The line makes me nervous...

Raziel

Raziel

Well-Known Member
The line for the Iowa/UM game opened with Iowa being a -3.5 favorite. That gives me an eerily bad feeling about this game.

The line for the Arizona game gave me this same feeling and we all know how that turned out. This line makes it look like the "guys in the know" (Vegas) are BEGGING people to bet Iowa.

We are a top 15 team playing a team that got shellacked last week at home....shouldn't we be more than a 3.5 point favorite? Anyone else get this feeling as well? The game being in the Big House means that UM is getting spotted 3-4 points....but even still....I feel as though Iowa should be a larger favorite.

Just seems like Vegas is predicting a UM victory here.
 
The point spread is not set where it is (wherever that may be) to be a prediction of victory. The point spread is set to get even money on both sides.

Michigan is like Notre Dame; they're going to get the benefit of the doubt regardless of how much they suck, especially if they're playing at home.
 
Raziel said:
The line for the Iowa/UM game opened with Iowa being a -3.5 favorite. That gives me an eerily bad feeling about this game.

The line for the Arizona game gave me this same feeling and we all know how that turned out. This line makes it look like the "guys in the know" (Vegas) are BEGGING people to bet Iowa.

We are a top 15 team playing a team that got shellacked last week at home....shouldn't we be more than a 3.5 point favorite? Anyone else get this feeling as well? The game being in the Big House means that UM is getting spotted 3-4 points....but even still....I feel as though Iowa should be a larger favorite.

Just seems like Vegas is predicting a UM victory here.
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Keep your negativity and bad feelings to your self. Stop trying to infect the fan base!
 
Obviously, the OP is clueless when it comes to the point spread.

ShadasRevenge described the situation very well. Bookies don't bet. It is a very good business model. The point spread has nothing to do with which team will win. The point spread is set so that the money goes equally both ways. If more money goes one way, the point spread is changed to compensate for the imbalance.

Books make their money by taking money from the losers, paying the winners and taking their gratuity. Bookmakers could care less who wins the game. They want the money bet on the game to be equal.

For example, the bookmakers want $100 bet on Michigan and $100 bet on Iowa. The bookies pay the winners the winners $100 minus the gratuity.

Clearly, the OP has had very little business education. Bookmaking is a business model that is a subject in just about any undergraduate or graduate business school. If the bookie can set the appropriate point spread, it is easy money.
 
I'm confused. How exactly does the point spread have an effect on the outcome of the game?
 
Anyone remember what the Michigan/Michigan State spread was? How about the Clowns/Utah Spread?:rolleyes: The former "Heisman candidate" is the only one that should be worried.
 
I'm nervous about not getting laid Friday night. I didn't get laid the night before the Arizona game and they lost. I've tried telling my gf the loss was her fault but she's not buyin it... guess I'm gonna have to have a discussion with her boss about making her work Friday nights during football season.
 
It would surprise me if Michigan gets over 10 points Saturday. Michigan is a better team than ISU, not as good as UA. And they have a worse defense than Penn State.
 
since when does iowa consistently beat anyone by more than 3 points, I think the line is spot on....being favored at Michigan is rare...really it's a seven point correction on the MSU spread, who i think we are pretty even with
 
crews74 said:
since when does iowa consistently beat anyone by more than 3 points, I think the line is spot on....being favored at Michigan is rare...really it's a seven point correction on the MSU spread, who i think we are pretty even with
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Unless you can back that up with a dozen youtube videos I think you should be quiet.
 
Arizona was much better on defense than the Wolverines. I also think Iowa's defense can stop Denard Robinson.

Iowa wins if we don't turn it over in our own end of the field.
 
Just watched the Indiana Michigan replay.

This game should be a LOT of fun for Iowa if Stanzi avoids turnovers like he has all year.

Iowa's play action passing game should do quite well against Michigan. I dont know if Iowa 'stops' Robinson yardage wise, but should have no problem forcing a pick or two and this game isnt close.

Iowa wins by 10 minimum.
 
Raziel said:
The line for the Iowa/UM game opened with Iowa being a -3.5 favorite. That gives me an eerily bad feeling about this game.

The line for the Arizona game gave me this same feeling and we all know how that turned out. This line makes it look like the "guys in the know" (Vegas) are BEGGING people to bet Iowa.

We are a top 15 team playing a team that got shellacked last week at home....shouldn't we be more than a 3.5 point favorite? Anyone else get this feeling as well? The game being in the Big House means that UM is getting spotted 3-4 points....but even still....I feel as though Iowa should be a larger favorite.

Just seems like Vegas is predicting a UM victory here.
Click to expand...
Go take off your pink panties and put on your yellow ones and you will feel much more confident.
 
or dos........[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5yVd-o07jSU&feature=related]YouTube - Band Of Horses - Factory [Official Music] FAN MADE + mp3 DOWNLOAD[/ame]
 
tres............peoples in des moines soon.......[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Az0T8evwAI8]YouTube - Umphrey's McGee- Mulches Odyssey[/ame]
 
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