I don't know about how "optimistic" people were heading into this season, more than one thought Iowa would be lucky to reach last year's win total.
From what I have read here, people get carried away when Iowa wins, but even more when there is a bad loss.
Honestly, how many people thought losses like the Minnesota loss would be the rule this year and not the exception. Fran has brought a different style of play and I see no drawbacks so far and the program has progressed. The Big Ten top to bottom is very difficult, think about this if Iowa were playing at this level that they have been in the Big Ten at the start of the season how many more wins would Iowa have?
We can ponder that all day, but we have to live in reality. Fran is a very smart guy and he has constantly said that this won't happen overnight, but him saying that I feel he thinks it can happen sooner than expected, he has constantly said he likes the talent on the roster. The big problem is Iowa doesn't have a full roster, bench scoring and overall depth has been the big issue. Look at games when more than one guy from the bench has produced and shockingly, Iowa has won.
Reality is, Iowa needs to continue to add depth and develop players, this staff has already proven it can develop players...look at how Cartwright, Basabe, Marble, Brommer have all gotten better. I don't think Gatens/May have regressed in any way, Cartwright/Basabe have developed into better players, is that a knock on Gatens/May...not by any means.
People that say Fran hasn't proven himself on the recruiting trail need to take a serious look, he recruited Basabe to Seina and then to Iowa. Also, look at the NCAA tournament success at Seina, it isn't like they were a 2 or 3 seed ever, they had to play the big boys and beat them.
To say things about Dillard, I don't get, just look at the areas of the Country Iowa has offers to kids in the 2012 class, two from Texas...wonder if he had anything to do with those and two from Georgia...not sure who on staff was involved with offering them, but recruiting is the least of my worries today. Retention of players and player development are what is going to make better kids come back to Iowa again. A program cannot survive recruiting transfers and JUCO's and have players leave, graduate less than 10 freshman in a 10 year period, it has been proven and not just at Iowa. Look how long it has taken Cincy to become a quality program after Huggins left it in shambles by putting his eggs in JUCO players and having his freshman transfer out.
Throw Gatens/May/Payne/Cole/Brommer/McCabe/Marble and whoever else you want under the bus, but I believe they will graduate from Iowa and be four year players that started and finished when they could have walked away. Character of players means a lot and each that are listed have character, that matters to this staff and it should matter to the fans. Basketball is only part of it for me, seeing kids graduate is even bigger, it shows stability within a program and that is huge to the people we don't consider a lot of times...the parents.
Another thing about the transfers and people say Iowa has lost their best player every year for however many years. Outside of Tyler Smith, who among those "best" players has done anything? Obviously, the book is out on Aaron Fuller, but who among: Tucker, Palmer, Freeman, Kelly, Davis, Cougill, Peterson and whoever esle, if I am missing anyone has had a real impact on the school they transferred too? Peterson started at one point, but unless he got hurt I haven't saw him on the floor when I have watched Arkansas games lately, but they are a poor program and if he can't start there on a regular basis then he would not be having a whole lot of impact for Iowa either.
I guess my point is, rail on the players that are in the program today because they aren't good, but I wouldn't be wishing we had anyone back, except Kelly, from Cole's recruiting class on, no real losses to me, including Freeman. What Iowa has lost is that chance to develop a consistent program.
With Fran at the helm, Iowa will be better, they already are because the staff has true direction and does a good job on game day. When Iowa has lost big, they simply cannot hit shots and when your bench is as thin as Iowa's when it comes to scoring, who do you turn to?