I'm not sure I would call it heavy lifting. I would say if we beat Illinois, there is a 80% chance we end up the 4 seed.
If the B1G Tourney Bracket Was Final RIGHT NOW (3/2)
- Thread starter JonDMiller
- Start date
I'm not sure I would call it heavy lifting. I would say if we beat Illinois, there is a 80% chance we end up the 4 seed.
It's not a fantasy at all. Iowa wins its final 2 league games and they're a 4 seed for sure and maybe a 3 seed. That's a fact, not a fantasy.
D
DDThompson
Guest
Yes. It is fantasyland.
The thread title says it is: "If the B1G Tourney was final RIGHT NOW (3/2)". There are 3 indicators in the title alone that this bracket is fantasyland.
Your post indicates this bracket is fantasyland by your omitting the first word of your second sentence of "if" and your qualifying of a 3- or 4-seed.
Yall in wuss land being scared of NE (who really didn't look that great in beating NW at their place). Iowa can match up against any one of these teams given they are playing decent ball. If they are playing Minney/IU esque, they can also lose to any of of those teams, give or take NW.
JonDMiller
Publisher/Founder
Pretty much. Only way that wouldnt happen is if Neb wins at Indiana AND at home v Wisconsin. I dont think think that will happen...so if Iowa wins one of its final two games, it's pretty much the 4 seed
jacknicholson
Well-Known Member
This is possible because MSU finishes at Ohio State, and Nebraska finishes at home against Wisconsin.....
WindsorHawk
Well-Known Member
I'll play along. Iowa gets the 4 seed. I want Ohio State for the RPI bump and better NCAA seeding help. I want Michigan on Saturday and then Wisconsin on Sunday...want a 3rd crack at Bo. Beat these 3 teams and we are probably a 5 or 6 seed.
D
DDThompson
Guest
If all that happens, I think a 5-seed for sure.
Outside shot at 4-seed, but what's the difference other than as a 5-seed playing a small conference 12-seed that is playing decent ball vs. a 4-seed playing a smaller conference 13-seed that 'snuck' in.
WindsorHawk
Well-Known Member
Not much difference... If we can get hot and win our next 5 we're probably a 3.
D
DDThompson
Guest
That will require quite a bit of help wouldn't it? I mean, I know that'd be 3 or 4 really good wins but there are some good resumes on the 3 and 4 lines.
You do realize we are only talking about the conference tournament, correct? We are not talking about the NCAA seed. Who knows how that will end up.
Iowa controls their own destiny for seeding in the conference tournament by winning their final 2 games. They would be a 4 seed and possibly a 3 seed which would be a first round bye. That's not a fantasy. But the Hawks are no worse then 4th by taking care of their own business this week.
They do not have to rely on any other teams winning or losing to get a 4 seed. That would be the fantasy.
All I'm saying is let's see how the Hawks respond to the gift IU gave them by beating OSU on Sunday.
STILLBUSTER
Well-Known Member
Been saying for a couple weeks, I hate Iowa in the 4/5.
fOSU appears to be going thru another slump but as bad as Hawk's defense is right now, they could easily have another break-out shooting night like they did in Carver. Also, fOSU could easily shut down Iowa, defensively, and were one of only 2 losses where I thougt the other team just beat the Hawks.
The other loss where I thought the team just beat Iowa ... Michigan. Hate Michigan in semi's. Again, as horrible as Iowa's close-out defense is, Michigan will bomb Iowa with 3's. Another little nugget, in something like 5 or 6 meetings since inception of BTT, Iowa has never beat Michigan.
No, no ... would much rather have another shot at a reeling MSU and a Wisconsin team that is peaking a couple weeks too early and would be ripe for the picking on a neutral court.
I
iowast8fan
Guest
Assuming Iowa wins the Illinois game and loses on the road to MSU.
Then, assuming Ohio State pulls out a victory at home over MSU.
And, assuming Nebraska loses both games (@Indiana, vs. Wisconsin).
How does the B1G determine tie breaker for Iowa and Ohio State since they split wins?
Next question, if Nebraska manages a win against Indiana and a loss against Wisconsin, how is the tie breaker determined in the 3-way tie between Nebraska, Iowa, and Ohio State?
I don't think there is any team scared of playing any other team in this league. Should be a great tourney.
1977Hawkeye
Well-Known Member
Jerry Palm was saying 7 seed yesterday and I suspect Lunardi will agree when his newest Bracketology comes out, so I personally feel that a 4-5 seed is our ceiling. A win @MSU would be huge if Iowa can pull it off, but a home win over ILL won't move the needle.
The 6 seed is where I want to end up, though. Unless they give us a 4/5 seed in WSU's region.
Combined record against the tied teams. Iowa is 2-1 combined against neb and osu, so we would win the tie breaker. If we tie with just osu we win because we have a better record against the first place team, Michigan. If we tie against just Nebraska we own the tie breaker due to our win in our lone meeting. So we are in a good spot as long as we at the very least beat Illinois
I dont think it matters where you are seeded.
There are no juggernauts in teams 1-4, there are no gimees in teams 5-8, and there are no patsies in team 9-12.
There is no easy, or less hard road, they are ALL going to be very similar and Very difficult. if you played it out 1000x, you'd probably get all 4 top teams winning it 200x each.
There are no juggernauts in teams 1-4, there are no gimees in teams 5-8, and there are no patsies in team 9-12.
There is no easy, or less hard road, they are ALL going to be very similar and Very difficult. if you played it out 1000x, you'd probably get all 4 top teams winning it 200x each.
WindsorHawk
Well-Known Member
It definitely matters if a team is in the top 4 or not in the top 4. It's much harder to win the BTT with a Thursday game.
