SpiderRico
Well-Known Member
It looks like, right now, there are probably 8 spots available for at-large bubble teams. Those 8 spots look to be up for grabs for about 17 teams. They are as follows:
Colorado, Virginia, Kentucky, LaSalle, ISU, Boise State, Ole Miss, Iowa, Villanova, Temple, Maryland, Tennessee, Alabama, Baylor, Southern Miss, Arkansas, and Arizona State.
Right off the bat, I think you can take 4 teams out of that list:
Baylor - Only 16 total wins, 4-8 in their last 12, and 6th place in the 6th toughest conference. Not good enough in my opinion.
Southern Miss - They have only 1 win all year against Top 100 RPI. I know they're in 2nd place in their conference, but CUSA is only the 11th toughest conference in the country.
Arkansas - 7th place in the 7th toughest conference and an avg ranking (RPI, BPI, KenPom) of 79.
Arizona State - RPI of 93 and an avg ranking of 79 and 2 losses against 150 plus RPI teams.
That leaves 13 teams for 8 spots. Of those 13, here are the avg ranking for each:
Colorado - 39
Virigina - 40 (high RPI but very low KenPom. They have 7 wins over Top 100, but 4 losses against 150+)
Kentucky - 42
LaSalle - 43
ISU - 47
Boise St - 47
Ole Miss - 48
Iowa - 53
Villanova - 56
Temple - 58
Maryland - 61
Tennessee - 62
Alabama - 65
As you can see, Iowa has the 8th highest avg ranking of this group. Not that that's the be all, end all, but it shows we are not as far out of the discussion as some would have you believe. Close out the regular season with a win against Nebby, win the 1st round BTT game and I think, barring a complete collapse/blowout in the 2nd round, we are in. Win that quarterfinal game and we are definitely in.
It's going to be a fun next 2 weeks, that's for sure!
Colorado, Virginia, Kentucky, LaSalle, ISU, Boise State, Ole Miss, Iowa, Villanova, Temple, Maryland, Tennessee, Alabama, Baylor, Southern Miss, Arkansas, and Arizona State.
Right off the bat, I think you can take 4 teams out of that list:
Baylor - Only 16 total wins, 4-8 in their last 12, and 6th place in the 6th toughest conference. Not good enough in my opinion.
Southern Miss - They have only 1 win all year against Top 100 RPI. I know they're in 2nd place in their conference, but CUSA is only the 11th toughest conference in the country.
Arkansas - 7th place in the 7th toughest conference and an avg ranking (RPI, BPI, KenPom) of 79.
Arizona State - RPI of 93 and an avg ranking of 79 and 2 losses against 150 plus RPI teams.
That leaves 13 teams for 8 spots. Of those 13, here are the avg ranking for each:
Colorado - 39
Virigina - 40 (high RPI but very low KenPom. They have 7 wins over Top 100, but 4 losses against 150+)
Kentucky - 42
LaSalle - 43
ISU - 47
Boise St - 47
Ole Miss - 48
Iowa - 53
Villanova - 56
Temple - 58
Maryland - 61
Tennessee - 62
Alabama - 65
As you can see, Iowa has the 8th highest avg ranking of this group. Not that that's the be all, end all, but it shows we are not as far out of the discussion as some would have you believe. Close out the regular season with a win against Nebby, win the 1st round BTT game and I think, barring a complete collapse/blowout in the 2nd round, we are in. Win that quarterfinal game and we are definitely in.
It's going to be a fun next 2 weeks, that's for sure!