-4 team.
The main difference between 2018 and 2019 is Iowa plays Michigan instead of Maryland. Plus everybody they played at home in 2018, they play on the road instead in 2019, and vice versa. So looking at the 4 teams Iowa lost to in 2018, they will play @Wisc and @NW, but PSU and Purdue will be in Iowa City. Pretty much a wash. So again, the main difference in 2019 is Iowa is playing @Mich.
My take is the opposite. Switch out an easy win for a hard loss means more than one game in the standings. More big games like that create more negative momentum if you lose, more opportunity to let down if you win, more injuries.
It'd be great if we were just enough better than the rest of the schedule to go 9-3. Easy though to imagine a lot of tough losses and morale killers and ending 7-5.
SEC teams have cakewalks in the OOC for a reason.
And 2019's schedule is more than one game harder than 2018.