The 2 home games against NW and Wisky will define this season

ChosenChildren

ChosenChildren

Well-Known Member
I'm guessing the Hawks play hard Saturday, but lose to a very good Ohio State team on their home field.

That leaves Northwestern and Wisconsin. Northwestern is really banged up and has a very average defense. I think the Hawks can win if they play up to their ability.

I also think our run defense matches up with what Wisconsin likes to do, which is run the football.

If we beat NW or Wisconsin, it sets up the Purdue game for a bowl bid.
 




The four game stretch between OSU and Nebraska is what will define the season. They are all games the hawks have a shot at winning. I think they go 2-2 but I can see them 3-1 with wins over Michigan Northwesten and Purdue.
 




Iowa is 5-1 vs Northwestern in years ending with 3. Outscoring the mildcats by an average of 18 points per game. I like Iowa in 3s vs them. Btw the only loss was in 73 so that's not all that special for that year.
 


Wtf?? This is the dumbest thing i have ever read. A few games win or lose, does not make a season. Right now our season starts and ends THIS Saturday. The end, bye bye.
 


olddude said:
Wtf?? This is the dumbest thing i have ever read. A few games win or lose, does not make a season. Right now our season starts and ends THIS Saturday. The end, bye bye.
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This isn't the smartest thing I have ever read.

The point is that Iowa has to win some of the winnable games. This Saturday probably isn't in that category. It's possible, but highly unlikely.

It's not exactly a life changing concept, but it is a legitimate point. I would like to know what exactly you spend you time reading? Five seconds on any message board should give at least four seconds of less stimulating reading than the OP.
 


The kinnick fans need to bring it against nw. If we can get kinnick rocking we can influence this game.
 


vosov said:
This isn't the smartest thing I have ever read.

The point is that Iowa has to win some of the winnable games. This Saturday probably isn't in that category. It's possible, but highly unlikely.

It's not exactly a life changing concept, but it is a legitimate point. I would like to know what're exactly you spend you time reading? Five seconds on any message board should give at least four seconds of less stimulating reading than the OP.
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#1 because i dont play to lose. #1 question for u. How many jobs have you taken for less money? #2 i read about einstein and hawkins and their theories. #2 for you. What do you read?
 


I don't think winning NW or Wisconsin will define this season. If Iowa wins one of the next three games that's a definite plus. But it's not probable. NW has a good passing attack. Iowa has a mediocre pass defense, rush. Wisconsin can pass enough to keep their offense moving. Both games are going to be tough for Iowa. Purdue and Michigan offer better chances for wins.
 


olddude said:
Wtf?? This is the dumbest thing i have ever read. A few games win or lose, does not make a season. Right now our season starts and ends THIS Saturday. The end, bye bye.
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THis is what it looks like when a alttroll falls in and out of character.
 




MiniMoeHawk said:
Michigan will be easier to win than NW
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We should be able to run it right at the Wolverines. What's more, Hoke and his team are in a bad position.

I was messing around w/ Legends division possible win/loss records and trying to fit them to normalized distributions and and they were the most variable team in the division. Most of my attempts have MSU or NE going as 1 and 2, take your pick, with the #1 being undefeated in division play.

In the scenario where there is a 3 way tie for first place it's MSU, NE and UM. Overall conference record then becomes the tie breaker and so far UM comes out on the bottom of the three. I also have them as low as fifth place w/ just 1 divisional win.

Iowa is stuck between fifth and third. As we have already played two division games we have less variability. UM has the win over the poor Gophers, who end up in 6th in nearly all realistic distributions.

Most of the scenarios have NW ahead of Iowa. If Iowa can win over both NW and UM then we finish 3rd in the legends and the winner of the MSU/NE game goes to Indy.

The B1G has made it hard to predict this year w/ most teams playing there cross division games earlier. We don't get much clarity on the Legends until next week.
 
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Why the dim view of the hawks?

1. Underwelming wins (mo state, ISU)
2. Weak pass defense
3. 3 drives / the rest is domination against MSU
4. Loss to Nor. IL - Not sure that is all that bad - 1 play and hawks could have won narrowly with a FG.


I'll be very interested to see if Iowa's run game has a pulse over the next 3 weeks. If they do well, they'll have a chance. Maybe Rudock has developed to a point where they can take advantage of teams who focus on taking away that run game.
 








tm3308 said:
If Northwestern is without Colter and Mark, then no, Michigan isn't easier to beat.
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I'm confused- NW is better w/o Coulter and Mark??? I think you mean with them.

We will get a better picture Saturday, most interesting game in the Legends is NW / MN. I think the thing to watch is if the Gophers can run against the 'Cats. If they can then it bodes well for a Hawkeye victory next week. If NW stuffs the MN run game and Siemian has a big day then I would think Iowa may have trouble when the 'Cats come to town.

A NW loss Saturday will reduce the number of outcomes in Legends play where they finish ahead of Iowa. Both Iowa and UM greatly benefit in this scenario. This back loaded Legends schedule makes for murky predictions until after the Nov 2 games.

At this point MSU is in the drivers seat for the Legends. The Huskers don't play a division game until next week and have a bye Saturday. I am not counting on the MSU team I saw play in Kinnick loosing two Legends' games but Iowa has plenty of paths to get to #3 in the division and a shot at #2.
 


7-5 looks a lot better than 6-6, I am hoping they can get at least 2 out of 3 at home.
 


bitmap said:
I'm confused- NW is better w/o Coulter and Mark??? I think you mean with them.

We will get a better picture Saturday, most interesting game in the Legends is NW / MN. I think the thing to watch is if the Gophers can run against the 'Cats. If they can then it bodes well for a Hawkeye victory next week. If NW stuffs the MN run game and Siemian has a big day then I would think Iowa may have trouble when the 'Cats come to town.

A NW loss Saturday will reduce the number of outcomes in Legends play where they finish ahead of Iowa. Both Iowa and UM greatly benefit in this scenario. This back loaded Legends schedule makes for murky predictions until after the Nov 2 games.

At this point MSU is in the drivers seat for the Legends. The Huskers don't play a division game until next week and have a bye Saturday. I am not counting on the MSU team I saw play in Kinnick loosing two Legends' games but Iowa has plenty of paths to get to #3 in the division and a shot at #2.
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He said beating Michigan would be easier than beating Northwestern. If Northwestern has Colter and Mark, then I would agree with that. But without them, Northwestern is definitely not tougher than Michigan.
 


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