Iowa Seed?

barker91

Well-Known Member
I say they are staring at a 7 seed unless they make a run in the big10 tournament. This qualifies as an epic collapse. Projected 1 seed two weeks ago.
 
Doesn't matter. Anyone really afraid to draw the Hawks now?
 
Lunardi has us as a 4 before this loss. I don't think this loss is a killer RPI wise. Even a Michigan loss on the road isn't a huge deal. One in the big 10 tournament would be bad, to a bad team. We got punished for collapsing two years ago so that will probably cost us a seed (even though they say it isn't supposed to it clearly did 2 years ago, we should really have been in the play in game). Lose out I think a 7 just because we'd probably still have a 6 seed resume and they'll punish us for the collapse.

It's weird to be a lock for the tourny and be ****** as **** and have no enthusiasm for the tournament game.
 
They were outplayed by a winless Minnesota team two weeks ago at home . Had they lost that game, they'd be on the bubble right now. Unbelievable collapse for a senior dominated team.
 
They were outplayed by a winless Minnesota team two weeks ago at home . Had they lost that game, they'd be on the bubble right now. Unbelievable collapse for a senior dominated team.

Again, they are probably a 5 seed at this moment. One loss doesn't put you from a 5 seed to the bubble. This collapse sucks *** and we shouldn't even be thinking 6-7 seed but they'd be nowhere near the bubble.
 
If they lose out, I think they're a 10, and I wouldn't be that surprised if the committee made an example of them and put them in the play-in round. Losing six straight and two of those to terrible teams does not sound like an NCAA team to me.
 
With the freshmen stepping up the way they did today. Add into that a healthy Peter Jok after he recovers from his illness. I think Iowa beats Michigan and makes a deep big 10 tournament run. This can push Iowa back up to 4.
 
Lets pretend right now Iowa is a 6 seed...as Jerry Palm just now moved them down to. They lose @michigan, an RPI top 60 team. That doesn't hurt much. They go to the BTT as a 6 or 7 seed and face either Penn State or Northwestern, that costs them a seed.

Its CRITICAL to remember that every single team except for about 10 will finish their NCAA resume with a loss because of their conference tournaments. Some of those will be bad losses some of them won't hurt one bit, but 95% of all teams lose before the NCAA tournament

To think Iowa could get a 9 or a 10 seed is pure madness and overreaction.
 
We have to lose a Thursday game in the BTT to have any chance of falling below a 6 IMO. Beat Michigan and win the Big 10 Tournament and we could get as high as a 2 IMO. I think we will end up being a 4 or 5...big difference if the goal is playing 2 games in Des Moines. We have to be a 4 for preferential treatment related to geography.
 
We have to lose a Thursday game in the BTT to have any chance of falling below a 6 IMO. Beat Michigan and win the Big 10 Tournament and we could get as high as a 2 IMO. I think we will end up being a 4 or 5...big difference if the goal is playing 2 games in Des Moines. We have to be a 4 for preferential treatment related to geography.
I am not being sarcastic, I really do appreciate your optimism. I wish I could be more like that. I see us on the 7 line.
 
We have to lose a Thursday game in the BTT to have any chance of falling below a 6 IMO. Beat Michigan and win the Big 10 Tournament and we could get as high as a 2 IMO. I think we will end up being a 4 or 5...big difference if the goal is playing 2 games in Des Moines. We have to be a 4 for preferential treatment related to geography.

I think that's probably true. If that happens, maybe a 7..

IMO, 3 seed is our ceiling now. IIRC, the 2005-06 team was right around the 4-5 seed range at this point of the year, they won the BTT, and got a 3. So I guess I'll use that scenario as basis for our best case this year. I suppose it would depend on the path to the BTT title, though. If they have to beat 2-3 of the best teams in the conference to get there, then that would help.
 
I think that's probably true. If that happens, maybe a 7..

IMO, 3 seed is our ceiling now. IIRC, the 2005-06 team was right around the 4-5 seed range at this point of the year, they won the BTT, and got a 3. So I guess I'll use that scenario as basis for our best case this year. I suppose it would depend on the path to the BTT title, though. If they have to beat 2-3 of the best teams in the conference to get there, then that would help.
If we could get a 3, sign me up right now, I'll take it.
 
I am not being sarcastic, I really do appreciate your optimism. I wish I could be more like that. I see us on the 7 line.

I'm really just going from research and projections. If anyone has us lower than a 6 I haven't seen it. Kenpom and Sagarin both have us ranked 17 and Louisville is ineligible so that projects to a 4. Our Real Time RPI is 27 with Louisville ahead of us. Average those 3 out and we're a 5.
 

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