Bubble Talk

SpiderRico

Well-Known Member
It looks like, right now, there are probably 8 spots available for at-large bubble teams. Those 8 spots look to be up for grabs for about 17 teams. They are as follows:

Colorado, Virginia, Kentucky, LaSalle, ISU, Boise State, Ole Miss, Iowa, Villanova, Temple, Maryland, Tennessee, Alabama, Baylor, Southern Miss, Arkansas, and Arizona State.

Right off the bat, I think you can take 4 teams out of that list:

Baylor - Only 16 total wins, 4-8 in their last 12, and 6th place in the 6th toughest conference. Not good enough in my opinion.
Southern Miss - They have only 1 win all year against Top 100 RPI. I know they're in 2nd place in their conference, but CUSA is only the 11th toughest conference in the country.
Arkansas - 7th place in the 7th toughest conference and an avg ranking (RPI, BPI, KenPom) of 79.
Arizona State - RPI of 93 and an avg ranking of 79 and 2 losses against 150 plus RPI teams.

That leaves 13 teams for 8 spots. Of those 13, here are the avg ranking for each:

Colorado - 39
Virigina - 40 (high RPI but very low KenPom. They have 7 wins over Top 100, but 4 losses against 150+)
Kentucky - 42
LaSalle - 43
ISU - 47
Boise St - 47
Ole Miss - 48
Iowa - 53
Villanova - 56
Temple - 58
Maryland - 61
Tennessee - 62
Alabama - 65

As you can see, Iowa has the 8th highest avg ranking of this group. Not that that's the be all, end all, but it shows we are not as far out of the discussion as some would have you believe. Close out the regular season with a win against Nebby, win the 1st round BTT game and I think, barring a complete collapse/blowout in the 2nd round, we are in. Win that quarterfinal game and we are definitely in.

It's going to be a fun next 2 weeks, that's for sure!
 




A lot can change still. Cinncinatti, St. Mary's, San Diego St, and Minnesota can all come back to the bubble IMO with back to back losses.
 






It looks like, right now, there are probably 8 spots available for at-large bubble teams. Those 8 spots look to be up for grabs for about 17 teams. They are as follows:

Colorado, Virginia, Kentucky, LaSalle, ISU, Boise State, Ole Miss, Iowa, Villanova, Temple, Maryland, Tennessee, Alabama, Baylor, Southern Miss, Arkansas, and Arizona State.

Right off the bat, I think you can take 4 teams out of that list:

Baylor - Only 16 total wins, 4-8 in their last 12, and 6th place in the 6th toughest conference. Not good enough in my opinion.
Southern Miss - They have only 1 win all year against Top 100 RPI. I know they're in 2nd place in their conference, but CUSA is only the 11th toughest conference in the country.
Arkansas - 7th place in the 7th toughest conference and an avg ranking (RPI, BPI, KenPom) of 79.
Arizona State - RPI of 93 and an avg ranking of 79 and 2 losses against 150 plus RPI teams.

That leaves 13 teams for 8 spots. Of those 13, here are the avg ranking for each:

Colorado - 39
Virigina - 40 (high RPI but very low KenPom. They have 7 wins over Top 100, but 4 losses against 150+)
Kentucky - 42
LaSalle - 43
ISU - 47
Boise St - 47
Ole Miss - 48
Iowa - 53
Villanova - 56
Temple - 58
Maryland - 61
Tennessee - 62
Alabama - 65

As you can see, Iowa has the 8th highest avg ranking of this group. Not that that's the be all, end all, but it shows we are not as far out of the discussion as some would have you believe. Close out the regular season with a win against Nebby, win the 1st round BTT game and I think, barring a complete collapse/blowout in the 2nd round, we are in. Win that quarterfinal game and we are definitely in.

It's going to be a fun next 2 weeks, that's for sure!

Will Iowa's first game in the BTT be against a team that a win impresses the committee? Honest question since I don't know who they might play. Beating Nebby doesn't help Iowa (other than avoiding a bad loss) but will the first game in the BTT "help" Iowa? Granted, who knows what other bubble teams will be doing.
 


It looks like, right now, there are probably 8 spots available for at-large bubble teams. Those 8 spots look to be up for grabs for about 17 teams. They are as follows:

Colorado, Virginia, Kentucky, LaSalle, ISU, Boise State, Ole Miss, Iowa, Villanova, Temple, Maryland, Tennessee, Alabama, Baylor, Southern Miss, Arkansas, and Arizona State.

Right off the bat, I think you can take 4 teams out of that list:

Baylor - Only 16 total wins, 4-8 in their last 12, and 6th place in the 6th toughest conference. Not good enough in my opinion.
Southern Miss - They have only 1 win all year against Top 100 RPI. I know they're in 2nd place in their conference, but CUSA is only the 11th toughest conference in the country.
Arkansas - 7th place in the 7th toughest conference and an avg ranking (RPI, BPI, KenPom) of 79.
Arizona State - RPI of 93 and an avg ranking of 79 and 2 losses against 150 plus RPI teams.

That leaves 13 teams for 8 spots. Of those 13, here are the avg ranking for each:

Colorado - 39
Virigina - 40 (high RPI but very low KenPom. They have 7 wins over Top 100, but 4 losses against 150+)
Kentucky - 42
LaSalle - 43
ISU - 47
Boise St - 47
Ole Miss - 48
Iowa - 53
Villanova - 56
Temple - 58
Maryland - 61
Tennessee - 62
Alabama - 65

As you can see, Iowa has the 8th highest avg ranking of this group. Not that that's the be all, end all, but it shows we are not as far out of the discussion as some would have you believe. Close out the regular season with a win against Nebby, win the 1st round BTT game and I think, barring a complete collapse/blowout in the 2nd round, we are in. Win that quarterfinal game and we are definitely in.

It's going to be a fun next 2 weeks, that's for sure!

Boise St and Alabama both lost last night along with Southern Miss and Arkansas.
 


Will Iowa's first game in the BTT be against a team that a win impresses the committee? Honest question since I don't know who they might play. Beating Nebby doesn't help Iowa (other than avoiding a bad loss) but will the first game in the BTT "help" Iowa? Granted, who knows what other bubble teams will be doing.

The first game will likely be against Nebraska.
 


It looks like, right now, there are probably 8 spots available for at-large bubble teams. Those 8 spots look to be up for grabs for about 17 teams. They are as follows:

Colorado, Virginia, Kentucky, LaSalle, ISU, Boise State, Ole Miss, Iowa, Villanova, Temple, Maryland, Tennessee, Alabama, Baylor, Southern Miss, Arkansas, and Arizona State.

Right off the bat, I think you can take 4 teams out of that list:

Baylor - Only 16 total wins, 4-8 in their last 12, and 6th place in the 6th toughest conference. Not good enough in my opinion.
Southern Miss - They have only 1 win all year against Top 100 RPI. I know they're in 2nd place in their conference, but CUSA is only the 11th toughest conference in the country.
Arkansas - 7th place in the 7th toughest conference and an avg ranking (RPI, BPI, KenPom) of 79.
Arizona State - RPI of 93 and an avg ranking of 79 and 2 losses against 150 plus RPI teams.

That leaves 13 teams for 8 spots. Of those 13, here are the avg ranking for each:

Colorado - 39
Virigina - 40 (high RPI but very low KenPom. They have 7 wins over Top 100, but 4 losses against 150+)
Kentucky - 42
LaSalle - 43
ISU - 47
Boise St - 47
Ole Miss - 48
Iowa - 53
Villanova - 56
Temple - 58
Maryland - 61
Tennessee - 62
Alabama - 65

As you can see, Iowa has the 8th highest avg ranking of this group. Not that that's the be all, end all, but it shows we are not as far out of the discussion as everyone not on a Hawkeye website and Doug Gottlieb would have you believe. Close out the regular season with a win against Nebby, win the 1st round BTT game and I think, barring a complete collapse/blowout in the 2nd round, we are in. Win that quarterfinal game and we are definitely in.

It's going to be a fun next 2 weeks, that's for sure!

FIFY.
 




I was referring to the trolls and naysayers on this board, such as yourself, who continue to claim that Iowa has not shot outside of winning the BTT. Obviously you would prefer to not let facts get in the way of a good troll. Hooray for you.

I'm the majority, you're the troll and naysayer in this situation. You are naysaying; denying, or opposing the majority held belief. So go naysay yourself a dictionary and a thesaurus.
 


I'm the majority, you're the troll and naysayer in this situation. You are naysaying; denying, or opposing the majority held belief. So go naysay yourself a dictionary and a thesaurus.

I don't see the majority on this board saying that Iowa needs to win the BTT to get a bid. Most, including myself, seem to believe that 9-9 and getting into the BTT semis will give us a good shot.
 


I'm the majority, you're the troll and naysayer in this situation. You are naysaying; denying, or opposing the majority held belief. So go naysay yourself a dictionary and a thesaurus.

I know you're trolling but, whatever, there isn't a majority consensus on the very possible "what if" scenarios. The majority consensus is that, right now, Iowa isn't in. Everyone on here agrees with that and you know it.
 


I don't see the majority on this board saying that Iowa needs to win the BTT to get a bid. Most, including myself, seem to believe that 9-9 and getting into the BTT semis will give us a good shot.

Exactly. There is in fact a world beyond the walls of HN.com, where at least semi-unbiased analysis exists and where no one is even talking about Iowa and the NCAA tournament bar Doug Gottlieb who is a bigger troll than I am.
 




Exactly. There is in fact a world beyond the walls of HN.com, where at least semi-unbiased analysis exists and where no one is even talking about Iowa and the NCAA tournament bar Doug Gottlieb who is a bigger troll than I am.

Iowa is mentioned as "also considered" on Joe Lunardi's latest Bracketology.

See for yourself if you don't believe it:
http://espn.go.com/blog/collegebasketballnation/post/_/id/78243/bracket-update-iu-loses-grip-on-indy

Welcome back from the rock you're hiding under.
 




"also considered"? Like every other team isn't "also considered"? And that isn't in his official bracketology that's a Nation blog update. Trust me, I'm well up on bracketoology, especially Lunardi.

It's hard to troll on your own without Ghost's lead to follow, but good job, good effort.

Here's another pity like for you!
 








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