Hawks Still in Palm & Lunardi Brackets
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NEIChawk
Well-Known Member
I like how we just assume if we get in the NCAA Tournament we beat Wichita State and will play Kansas! We have not won a NCAA game forever and WSU's core studs have already lead that team to a Final 4 appearance. We act like it is a given we beat them. That is IF we get the opportunity. HA
99topdawg
Well-Known Member
Lunardi's latest has come out with us (8th place in the Big 10) as a 10 seed and 2nd place Purdue not in. I realize he's projecting out the rest of the season, but I find this hard to believe. FTR, he has 7 Big 10 teams in the tournament. I haven't looked at PU's non-conference schedule, SOS, etc. so that must be keeping them out at this point. However, PU was in in his last bracket, they're 2-0 since, and have dropped out. Hmm...
WindsorHawk
Well-Known Member
Purdue lost at home to North Florida and Gardner-Webb. Their RPI is 72 and their SOS is 79. They only play Wisconsin and Maryland once each and lost to both. They have zero quality road wins on the season...still have MSU, IN and OSU on the road but I think they go 0-3. Their best wins are at home against Iowa, OSU and IN. As Iowa fans we know from past experience that this resume is not going to get an at-large on Selection Sunday.
99topdawg
Well-Known Member
OK, that makes sense. I didn't realize they had been so bad in their non-conference season or had that bad of a schedule. Looks like the ONLY thing they have going for them is their standing in the conference.
1977Hawkeye
Well-Known Member
Correct. It's the overeall body of work that matters, and ours is better at this point. The conference record is *supposed* to be irrelevant.
HawkPrdatr40
Well-Known Member
It is correct but if Iowa keeps playing the way they are it will open the door for a team like Purdue.
HawkPrdatr40
Well-Known Member
Side by Side comparison.
Iowa RPI is 56. Iowa is 2-4 against 1-25. Iowa is 2-2 against 26-50. Iowa is 1-2 against 51-100. Iowa is 6-6 in Last 12 games.
Purdue RPI 69. Purdue is 0-2 against Top 25. Purdue is 3-w against 26-50. Purdue is 4-0 against 51-100. Purdue is 8-4 in last 12 games.
Purdue schedule is brutal to end the year.
MiniMoeHawk
Well-Known Member
Jerry Palm had an article discussing the two above teams. Purdue had several terrible losses which was the reason why Purdue is last 4 in and Iowa is a 10 seed. The last 12 games doesn't mean a thing.
HawkPrdatr40
Well-Known Member
I agree that the last 12 games don't mean much, it's just ESPN has a stat column for Last 12, I just included it.
Knight78
Well-Known Member
Kind of like what happened to us two years ago where we had a better record than Minnesota and Illinois and they got in and we didn't.
Purdue would appear to have one of the tougher schedules remaining among BIG's fighting for the NCAA Tourney........at IN, at OSU, and at MSU with home games of RU and IL. IA and IL are pretty evenly paired for remaining schedule challenges but I'd feel better if we only win 3 from here on out that one of them be IL. We could face them again in the BIG Tourney.
I think we'll finish 3-3 in the regular season from here and live life on the edge from that point.......again.
I think we'll finish 3-3 in the regular season from here and live life on the edge from that point.......again.
WindsorHawk
Well-Known Member
If I were a Purdue fan I would be thankful for these brutal games...only real chance is to win a couple of them.
I don't know about that. I would rather play 4 bad teams and get to 14 conference wins.
clicheusername3
Banned
RPI down to #59, RPI Forecast predicts that is also the number that it will end at.
Nearly in historic territory to get in to the tourney with that number:
The lowest rated teams to get at-large bids (ALB): #67 USC, #64 Marquette (2011), #63 NC State (2005), #63 Stanford (2007).
Since 2000:
7.9 percent of at-large teams carried an RPI of 50+
Drop another "unexpected" loss and basically start checking out the NIT bracketology:
Just 1.7 percent of at-large teams have earned a bid with an RPI of 60+
Good luck.
Nearly in historic territory to get in to the tourney with that number:
The lowest rated teams to get at-large bids (ALB): #67 USC, #64 Marquette (2011), #63 NC State (2005), #63 Stanford (2007).
Since 2000:
7.9 percent of at-large teams carried an RPI of 50+
Drop another "unexpected" loss and basically start checking out the NIT bracketology:
Just 1.7 percent of at-large teams have earned a bid with an RPI of 60+
Good luck.
At least you finally decided to quit pretending to be a hawk fan.
WindsorHawk
Well-Known Member
I think the win at Indiana does them more good than playing a bunch of bad teams. There RPI will likely improve by simply playing at MSU and OSU.
WindsorHawk
Well-Known Member
Yawn!
