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College football Week 1: First impressions, Heisman rankings, favorite games
Is Iowa's offense going to be a complete mess again?
Iowa 7, South Dakota State 3
We've danced this dance before. If Iowa coach Kirk Ferentz trusts his defense and special teams to win a game on their own, he's going to keep things as vanilla as humanly possible on offense. He doesn't mind a rock fight, and his Hawkeyes have won plenty of them through the years. Meanwhile, South Dakota State is one of the best, most physical teams in FCS. Just last year, the Jackrabbits thumped Colorado State by 19 three weeks before Iowa beat CSU by 10.
Acknowledging all of that, there is still no excuse for what we saw on Saturday in Iowa City.
The last time Iowa ranked in even the top 50 in offensive SP+ was 2011. (Ferentz's son Brian has been in charge of the offense since 2017. It feels relevant to mention that.) In that span, Wisconsin, another defense-and-manball team from the Big Ten West, has ranked in the top 50 six times. Minnesota did it in 2019, and even
Northwestern has had a top-50 offense since 2011. Northwestern!
In 2021, for the fourth time in five years, (a) Iowa's leading rusher averaged less than 5 yards per carry, and (b) its quarterback produced a Total QBR rating under 70. (
Spencer Petras' ghastly 49.2 QBR ranked 105th in FBS.) Iowa lost four of its last eight, scoring a total of 34 points in the losses.
On Saturday, Iowa rusher
Leshon Williams averaged 3.0 yards per carry, the Hawkeyes averaged 2.7 yards per play as a team, and Petras continued his regression, going just 11-for-25 for 109 yards, an interception and two sacks. (It also feels relevant to note that Brian Ferentz took over as quarterbacks coach this season.)
In fact, the Hawkeyes' seven points were
flattering to the offense, which got outscored by its own defense 4-3. Punter
Tory Taylor was amazing once again, and the defense was rarely threatened. But even if SDSU knew what plays Iowa was calling -- hell, even if the Jackrabbits knew the snap count -- the Hawkeyes should have been able to generate more than 2.7 yards per play.
Confidence meter: 2 out of 10. Plenty of teams have figured out how to establish a physical offensive identity and actually score points. If things don't improve quickly, the Hawkeyes will waste another elite and exciting defense this fall.