At the end of the first half, I think some of you are not fully accounting for the context of the situation. What ISU was doing on defense was what we like to do, but, probably even better. They were stopping the run with their front 3 while dropping 8 in coverage many times. So taking a shot into the end zone is not as simple as it sounds, because it would have taken a major break down somewhere to get something over the top. If we faced a team that was manning us up on the edges, sure, but the chances we throw an interception here is much greater than us getting a touchdown.
So what the defense gave us was the underneath stuff and they let their linebackers and their star (cash, whatever you want to call Eisworth) clean everything up. And they did a fantastic job of that. So we could score, but it was going to take time and we would have to run a lot of plays and convert on third down to score a touchdown. Sound familiar?
Now with respect to the game situation, everything is normal until we complete a pass to Brandon Smith with a little more than 2:00 left, where it was iffy if he made it out of bounds or not, which was 2nd and 10 at around midfield. So let's think about that. If we don't convert that there, it is 3rd and 10 from midfield with 2:00 left. The next play we run, and then punt to try to pin them back. What would ISU's chances of scoring here? Anyones guess but they have a good chance. But we most certainly don't call a timeout there. We convert though and are at the 35 yard line. Not quite field goal range, especially in those conditions with still 2:00 on the clock. Let's say we take our shots here and they fall incomplete, or, we run and take timeouts. Do we try a 52 yard field goal and risk giving them the ball with say, 1:30 on the clock at the 35 if we miss or kick it off to them? Again, what would their chances be to score? Probably still pretty good, they still.have three timeouts. So the next play we run and they stuff it. At this point the strategy is to run the clock down to first reduce the chances that they score on us, and comfortably here would be around 30 seconds or so I would say. So we let the clock run down to about a minute at which time we get nico for 7 yards, he stays in bounds but we are at a much more comfortable 28 yard line or 45 yard field goal. But its 3rd down. We really know at this point the chances of us scoring a touchdown are slim because of the clock, but we have also eliminated ISU's offense from scoring. That leaves 2 scenarios: first is we do what we can to get into the best field goal position we can and kick, or 2, we throw into an umbrella coverage where the chances of getting it picked is probably greater than the touchdown. In a 7-3 game and at the end of the half, the smart play is the field goal.
Is that always the wise play? Of course not, but given the situation it made sense here. Change any of those variables like the defense being in man coverage, the score being 14-3 or 21-3 or worse, we get a first down with the ragaini catch, we are at home, etc. the right play may be different.
To me the only cardinal sin we committed was running out of bounds at the end of the game. Like I told my son prior to the play that we have the option to win the game with a first down or we can kick it and let our defense try to close it out, but do not in any circumstance get out of bounds or throw an incomplete pass. We all knew that I am sure.