How High Can The Hawkeyes Go? (BCS)

69MUNCILO said:
If we continue to win we will rise in the computer polls. The Colley matrix website has a feature which lets you add games and recalculate the ratings. We are currently 18th. If you add our next five wins you get the following results. Granted this does not take into account what everyone else is doing, but it does show how we can improve.

Win over:
Wisconsin 11th
Michigan St 7th
Indiana 6th
Northwestern 5th
Ohio State 4th

Also wouldn't hurt if our prior opponents would start winning a game or two. We also need Purdue and Illinois to lose every week, their wins kill our SOS.
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This is why i say 25% chance...
 
That is a computer ranking of 4. With a coaches poll and the harris poll we may be higher and BSU and TCU will fall which means we are sititng at 1, 2 or 3 if we win out and everyone lese has one loss besides BSU and TCU. Keep in mind that BSU and TCU were both undefeated last year and couldn't move up anymore. Their schedule kills them. There is a wall and or ceiling they wont be bale to overcome unless you get some 2 loss teams. Oklahoma will lose one, and so will Missou, I don't see Auburn winning out and MSU will go down to us. Watch for USC to beat Oregon but isee them in title game... UNLESS Arizona beats them which is huge for us.
 
H8IAST8 said:
So you are assuming Auburn beats Bama? Not gonna happen. OU also has to play Okie St. and Utah has to go to Notre Dame.
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Not at all... "So if the winner of Auburn/LSU loses to Alabama that eliminates the SEC from the top five." I consider Alabama as still the team to beat. Both LSU and Auburn play Alabama. Then they have the conference championship.
The only reason I have Auburn in the top list is because they are undefeated today. LSU is also undefeated, but it would surprise me if they beat Auburn. It could very easily end up with no SEC team in the top 7.

I doubt Ok State gets past Oklahoma. I doubt Notre Dame's defense has anything to stop Utah. Notre Dame hasn't give up less than 12 points all year, against Utah their defense is going to have some real problems.
 
DuffMan said:
I just don't see any way possible Iowa leapfrogs any 1 loss team from the SEC to play in the BCS title game. That doesn't even consider an undefeated BSU or TCU.
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I've no doubt that if/when Auburn and LSU lose they will fall below us
 
JonDMiller said:
If Iowa is 11-1, they will be higher than 7th. But I doubt they can get to top two
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As I said, #7 is the worst case. Considering the records of the teams on our remaining schedule (6-1, 7-0, 4-2, 5-1, 6-1, 1-6), I agree we'll likely be higher than that. #5 seems most likely to me, with two of (12-0 Oregon, 13-0 or 12-1 SEC Champ, 13-0 Big XII Champ) at #1 & #2, 12-0 Boise at #3, and 12-0 Utah/TCU winner at #4. That said, if Oregon is 11-1 (8-1), Big XII Champ is 12-1 (7-1), who do they put against the SEC champ? 11-1 (8-0) Iowa or 12-0 Boise/TCU/Utah ... I like Iowa's chances
 
JonDMiller said:
If Iowa is 11-1, they will be higher than 7th. But I doubt they can get to top two
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I would like to see how they would project into the top five. My best guess is top 6.

Three BCS undefeated; top 3 spots to BCS teams, TCU/Utah, Boise fill out top 5.

Two BCS undefeated; Top 2 spots to BCS teams, TCU/Utah, Boise, then possibly Alabama? Iowa?
 
PeoriaHWKI said:
BSU and TCU have hit a glass ceiling. Neither one will be 1 or 2 by the end of the year.
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I think you are right. Wins by the major conference schools will count more, in the minds of the human pollsters and in the computer. Logically, I don't think they can go higher.
 
What needs to happen for Iowa to get to #2:

Auburn beats LSU
LSU beats Bama
Bama beats Auburn
Arkansas beats LSU
Auburn to lose the SEC title game

Oregon or Oklahoma needs to lose once (it doesn't matter which as Iowa doesn't need to jump both).

An 11-1 Iowa should jump an undefeated Boise or TCU based on SOS (Iowa's will continue to get better, while the other 2 will lose ground here).

Lots of stuff has to happen, but it isn't impossible for Iowa to get to the NC. This is why it is better to have 1 loss in September instead of November/December.
 
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hawkeyescott said:
What needs to happen for Iowa to get to #2:

Auburn beats LSU
LSU beats Bama
Bama beats Auburn
Arkansas beats LSU
Auburn to lose the SEC title game

Oregon or Oklahoma needs to lose once (it doesn't matter which as Iowa doesn't need to jump both).

An 11-1 Iowa should jump an undefeated Boise or TCU based on SOS (Iowa's will continue to get better, while the other 2 will lose ground here).

Lots of stuff has to happen, but it isn't impossible for Iowa to get to the NC. This is why it is better to have 1 loss in September instead of November/December.
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Okay I am putting wings on the pig so this will happen.
 
HawkeyeDenis said:
Okay I am putting wings on the pig so this will happen.
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Hey, I didn't say it would happen, but it isn't that crazy to think the home teams will win: Auburn can beat LSU at Auburn, LSU can beat Bama at LSU, Bama can beat Auburn at Bama and Arkansas can beat LSU at Arkansas.
 
Hey, I would love for it to happen. Anyway, anyhow that Iowa gets to the big game I am for it.

I think the SEC is up for grabs. It is not far fetched to expect that the SEC champion will have at least one loss. And the same goes for the B12. Oklahoma could beat Missouri and lose to Ok State. Or win out and lose in the championship game.
 
hawkeyescott said:
What needs to happen for Iowa to get to #2:

Auburn beats LSU
LSU beats Bama
Bama beats Auburn
Arkansas beats LSU
Auburn to lose the SEC title game

Oregon or Oklahoma needs to lose once (it doesn't matter which as Iowa doesn't need to jump both).

An 11-1 Iowa should jump an undefeated Boise or TCU based on SOS (Iowa's will continue to get better, while the other 2 will lose ground here).

Lots of stuff has to happen, but it isn't impossible for Iowa to get to the NC. This is why it is better to have 1 loss in September instead of November/December.
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Please let this all happen God!!!! PLEASE!!!!!!!!
 
I really don't think we have any chance to get to the title game no matter what else happens. Our fate was sealed on that night in the desert. It took me a while to come to terms with that but that is where a lot of us are at. Let's just hope we can run the table from here.
 
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