White not enough touches in 2nd half, Marble to many?

If a guy's shot is just locked in for a night, you should look to get him the ball and let the offense flow through him more. I'm not saying he should force shots; but you should make an effort to put him in a position to score, perhaps more so than usual. Iowa did that with Gatens last year. Very few of the shots he took were forced or bad looks. They worked to put him in position to get good looks.

If a guy's shot is feeling off, he shouldn't take 14 shots. McCabe was a near 45% 3-point shooter last year. This year, he can't hit the broad side of a barn from the outside, even when he gets good looks. We shouldn't funnel the ball to him right now; there are other players who can be and have been much more effective.

It's entirely possible that McCabe is a worse shooter now than he was last year. But it doesn't prove or disprove the existence of streaks. With him, we're talking about a pretty long frame of reference, during which his shooting ability may have changed, as well as a fairly low sample size since he is a bench player who puts up maybe one or two threes a game most nights. It may well be that the 45% was the aberration since he was high 20s in his freshman year and now is shooting about the same as he did back then. I'd say it's more likely that his shooting ability hasn't changed much and he's probably more of a low to mid 30s shooter who just had a few more shots fall in his sophomore year and a few less in other years.
 


It's entirely possible that McCabe is a worse shooter now than he was last year. But it doesn't prove or disprove the existence of streaks. With him, we're talking about a pretty long frame of reference, during which his shooting ability may have changed, as well as a fairly low sample size since he is a bench player who puts up maybe one or two threes a game most nights. It may well be that the 45% was the aberration since he was high 20s in his freshman year and now is shooting about the same as he did back then. I'd say it's more likely that his shooting ability hasn't changed much and he's probably more of a low to mid 30s shooter who just had a few more shots fall in his sophomore year and a few less in other years.

Funny you bring up sample size. I am big into sabermetrics in baseball, and sample size is obviously the key to any good statistical analysis.

I agree with what you said about McCabe and sample size. I was actually starting to look up data on Iowa's shooters the other day but got sidetracked by other stuff.

There seems to be a lot of talk around here about Iowa's poor 3 point shooting but I wonder how poor they really are. We can see that the shooting percentages are bad but I am not sure if Iowa ever had good 3 point shooters.

It's just hard to determine what is a good sample size. I was going to look at the top qualified NCAA 3 point shooters from years past and try to start collecting data.

I have not had time yet.
 


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