Gun to head do the Hawks make the NCAA Tourney?

HaydenHawk56

HaydenHawk56

Well-Known Member
Friday, November 13


Gardner-Webb

59 - 76

IowaFinal

Sunday, November 15


Coppin St.

68 - 103

IowaFinal

Thursday, November 19


Iowa

89 - 61

MarquetteFinal

Thursday, November 26

AdvoCare Invitational

Iowa

77 - 82

DaytonFinal

Friday, November 27

AdvoCare Invitational

Notre Dame

68 - 62

IowaFinal

Sunday, November 29

AdvoCare Invitational

Wichita St.

61 - 84

IowaFinal

Wednesday, December 2


Florida St.

75 - 78

IowaFinal OT

Saturday, December 5


Mo. Kansas City

75 - 95

] IowaFinal

Monday, December 7


Western Ill.

56 - 90

IowaFinal

Thursday, December 10


Iowa

82 - 83

Iowa St.Final

Saturday, December 19

4:30 PM EST ESP3
Drake

@

IowaTixYahoo Calendar

Tuesday, December 22

8:30 PM EST ESP3
Tennessee Tech

@

IowaTixYahoo Calendar

Tuesday, December 29

9:00 PM EST BTN
Michigan St.

@

IowaTixYahoo Calendar

Saturday, January 2

6:00 PM EST BTN
Iowa

@

PurdueTixYahoo Calendar

Tuesday, January 5

9:00 PM EST BTN
Nebraska

@

IowaTixYahoo Calendar

Thursday, January 14

7:00 PM EST
Iowa

@

Michigan St.TixYahoo Calendar

Sunday, January 17

4:30 PM EST BTN
Michigan

@

IowaTixYahoo Calendar

Thursday, January 21

7:00 PM EST ESPU, ESP3
Iowa

@

RutgersTixYahoo Calendar

Sunday, January 24

1:00 PM EST BTN
Purdue

@

IowaTixYahoo Calendar

Thursday, January 28

7:00 PM EST
Iowa

@

MarylandTixYahoo Calendar

Sunday, January 31

3:00 PM EST BTN
Northwestern

@

IowaTixYahoo Calendar

Wednesday, February 3

7:00 PM EST ESPU, ESP3
Penn St.

@

IowaTixYahoo Calendar

Sunday, February 7

1:00 PM EST BTN
Iowa

@

IllinoisTixYahoo Calendar

Thursday, February 11

9:00 PM EST
Iowa

@

IndianaTixYahoo Calendar

Sunday, February 14

7:30 PM EST BTN
Minnesota

@

IowaTixYahoo Calendar

Wednesday, February 17

6:30 PM EST BTN
Iowa

@

]Penn St.TixYahoo Calendar

Wednesday, February 24

9:00 PM EST BTN
Wisconsin

@

IowaTixYahoo Calendar

Sunday, February 28

TBA
Iowa

@

Ohio St.TixYahoo Calendar

Tuesday, March 1

9:00 PM EST ESPN, ESP3
Indiana

@

IowaTixYahoo Calendar

Saturday, March 5

8:00 PM EST BTN
Iowa

@

Michigan

Gun to head, I can see a path to 20 wins here provided the team stays healthy. But, we are going to have to either win at least a couple of games were we will be clear underdogs, or win several games on the road while protecting all of our home games were we will be clear favorites. I think there is no reason why they should dip below 17-18 wins on first glance, but will need to man up in several of these games to get there.


Brutal start to the Big Ten season. Would be extremely great to finally get over the hump against MSU at home to start the year.
 
We make the NCAA this year. Last year we had 4 non conference losses, this year we will have 3. I think we win 11 or 12 conference games. The B1G is down this year, I think we even have a shot of finishing 3rd again like last year. We need to stay healthy though, and not lose anyone else since Jones is already gone for the year.
 
MSU - L, @Pur - L, Neb - W, @MSU - L, Mich - W, @Rut - W, Pur - W, @Mary - W, NW - W, PSU - W, @Ill - L, @IU - W, Minn - W, @ PSU - L, Wis - W, @OSU - L, IU - W, Mich - W

(12 - 6) 21 - 9
Best wins
@ Maryland
Purdue
@ IU

I think this should be enough to make it in comfortably as a 6-8 seed.
 
HawkAssassin said:
MSU - L, @Pur - L, Neb - W, @MSU - L, Mich - W, @Rut - W, Pur - W, @Mary - W, NW - W, PSU - W, @Ill - L, @IU - W, Minn - W, @ PSU - L, Wis - W, @OSU - L, IU - W, Mich - W

(12 - 6) 21 - 9
Best wins
@ Maryland
Purdue
@ IU

I think this should be enough to make it in comfortably as a 6-8 seed.
Click to expand...

We will make the NCAA. Our resume is much better. MSU has proven countless times over the years that it is important to play tough non conference opponents...don't actually have to beat them just play them. We agree on 21-9 and 12-6...disagree on which teams we beat but who really knows for sure. I think we will be somewhere around 3rd or 4th.
 
Don't know if very many of you pay attention to RPI but a few years back when Franny and the Hawks started to become a real threat to make the NCAA tournament I began to really keep an eye on it on a daily basis. I am not really a believer in the phrase " Good loss" but as I have watched the RPI recently before and after the ISU game it defiantly proves a good strength of schedule in the non conference part of the schedule is important. Just prior to the ISU game the Hawks had an RPI in the range of 75 to 80, just checking the RPI today the Hawks RPI has risen to 25! As you can see even in a close loss too ISU the Hawks cut there RPI by some 50 spots! Imagine how high it would be if the Hawks would have finished the Cyclone's off and gotten the victory. Win the game you are supposed to win and sneak an upset or two in there and the Hawks will go dancin' again! GO HAWK

rwtsracefan(Dan Wemett)
 
HawkAssassin said:
MSU - L, @Pur - L, Neb - W, @MSU - L, Mich - W, @Rut - W, Pur - W, @Mary - W, NW - W, PSU - W, @Ill - L, @IU - W, Minn - W, @ PSU - L, Wis - W, @OSU - L, IU - W, Mich - W

(12 - 6) 21 - 9
Best wins
@ Maryland
Purdue
@ IU

I think this should be enough to make it in comfortably as a 6-8 seed.
Click to expand...

Sorry. I don't see Hokks beating Terps. Dey good this year.
 
Hawks got their doors blown off by ISU last season - lost to UNI - lost back to back games in FEBRUARY against Northwestern and Minnesota ... Lots of basketball left and I think Iowa is probably #4 or #5 in the B1G when all said and done, so yeah, easily in if no major injuries.
 
Not right now. They lose far too many close/clutch games to say they are in. Fran has only won 20-25% of games decided by 5 points or less and he's going to have some more of those the next few months when Iowa needs to get some quality wins. If they are in a close game in any of these, forget it. Maybe they blow out MSU, Purdue, Maryland though.
 
TheIowaHawkGuy said:
Not right now. They lose far too many close/clutch games to say they are in. Fran has only won 20-25% of games decided by 5 points or less and he's going to have some more of those the next few months when Iowa needs to get some quality wins. If they are in a close game in any of these, forget it. Maybe they blow out MSU, Purdue, Maryland though.
Click to expand...

If we play like we did against ISU every game, the one's you mentioned are the only ones that won't be blowouts. I remember Gatens last year we won some close games. After that, Marble couldn't buy a basket late and I think it changed the mindset of the entire team. I think after this year our problems winning close games will be gone. This isn't a coaching issue. It's a players issue. If our guys can't make a simple inbounds play, what can Fran do from the bench to get them to stop playing scared?
 
TheIowaHawkGuy said:
Not right now. They lose far too many close/clutch games to say they are in. Fran has only won 20-25% of games decided by 5 points or less and he's going to have some more of those the next few months when Iowa needs to get some quality wins. If they are in a close game in any of these, forget it. Maybe they blow out MSU, Purdue, Maryland though.
Click to expand...


Truth is, we lost by 6 and 5 to NCAA tournament teams on a neutral court and by 1 to the #4 team in the country on the road though we obviously should have won. We're going to win more games than lose in the B1G because there are teams that just aren't that good in the conference. Therefore will make the dance around an 8 seed.
 
rwtsracefan said:
Don't know if very many of you pay attention to RPI but a few years back when Franny and the Hawks started to become a real threat to make the NCAA tournament I began to really keep an eye on it on a daily basis. I am not really a believer in the phrase " Good loss" but as I have watched the RPI recently before and after the ISU game it defiantly proves a good strength of schedule in the non conference part of the schedule is important. Just prior to the ISU game the Hawks had an RPI in the range of 75 to 80, just checking the RPI today the Hawks RPI has risen to 25! As you can see even in a close loss too ISU the Hawks cut there RPI by some 50 spots! Imagine how high it would be if the Hawks would have finished the Cyclone's off and gotten the victory. Win the game you are supposed to win and sneak an upset or two in there and the Hawks will go dancin' again! GO HAWK

rwtsracefan(Dan Wemett)
Click to expand...

Iowa was 34th before the ISU game. They had moved up about 100 spots in the week before that though. Wichita St was ranked like 275 and they've come up quick which has helped Iowa, UMKC and Western Illinois were also both sneaky good RPI games as they are currently right outside the top 100.
 
rwtsracefan said:
Don't know if very many of you pay attention to RPI but a few years back when Franny and the Hawks started to become a real threat to make the NCAA tournament I began to really keep an eye on it on a daily basis. I am not really a believer in the phrase " Good loss" but as I have watched the RPI recently before and after the ISU game it defiantly proves a good strength of schedule in the non conference part of the schedule is important. Just prior to the ISU game the Hawks had an RPI in the range of 75 to 80, just checking the RPI today the Hawks RPI has risen to 25! As you can see even in a close loss too ISU the Hawks cut there RPI by some 50 spots! Imagine how high it would be if the Hawks would have finished the Cyclone's off and gotten the victory. Win the game you are supposed to win and sneak an upset or two in there and the Hawks will go dancin' again! GO HAWK

rwtsracefan(Dan Wemett)
Click to expand...

You are incorrect. Iowa's RPI before the Iowa State game was 31. It was 29 after the game. This is per Real Time RPI...not the official RPI. It is currently 24. We did not move 50 spots by playing Iowa State.
 
RPI forecast right now has our expected end of year RPI at 20, our expected SOS is 7th. We haven't been close to this high in the RPI at any point in the past under Fran. We are in better shape for making the tournament at this point of the season than we've ever been under Fran. Go 8-10 in the conference and we will still have a shot.
 
HawkeyeMike23 said:
RPI forecast right now has our expected end of year RPI at 20, our expected SOS is 7th. We haven't been close to this high in the RPI at any point in the past under Fran. We are in better shape for making the tournament at this point of the season than we've ever been under Fran. Go 8-10 in the conference and we will still have a shot.
Click to expand...

I agree. And I really think 10-8 is our floor...assuming no significant injuries to the starting 5.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Latest posts

Share this page

Top