This seems about right. NIU needs to take the next step and beat a big conference school on the road. They didn't do that even in their Orange Bowl year. Kansas at home last year doesn't really qualify as Kansas was 1-11 or something like that. Don't get me wrong, Iowa has to play well in this game to win. They will have to score points...cause I don't think, with what they have coming back on offense, 18 points will win this game. There offense should be better, our defense should be better so it could be a good match up there. Where Iowa has the advantage is that our offense will most certainly be better (o-line, in particular) and their defense took a serious hit just about everywhere. I'm not sure a school like NIU just reloads.
I think the 6.5 is an interesting line. I doubt it moves much either...unless there is an injury.