Iowa Football Preview, Prediction: Hawkeyes Invade Michigan

Michigan’s pass defense stat is a little misleading as Army and UW were both heavy run.

They have only seen pass plays 34.6% of the defensive plays which is 3rd lowest in the country.

They are allowing an opponent completion percentage of 67.4% which is #102 nationally.

Wisconsin had no need to throw the ball in a blowout and I’d imagine Iowa is the best passing offense they’ve seen to date. Michigan definitely has talent in the secondary though.
 
28-23 Iowa
Michigan’s pass defense stat is a little misleading as Army and UW were both heavy run.

They have only seen pass plays 34.6% of the defensive plays which is 3rd lowest in the country.

They are allowing an opponent completion percentage of 67.4% which is #102 nationally.

Wisconsin had no need to throw the ball in a blowout and I’d imagine Iowa is the best passing offense they’ve seen to date. Michigan definitely has talent in the secondary though.

Yeah there are a few things that when looked at seem very interesting.
The reason I don't even pay any attention to sargin is because numbers don't tell the whole story.
They are tools. Just like you will see people using a butter knife for a screwdriver, tools are only as good as the hands they are in.
Which oddly enough seems to extend clear back to birth. Some kids will keep trying to force a square peg in a round hole and some will just get frustrated and drop it. But some, you can just about see the light bulb go on over their head.
I like the last kind.
After all, the best tool you have is.........
 
Quite a few statistics are skewed at this point if the season especially with most of the numbers coming from varying non-conference competition.
 
Quite a few statistics are skewed at this point if the season especially with most of the numbers coming from varying non-conference competition.

That is absolutely true.

But what's weird in this case is that we already have 2 common opponents after only 4 games....you never see that.

Given that, Michigan definitely struggled early with MTSU....they trailed the entire 1st quarter. We steamrolled MTSU. Against Rutgers, I'd say we dominated them as much as Michigan did....the difference is that we started nearly every drive inside the 5 yard line.

Army and ISU are probably fairly similar as far as ability. On a neutral field, ISU is probably favored by 7-10 points. Michigan needed overtime, at home, to beat Army. We beat ISU by one, on the road, while dealing with 3 hours of weather delays.

I just think, all told, we are the better TEAM. Michigan certainly has all the stars, but for whatever reason, they haven't meshed as a team. They are fragile, so an early lead probably buries them.

At the end, given our penchant the last few years for coming up with turnovers and Michigan's propensity for turning the ball over, I think we end up +3 in the turnovers and win going away, 31-14.
 
Quite a few statistics are skewed at this point if the season especially with most of the numbers coming from varying non-conference competition.
That's true.
My point is there are lots of numbers out there. Enough that you will find lots of opinions and all sides with valid and not so valid reasons (if you have an open mind) to each point of view.
 
Robinson was a tough sob

Great vision, too.

At full-strength, that team was so damn talented. Losing Robinson and the OGs really took a toll.

That video is a reminder that while our WRs are deep, and more talented that we have been for awhile, but they are not at DJK and McNutt levels. Those 2 were great.
 
That is absolutely true.

But what's weird in this case is that we already have 2 common opponents after only 4 games....you never see that.

Given that, Michigan definitely struggled early with MTSU....they trailed the entire 1st quarter. We steamrolled MTSU. Against Rutgers, I'd say we dominated them as much as Michigan did....the difference is that we started nearly every drive inside the 5 yard line.

Army and ISU are probably fairly similar as far as ability. On a neutral field, ISU is probably favored by 7-10 points. Michigan needed overtime, at home, to beat Army. We beat ISU by one, on the road, while dealing with 3 hours of weather delays.

I just think, all told, we are the better TEAM. Michigan certainly has all the stars, but for whatever reason, they haven't meshed as a team. They are fragile, so an early lead probably buries them.

At the end, given our penchant the last few years for coming up with turnovers and Michigan's propensity for turning the ball over, I think we end up +3 in the turnovers and win going away, 31-14.

Michigan's opponents are 9 - 7. Iowa's are 6 - 11. Michigan has beaten a team above. 500. Iowa has not. Michigan has faced a ranked opponent. Iowa as not.
 
Michigan's opponents are 9 - 7. Iowa's are 6 - 11. Michigan has beaten a team above. 500. Iowa has not. Michigan has faced a ranked opponent. Iowa as not.
Those are pretty irrelevant cherry picked statistics. Texas A&M will be .500 after their next game, does that mean they stink or that they played Clemson, Auburn, and Bama?

I gotta say you’re definitely moving the troll meter in the wrong direction.
 
Those “stats” are seriously propped up by a team that destroyed them. Honestly there’s nothing predictive about that.

*Shrug* So throw out Wisconsin. With two common opponents the only thing that happens is they have better average stats (they had even stats wit Iowa before), opponents are 5 - 7, and they still beat a team with a winning record, and Iowa hasn't.

For people crowing about the MTSU common opponent stats - that was Michigan's first game of the season with a new O Coordinator.

I'm not saying they are all world. But they're pretty even with Iowa in performance so far and they have the exact kind of playmakers that tend to give Iowa trouble on D. And they are at home. This is the first game that will tell us what kind of Iowa team this is. If Iowa wins, they're for real. If not, 8 - 4 will probably happen.
 
We can do this all day...but what's the point.

You're the eternal pessimist and I'm a quasi-optimist.

It'll all be settled on Saturday.

That's true. I'm a glass half empty guy. I'm also a Reds and Niners fan. Every year, I go into the season thinking, prove it to me. Hope they do on Saturday.
 
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