Individual match ups - Iowa at Wisconsin

I rarely see Kaminsky's name now, at least compared to pre-season/early-season. I take it Jackson being out won't mean as much as it would for us being without White or Uthoff?

Kaminsky is the Badgers most-important player, the X factor that other teams can't really guard. He's averaging 17 points a game, on 53% shooting from the field, over 40% from 3. He also has a couple of assists per game and nearly 2 blocks per game. Oh and he shoots 76% from the line. Not really a weakness. He would average more points per game on a team without as many options as Wisconsin has.

If Iowa is to win, I think Gesell needs to really win the matchup with Koenig. Koenig played very efficiently against Rutgers and and Nebraska. Where Jackson has been good for Wisconsin is being the guy who creates shots late in the shot clock.

Vegas has Iowa as a 10-point underdog, which surprised me. I thought the line would be lower than that. Vegas probably doesn't like how Iowa has been playing defense against B1G competition. Badgers have the most-efficient offense in the league.
 
Kaminsky is the Badgers most-important player, the X factor that other teams can't really guard. He's averaging 17 points a game, on 53% shooting from the field, over 40% from 3. He also has a couple of assists per game and nearly 2 blocks per game. Oh and he shoots 76% from the line. Not really a weakness. He would average more points per game on a team without as many options as Wisconsin has.

If Iowa is to win, I think Gesell needs to really win the matchup with Koenig. Koenig played very efficiently against Rutgers and and Nebraska. Where Jackson has been good for Wisconsin is being the guy who creates shots late in the shot clock.

Vegas has Iowa as a 10-point underdog, which surprised me. I thought the line would be lower than that. Vegas probably doesn't like how Iowa has been playing defense against B1G competition. Badgers have the most-efficient offense in the league.

I should throw some money on that line. The biggest margin of victory by either team with Fran as coach vs Wisconsin is 7 points, and that was an Iowa win. The most the Vadger have beaten Iowa by (including Iowa's really bad teams his first 2 years) is 5 points.

What does Kenpom say the line should be? I'm not sure where/how to look that up.
 
From @irrationalhawk on Twitter:

Series is Wisconsin 80, Iowa 79. In the Fran era, Badgers wins by 4, 5, 4 (2OT), and 3 (OT). Iowa wins by 4, 7, and 1.

So I'll take Iowa by 87 tonight.
 
I hope we press them heavily with their backup PG playing. No matter what, though......prepare for a lot of this
bo-ryan-300x261.jpg
 
Wisconsin has no bench, if we can get a couple guys in foul trouble early, I really like our chances.

I just hope some dufus bench player like Duje Dukan doesn't drop about four 3-pt FGs to overcome a Hawks lead in a close game in the second half. He's 6'9",
but isn't afraid to shoot threes and he's hitting 36.2% of them.

Speaking of Dukan, he's the only experienced bench player they have. They have a couple sophmores in Brown and Showalter and those two guys may need to get more minutes if Iowa can draw a lot of fouls. Showalter has hit ZERO three-pointers, let's hope it's still ZERO at the end of the game.

It would be great to see Gasser get a couple quick fouls. And give his Danny Ainge look.
 
Kaminsky is the Badgers most-important player, the X factor that other teams can't really guard. He's averaging 17 points a game, on 53% shooting from the field, over 40% from 3. He also has a couple of assists per game and nearly 2 blocks per game. Oh and he shoots 76% from the line. Not really a weakness. He would average more points per game on a team without as many options as Wisconsin has.


He also averages 8 rebounds a game, higher than any Iowa player. The guy is a freak horse.
 
We get rolled, similar to the football team going to Minnesota this year. Wisky has had (A) a bye since it didn't play this weekend, and (B) home court. Lots of time to prep for us and to work out their issues at point guard.

Hopefully, it is a more even playing field at CHA.
 
I think the match-ups are wrong, especially the front court. White vs. Decker, Woodbury vs. Hayes, and Utoff vs. Kaminsky - Woodbury's length makes it harder for Hayes to drive and I'd rather see Hayes shooting 3 pointers than either of the other big men. It'll also keep Woodbury closer to the basket.
 
We get rolled, similar to the football team going to Minnesota this year. Wisky has had (A) a bye since it didn't play this weekend, and (B) home court. Lots of time to prep for us and to work out their issues at point guard.

Hopefully, it is a more even playing field at CHA.

These two teams are incredibly familiar with each other. If Wiscy rolls the Hawks it won't have anything to do with them having more "prep time". It will be because Iowa can't knock down shots. That's the biggest key for Iowa keeping it close. When Iowa is hitting at least some shots they tend to compete with just about anyone. When they go cold they get blown out. Just look at two of Iowa's losses for proof. In both the Texas and Iowa State games Iowa played pretty well offensively in the first half. Then they went ice cold in the 2nd half and got blown out both times. It's all about confidence and momentum for the Hawks. When they stay out of cold streaks they are a pretty damn good team.
 
These two teams are incredibly familiar with each other. If Wiscy rolls the Hawks it won't have anything to do with them having more "prep time". It will be because Iowa can't knock down shots. That's the biggest key for Iowa keeping it close. When Iowa is hitting at least some shots they tend to compete with just about anyone. When they go cold they get blown out. Just look at two of Iowa's losses for proof. In both the Texas and Iowa State games Iowa played pretty well offensively in the first half. Then they went ice cold in the 2nd half and got blown out both times. It's all about confidence and momentum for the Hawks. When they stay out of cold streaks they are a pretty damn good team.

Well, looks like it's gonna be the blow out version, tonight. Quick shooting. Not even trying to go inside. Wisky already raining 3's. Lethargic effort on the glass.

This one is starting like it could get real ugly. Hope Hawks can square themselves up.
 

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