Fwiw, here is what I think.
unless you spend atleast 10 hrs a week on it, dont even try it.
When you think you are good enough, just spend a whole season writing down what you would have done, and see how you do.
this year I laxed off, but normally I spend 20+ hrs a week watching ball and doing homework.
I suspect, that if a guy were to look at non cons only, kf rarely covers. I dont mind and I personally think it shows class. He is getting better at making sure they know they are beat, but I dont give 14+ points on anyone. Wisconsin was always good at running up the score, but who knows now.
So I tend to shy away from those games.
This year, like I said I laxed off and went 7-2. I normally go about 12/13- 3/4. Next year will be a tough one if we win our bowl, as the hawks will not be undervalued, depending on our new lb's we could be right on or slightly overvalued. Which means you will not get favorable odds.
To start the year, I think nebraska will be undervalued. They have to get a qb and stop the bleeding on turn overs, which I think they will.
I always have a set start amount and figure it over 5 games, because if I cant get 3-5, why keep going.
If there is any one thing I can not stress enough it is, there is no free lunch. If you have money to burn, that is one thing, otherwise you have to put the work in. I also suggest having lots of paper and a desk to work at.
Dont be greedy. Keep on a even keel. Dont panic. It has a mental side to it as well. Just tcob.