Stanzi Over/Under - 3300 yds

MelroseHawkins

MelroseHawkins

Well-Known Member
With the recent revelations at Iowa's RB position, how will this have an impact on Ricky Stanzi's yearly passing yds in the end?

What do you say?

3300 yds

Over or Under?

Edit: Sorry, meant 3300 yrds
 
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Re: Stanzi Over/Under - 3500 yds

haha i hate you right now melrose!

i'm going to have to go with under though
 




over, your original total in the title was correct 3,500. he will have a few 400 yd games his year. He is currently projecting 2,900 yards, when the first two games he was primarily handing off- that will soon change, 3 & 4 receiver sets are in our future. I like ARob as a "draw-option" out of the backfield (his longest run from scrimmage was a draw play). As we speak the playbook is getting opened and some 6 year old formations and plays are getting dusted off.
 


Ill go with under because with where his now, he would have to average 287yds passing a game. And no matter how bad the RB situation gets KF is going to try his harderst to keep the offense balanced. On a side note Iowa hasn't even had a 3000yd passer since before 2002(farthest Hawkeyereport.com stats go back to).
 


hawkfaninTX said:
over, your original total in the title was correct 3,500. he will have a few 400 yd games his year. He is currently projecting 2,900 yards, when the first two games he was primarily handing off- that will soon change, 3 & 4 receiver sets are in our future. I like ARob as a "draw-option" out of the backfield (his longest run from scrimmage was a draw play). As we speak the playbook is getting opened and some 6 year old formations and plays are getting dusted off.
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Way off I would put a wager that stanzi has zero 400 yd games. ARob is still going to get all of the touches he normally gets + some extra. They aren't just going to start not running because the backups get injured. and for the OP I'd go under 2950.
 


If ARob stays healthy, under.
If he gets hurt, it better be over or it will be a painful season.
 


hawkeye2188 said:
Ill go with under because with where his now, he would have to average 287yds passing a game. And no matter how bad the RB situation gets KF is going to try his harderst to keep the offense balanced. On a side note Iowa hasn't even had a 3000yd passer since before 2002(farthest Hawkeyereport.com stats go back to).
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we haven't had this depth at WR before. He will have to average about 300 and spread the field a little more to make up for the lack of ARob's speed. He ran as fast as Gene Simmons would in his platforms on Saturday night, this is my top concern for the remainder of the year by far, because the o-line and special teams will take care of themselves, but you cannot make someone faster.
 


clicheusername3 said:
Way off I would put a wager that stanzi has zero 400 yd games. ARob is still going to get all of the touches he normally gets + some extra. They aren't just going to start not running because the backups get injured.
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Exactly. Prior to last year when was the last time Iowa had two RBs rotating? Yes I know Hampton had carries in 08, but that was not a rotation that was the Shonn Greene show.
 




I will love to come back to this thread and bring my crow-a-la-king for you to have, because Ricky has to do this for us to win the Big Ten, ARob might even get hurt, he did last season against Mich St and was actually lucky with that turnaround time because it was a "high ankle sprain". Do not kid yourself, Stanzi will have a Minimum 3,000 yards, but i see 3,500+
 


hawkfaninTX said:
I will love to come back to this thread and bring my crow-a-la-king for you to have, because Ricky has to do this for us to win the Big Ten, ARob might even get hurt, he did last season against Mich St and was actually lucky with that turnaround time because it was a "high ankle sprain". Do not kid yourself, Stanzi will have a Minimum 3,000 yards, but i see 3,500+
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As much as i want to see Iowa throw the ball around, it isnt going to happen. In 04, when Iowa was down to Brownlee, Tate threw for 2,256yds. That was with Hinkel and Solomon and throw in Scott Chandler. If they didnt do it then when they were using a walkon/former walkon i doubt they do it this year. The closest they came to 3000 was the following year were Tate threw for 2800.
 


hawkeye2188 said:
As much as i want to see Iowa throw the ball around, it isnt going to happen. In 04, when Iowa was down to Brownlee, Tate threw for 2,256yds. That was with Hinkel and Solomon and throw in Scott Chandler. If they didnt do it then when they were using a walkon/former walkon i doubt they do it this year. The closest they came to 3000 was the following year were Tate threw for 2800.
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link for that total? because my links say otherwise.....

Drew Tate Stats, Splits, News, Photos - Iowa Hawkeyes - NCAA College Football - ESPN
Iowa Hawkeyes 2004 Season Schedule - databaseFootball.com/College
Iowa Hawkeyes 2005 Season Schedule - databaseFootball.com/College
Iowa Hawkeyes 2006 Season Schedule - databaseFootball.com/College

Barring injury Stanzi will have taken most of the snaps this year, and in '05 & '06 the team threw for over 3,000 yards each year. '04 we actually threw for less yardage BECAUSE we were one dimensional. In '05 AY had 1300+ yards, and in '06 AY had 700+ while Sims had 600+. That is probably the extent of the contribution we will be getting from our RB's this season, now look at '05 and '06 passing...... each year we also had over 3,000 yards passing thanks to a 2nd and 3rd year starting QB just like this year and an "OK" running game. Some people love to fire statements from the hip, when 15 minutes of research could tell you everything you need to know about a subject. Since i already knew i thought that i would share the statistics with you.
 


and a side note for that post: In '05 Tate would have had way over 3,000 yards had he not been injured in the second half of the ISU game, and proceeded to not play the following week @ Syracuse when Manson threw for 230 yards in the worst backup QB performance i have ever seen- Tate would have put up 350+ on the 'Cuse....
 


the more i think aobut it...i'm switching to over(and my original UNDER call was when it was still 3500).

300x12=3600 yards. i think he gets there
 


I do not know why this hasn't been mentioned yet... He threw for 2,400 yards last year and missed 2 games + 2.5 Quarters in the NW game. He easily reaches 3,000 if he doesn't get hurt, and throws for 25 TD's too.
 


hawkfaninTX said:
and a side note for that post: In '05 Tate would have had way over 3,000 yards had he not been injured in the second half of the ISU game, and proceeded to not play the following week @ Syracuse when Manson threw for 230 yards in the worst backup QB performance i have ever seen- Tate would have put up 350+ on the 'Cuse....
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I think you have your years mixed up. In 2005, Iowa didn't play Syracuse. That was 2006 & 2007.
 


didymushawk said:
I think you have your years mixed up. In 2005, Iowa didn't play Syracuse. That was 2006 & 2007.
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thanks for spotting that, I am usually decent with my typos but i indeed meant to reference the '06 year, but my point remains the same, he would have broached the 3k mark in yardage.
 


hawkfaninTX said:
over, your original total in the title was correct 3,500. he will have a few 400 yd games his year. He is currently projecting 2,900 yards, when the first two games he was primarily handing off- that will soon change, 3 & 4 receiver sets are in our future. I like ARob as a "draw-option" out of the backfield (his longest run from scrimmage was a draw play). As we speak the playbook is getting opened and some 6 year old formations and plays are getting dusted off.
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hawkfninTx - First off, thanks for your enthusiasm & contributing to this thread.

I don't see him passing 400 yrds in any games. I'm not sure Stanzi has very many or actually any 300 yrd passing games. What I do see is him getting anywhere from 270 to 290 for many games & 2-3 300+ passing games.

Remember, it is not a good sign if Iowa QB's go a lot over 300 yrds since KF & Iowa like to have balance & to control the clock with the running game. But, I could see a couple games this year where he could go over 300. One is Michigan. I think there is a good chance to exceed 300 for two reasons. One, they may fall behind early & have to play catch-up against a D that might do pretty well against the run. 2nd is that Michigan may be suspect at the D corner/safety positions & KOK & KF might try to exploit that. So, I think the Michigan game is one where we might see Stanzi over 300.

There might be a couple others. Could be OSU since they are stout against the run & might be forced to go to the air. If Stanzi gets around 400 in any game, I think that would be more of an anomaly.
 
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