Bubble Watch 2013: The Way-Too-Early Edition

[storminspank]

[h=2][/h] It’s only January, but I figured it’s time to start taking a look at the NCAA Tournament Bubble Teams. It’s early. Very early. Maybe too early to even start thinking about this. But, that said, I’m thinking about it and so are a lot of other basketball fans in the nation. Seeing that we still have at least 13 games left in the regular season, there are far too many Bubble Teams at this point than there will be in a month’s time, so keep that in mind...................


Bubble Watch 2013: The Way-Too-Early Edition | Big Ten

 

[dave3912]

Is this like the Panda watch from the movie Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy?

Please, please tell me so!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Is that enough exclamation points to express my excitement?

 

[hawkfan33]

Next time you might be better off breaking it down by conference, might be easier to track teams that way.

 

[Hawkeye11en1]

DISLIKE. You don't even mention us being back.

 

[clicheusername3]

Needs a theme song.

 

[storminspank]

Next time you might be better off breaking it down by conference, might be easier to track teams that way.

Yep, for sure.
Once more locks are in, I'll go the full monty.

This was just a quick look at my version of the The Bubble.

 

[bcl20]

Has there been "quality" bubble teams since they expanded the tournament. Seems like ever since that happened we hear about how weak the bubble is.

 

[storminspank]

Has there been "quality" bubble teams since they expanded the tournament. Seems like ever since that happened we hear about how weak the bubble is.

Take a look at my bubble teams from 2005-2009 - you be the judge:
STORMINSPANK'S HAWKEYE RAMBLINGS: MEN'S BB: 2009 NCAA Tournament & My Bubble Team Analysis (Previous Results)

 

[H8IAST8]

Take a look at my bubble teams from 2005-2009 - you be the judge:
STORMINSPANK'S HAWKEYE RAMBLINGS: MEN'S BB: 2009 NCAA Tournament & My Bubble Team Analysis (Previous Results)

Are the bubble teams in any sort of order? I honestly dont even see how ISU can be a bubble team, let alone in the top half of the bubble.

Others that do not belong in the top half of the bubble list (assuming the order means something) IMO these teams are outside looking in.
BYU
Temple
Kentucky

 

[H8IAST8]

Bueller...Bueller...Bueller

 

[storminspank]

Are the bubble teams in any sort of order? I honestly dont even see how ISU can be a bubble team, let alone in the top half of the bubble.

Others that do not belong in the top half of the bubble list (assuming the order means something) IMO these teams are outside looking in.
BYU
Temple
Kentucky

Yes, they are in a ranked order. I looked at what the teams have done to this point, what they have in front of them, and then how I think they'd fare the rest of the way... and then ranked them.

For comparison -
RPIs:

BYU - 40
Temple - 54
Iowa State - 50

Iowa - 68

 

[H8IAST8]

Yes, they are in a ranked order. I looked at what the teams have done to this point, what they have in front of them, and then how I think they'd fare the rest of the way... and then ranked them.

For comparison -
RPIs:

BYU - 40
Temple - 54
Iowa State - 50

Iowa - 68

Versus RPI Top 100

Iowa- 4-4
Temple - 3-3
BYU - 2-5
Iowa State - 2-4

 

[storminspank]

Versus RPI Top 100

Iowa- 4-4
Temple - 3-3
BYU - 2-5
Iowa State - 2-4

Yes and that's all taken into consideration in the RPI rankings in a round-about way.
But as I mentioned, this is what they've done as well as what I expect them to do. ISU has a much easier path to more wins than Iowa, same goes for Temple.

 

[H8IAST8]

Yes and that's all taken into consideration in the RPI rankings in a round-about way.
But as I mentioned, this is what they've done as well as what I expect them to do. ISU has a much easier path to more wins than Iowa, same goes for Temple.

Does ISUs RPI reflect their loss to TT?
So your bubble is more of an actual projection, not if the season ended today bracket. Temple does have a very good win over the Cuse. But they also have losses to Canisius and St. Bonnies.

Also, I do not believe the RPI is an accurate reflection on the teams 25-69 until the last month of the season.

 

[H8IAST8]

There are some tough games for most bubble teams today.
Temple vs. Butler
G'Town vs. L'ville
Maryland vs. Duke
ISU vs. KState
San Diego St. vs. New Mexico
Washington vs. Oregon
UNC vs. NC State

 

[ssckelley]

Need to add Villanova to that list of teams on the bubble now that they have back to back wins over top 5 teams.

 

[H8IAST8]

Need to add Villanova to that list of teams on the bubble now that they have back to back wins over top 5 teams.

yep. G'Town and ISU with big wins today as well.

 

[joker]

Are the bubble teams in any sort of order? I honestly dont even see how ISU can be a bubble team, let alone in the top half of the bubble.

Others that do not belong in the top half of the bubble list (assuming the order means something) IMO these teams are outside looking in.
BYU
Temple
Kentucky

Check this site:
College Basketball NCAA Tournament Projections on TeamRankings.com
Shows Iowa St with a 62% chance of making the dance, Iowa with a 17% chance.
Anybody can predict whatever they want.

 

[dave3912]

yep. G'Town and ISU with big wins today as well.

Looks like ISU just got their signature win. Too bad it was at home and after losing to TTech.

 

[H8IAST8]

Well i think they are definitely in a better position with the win today.