NorthKCHawk
Well-Known Member
The kid is good, but I did not see any ink suggesting he is a 1 and done NBA type player. Those guys are like the Top 5 players in all of college basketball. So, I don't think that is it.One angle to this I hadn't really thought of with landing him was that the odds are pretty high that he'll be a one and done player for us for a couple reasons.
1. If he's an absolute stud he'll go pro. No shocker there that's just how it goes.
But the other reason is the NIL transfer portal just being what it is. If he doesn't start right away/play a ton or whatever or even if he kinda does but just isn't looked at as an NBA ready guy yet it could be likely he hops in portal and shops himself around to the highest bidder. The odds the kid plays 3 plus yrs for us seems extremely slim. I'd say the over under is 1.5. If we get a 2nd season from him I think I'll be pleasantly surprised.
As for the portal, of course someone could lay out a trail of cash for him to leave Iowa. But, this whole House settlement and direct payment to players and scrutinization of NIL contracts is a variable I can't quite get my hands around. I mean, this kid was highly sought after by schools who put more resources into their MBB program than Iowa does. Why didn't someone outbid for him right out of high school? The reality MIGHT be, that the direct benefits aspect of this all is evening out the playing field such that everyone can offer a kid about the same money and the decision on where to go to school is much more about fit and comfort again.
If the line was 1.5 I would take the over. If it was 2.5 I would take the under. Time will tell.