That was the first Robinson that popper into my head, too, until I watched the highlights.
Iowa Football Preview, Prediction: Hawkeyes Invade Michigan
- Thread starter RobHowe
- Start date
That was the first Robinson that popper into my head, too, until I watched the highlights.
RobHowe
Administrator
I'm really looking forward to this game. I think Iowa is the better team. I picked Michigan in close one because it's home and has the talent to put together a good game. No matter how it shakes out, we're going to get more answers about both of these teams that's hard to determine in the non-conference.
WinOneThisCentury
Well-Known Member
Rob did the ole "I'm taking Michigan because I'll look like a genius when they win...but if they do lose...it's all good because I want them to lose." This way...he's happy either way.
JoeyLabasForPresident
Well-Known Member
I don’t think head-to-head matchups are meaningful. I also don’t think that the total record of all opponents played is meaningful. I think your stat is just as meaningless as how each team played against Middle Tennessee and Rutgers.
True enough - we won't know anything till the pads pop Saturday.
ModebaSan
Well-Known Member
Iowa will run the ball, control the clock and TOP. We will limit the number of possessions so that Michigan will have to score on every possession to have a chance to win. When their safety’s come up to help support the run, we will hit our receivers up the middle. Parker is gonna unleash the hounds and blitz a lot to disrupt Patterson. When pressured, he will fumble or throw an errant pass. I like Iowa to spoil yet another homecoming for the Wolverines and put Harbaugh squarely in the hot seat. Iowa 31 Michigan 10
I put very little value in trends and statistics. What happened in 2016, 2009 or 1985 doesn't really matter to me. Also, you have to be very careful when looking at stats from playing overmatched teams.
What stands out to me when looking at possible mismatches is that Michigan is not as talented or experienced in the middle of their defense. You just can't fix that overnight. With our offensive line at full strength, look for us to hammer them repeatedly in the middle. We also have much better depth than them. It may be boring, but it will be effective. On the other side of the ball, our defensive line is better than their offensive line by a long ways and they don't have an above average back. We will make Patterson throw into zones, and some he will hit, but he will make some mistakes.
Unless we turn the ball over or let Michigan get a couple big plays like ISU, I think we dominate this game. Maybe not on the scoreboard, like a 24-10 kind of deal, but we own the 4th quarter and beat them up badly.
What stands out to me when looking at possible mismatches is that Michigan is not as talented or experienced in the middle of their defense. You just can't fix that overnight. With our offensive line at full strength, look for us to hammer them repeatedly in the middle. We also have much better depth than them. It may be boring, but it will be effective. On the other side of the ball, our defensive line is better than their offensive line by a long ways and they don't have an above average back. We will make Patterson throw into zones, and some he will hit, but he will make some mistakes.
Unless we turn the ball over or let Michigan get a couple big plays like ISU, I think we dominate this game. Maybe not on the scoreboard, like a 24-10 kind of deal, but we own the 4th quarter and beat them up badly.
Northside Hawk
Well-Known Member
He has yet to play big on the road in a B1G venue in a big game.
He put enough points on the board to win at Purdue last year but the secondary let him down.
He has won twice in Ames, is 2-0 in bowl games, and demolished tOSU in Kinnick.
His best conference road wins, to date, are probably Minnesota and Nebraska. That's not going to inspire a ton of confidence, so yeah, this is a biggie for him.
dahlhawk
Well-Known Member
I'm not gonna throw out those games because it says who you are to this point. Iowa went into a hostile environment against ISMoo and didn't rattle. I think the Clowns have as good a defense as Mishgin. I think Iowa plays well and unless Stanley decides it's a good time to throw his first Int's and our RB's start the T/O bug we win this one. I think the D-line is ready to lead the way in this game and stuff the run. I am scared of their wide receivers,. but the QB has to get it to them. I'm usually cautious with expectations but I'm gonna be bullish this week. I love the potential of this team along with it's veteran leadership.
HawkeyeDenis
Well-Known Member
i just watched the Mich-Rutgers game and if Michigan is saying they are on track I'm not seeing it. Lot of missed assignments. Lot on field coaching. Most of their rushing TDs were by the QB. Most of their TDs were through the air. Patterson can make some decent throws if he has time. Defensively they were rushing 4 sometimes 5 and using the LB/CB to blitz.
Iowa dominated MTU from the opening until the end. Michigan's blowout win over Rutgers was sloppy.
Iowa dominated MTU from the opening until the end. Michigan's blowout win over Rutgers was sloppy.
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RobHowe
Administrator
A plausible outcome and sound analysis. I’m picking against logic, to an extent.
NS has gotten away with some poor passes this season. I’m concerned that the law of averages evens out this week.
NikeHawk21
Well-Known Member
Mississippi State wasn’t a big game last year?
Ohio State wasn’t a big game two years ago?
NikeHawk21
Well-Known Member
Agreed. Rose from ISU dropped one and guy from MTSU dropped one last week.
The thing they say about turnovers is a lot of it is just chance. Yes you can be good at forcing them or protecting the ball to a degree, but over the long run they tend to trend back towards the mean for most teams.
I would imagine he is referring to games like Purdue in 2018 when there is a ton on the line and a win could have turned the entire season around. PSU in 2017 would be another example. Or NW 2018 as well. A win that leads to something. Like PSU 2009.
Mississippi State in a bowl game? Good win of course but what is was really at stake against the 7th best team in the SEC, probably not moving the dial all that much.
Ohio St in 2017 was great but again nothing was really on the line. Iowa had already lost 3 times. They caught Ohio St sleeping and punished them severely. It was a ton of fun. But it didn't lead to anything. They were crushed the very next week in Madison and pushed around the week after that by a mediocre Purdue team at home.
RobHowe
Administrator
Incorrect. I will not be happy driving all the way to Ann Arbor and back for a loss. And nothing will make me look like a genius.
Ree4
Well-Known Member
Yeah I think I saw a statistical study (uh oh) that showed turnovers are about 52% luck, can't remember where. There is a reason though that Iowa typically ends the season in the plus category for turnovers - not all luck.
NikeHawk21
Well-Known Member
I get it it’s a moving target that gets decided based on the narrative.
What about 5 TDs at Iowa State as a sophomore?
What about 14/23 for 256 Yards and 2TDs against Wisconsin last year when two special teams turnovers and our defense not being able to get off the field cost us the game?
I’ll agree this is a big game for Nate, he just needs to keep doing what he’s done so far this year. Spread the ball around make good decisions and pick up first downs.
