Let me start by saying I am not by any means a fan of Northwestern, but after looking at their respective numbers compared to "bubble teams" I find it interested they are not still in consideration for a bubble spot. Below are the current RPI and SOS numbers based on ESPN (which I don't care for, but it was the easiest to locate RPI & SOS). I use these only because the selection committee uses these numbers. I think the eye test is better.
Considered Strongest to get in (Drexel vs. Miss. State for last spot):
Overall Record Conf. Record RPI SOS
Drexel 27-6 16-2 64 248
Mississippi State 21-11 8-8 73 87
South Florida 20-13 12-6 51 35
Seton Hall 20-12 8-10 61 57
NC State 22-12 9-7 46 22
Considered Out:
Washington 21-10 14-4 70 94
Iona 25-7 15-3 42 163
Miami (FL) 19-12 9-7 60 55
Ole Miss 20-13 8-8 57 52
Arizona 23-11 12-6 75 124
EDIT-LIKELY ON THE OUTSIDE LOOKING IN
Northwestern 18-13 8-10 53 15
Look at the numbers and tell me that Northwestern doesn't rank with the best among this admittedly average group of teams. Does the 7th place team from the strongest conference in the nation deserve a stronger look than this? Look at these losses: Ohio State 75-73, Michigan in OT 67-55, @Indiana 71-66, @Purdue 87-77, Purdue 58-56, @Michigan in OT 66-64, @Creighton 87-79. They did have some larger losses, but those losses are "quality" if there is such a thing. The only marginal losses are 2 against Minnesota who was 19-14 this year and Illinois who finished 17-15 and the loss against Illinois was when Illinois was playing better early in the year.
I think the Big Ten getting in 6 of 12 teams into the NCAA tourney in a year when they are the strongest conference in the country is ridiculous. Yes, Northwestern had a chance against Minnesota, but Minnesota is better than the many of the teams listed on the bubble above. Seton Hall is probably the best team to compare to...they are 5-10 down the stretch and have an 8-10 conference record and have a worse RPI and SOS.
The reason I even bring this up is that it also has implications for Iowa. Iowa was the #8 team in the strongest conference with a 9-11 (including tourney) record and seems to be at best a marginal NIT team.
I am very excited about the future of the Iowa program as most of use are, but I am really hoping for an NIT bid because it will serve as great experience for the returning players, but I have my concerns about Iowa even getting a bid based on where things seem to be based on what I read above. Northwestern getting an NCAA bid I believe would help Iowa get an NIT bid as I feel the NIT would want a Big Ten representative.
Considered Strongest to get in (Drexel vs. Miss. State for last spot):
Overall Record Conf. Record RPI SOS
Drexel 27-6 16-2 64 248
Mississippi State 21-11 8-8 73 87
South Florida 20-13 12-6 51 35
Seton Hall 20-12 8-10 61 57
NC State 22-12 9-7 46 22
Considered Out:
Washington 21-10 14-4 70 94
Iona 25-7 15-3 42 163
Miami (FL) 19-12 9-7 60 55
Ole Miss 20-13 8-8 57 52
Arizona 23-11 12-6 75 124
EDIT-LIKELY ON THE OUTSIDE LOOKING IN
Northwestern 18-13 8-10 53 15
Look at the numbers and tell me that Northwestern doesn't rank with the best among this admittedly average group of teams. Does the 7th place team from the strongest conference in the nation deserve a stronger look than this? Look at these losses: Ohio State 75-73, Michigan in OT 67-55, @Indiana 71-66, @Purdue 87-77, Purdue 58-56, @Michigan in OT 66-64, @Creighton 87-79. They did have some larger losses, but those losses are "quality" if there is such a thing. The only marginal losses are 2 against Minnesota who was 19-14 this year and Illinois who finished 17-15 and the loss against Illinois was when Illinois was playing better early in the year.
I think the Big Ten getting in 6 of 12 teams into the NCAA tourney in a year when they are the strongest conference in the country is ridiculous. Yes, Northwestern had a chance against Minnesota, but Minnesota is better than the many of the teams listed on the bubble above. Seton Hall is probably the best team to compare to...they are 5-10 down the stretch and have an 8-10 conference record and have a worse RPI and SOS.
The reason I even bring this up is that it also has implications for Iowa. Iowa was the #8 team in the strongest conference with a 9-11 (including tourney) record and seems to be at best a marginal NIT team.
I am very excited about the future of the Iowa program as most of use are, but I am really hoping for an NIT bid because it will serve as great experience for the returning players, but I have my concerns about Iowa even getting a bid based on where things seem to be based on what I read above. Northwestern getting an NCAA bid I believe would help Iowa get an NIT bid as I feel the NIT would want a Big Ten representative.
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