Season End Predictions

ForeverHawk said:
They must have forgot to pick their butts that game. The only thing laughable is the comment by the OP that this team does not play with any intensity. Come on Man???
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Iowa only had 3 points (includes 1 made free throw) and 3 shot attempts the first 6 minutes of the game causing them to be down 14-3. It was only until the reserves came in the game that the intensity level and scoring picked up.

I'm not saying Iowa doesn't play with intensity. I'm saying they have stages where it looks like they are asleep. A perfect example is the start of the Minny game. If you watched the IU vs Michigan game you really saw what intensity should look like. I want to see 100% effort 100% of the time. I don't think we see that with some players.
 


1 bad call and a 3 going in and out. That is how close we were to 2 big road victories. I finally saw what I needed to see last night. Intensity. Although they lost, I loved the effort.
 


vs NW: Win
@Penn State: Loss
vs Minny: Win
@Nebraska: Loss
vs Purdue: Win
@Indiana: Loss
vs Illinois: Loss
vs Nebraska: Win

We might get lucky and split the final 4 games, but that is about as good as it gets, Iowa still is a bottom feeder in the B1G.
 


Iowa is playing very well considering the disappearance of Marble. We have held our own against very good competition.

Worst case, Iowa wins 4 of the next 6 and will be at 18-11. The last two games are at home and very much in the win column.

At 20-11 for the regular season, one win in the BTT puts us at least on the bubble. Two wins has us dancing for sure.
 


So I predicted Iowa losing 5 of their last 7 games and 3 straight. I must have been upset when I made my predictions. I'm not so nervous anymore about the PSU game, but I'm not confident about the Nebraska game just yet. Let's see how the next two go.
 


In the modern era of the NCAA tourney (since 1986) there has never, in the history of the league, been a team that finished 10-8 in the Big 10 and been left out of the Dance. Iowa was the first team to go 9-9 in the conference and not make it (1994-1995), but there's never been a 10-8 team left out. Based on how the schedules are for the remaining teams, a 10-8 record is virtually guaranteed 6th place in the league. Here is how I see the rest of the schedule playing out for teams in the Big 10:

Indiana:
v Neb - W
v PU - W
@MSU - L
@Minn - W
Iowa - W
v OSU - W
@ Mich - L

Final Conf Record; 14-4

MSU:
v Mich - W
@ Neb - W
v Ind - W
@OSU - W
@ Mich - L
v Wisc - W
v NW - W

Final Conf Record: 15-3

Mich:
@MSU - L
v PSU - W
v Ill - W
@PSU - W
v MSU - W
@ PU - W
v Ind - W

Final Conf Record: 14-4

Wisc:
@Minn - W
v OSU - L
@NW - W
v Neb - W
vs PU - W
@MSU - L
@PSU - W

Final Conf Record: 13-5

OSU:
v NW - W
@Wisc - W
v Minn - W
v MSU - L
@NW - W
@ Ind - L
v Ill - W

Final Conference Record: 12-6

Iowa:
@PSU - W
v Minn - W
@ Neb - W
v PU - W
@Ind - L
v Ill - W
v Neb - W

Final Conference Record: 10-8

Illinois:
v PU - W
@ NW - W
v PSU - W
@ Mich - L
v Neb - W
@Iowa - L
@OSU - L

Final Conference Record: 8-10

Purdue:
@Ill - L
@Ind - L
v NW - W
@Iowa - L
@Wisc - L
v Mich - L
v Minn - W

Final Conference Record: 7-11 (brutal schedule next 5 games)

Minn:
v Wisc - L
@Iowa - L
@OSU - L
v Ind - L
v PSU - W
@Neb - L
@PU - L

Final Conference Record: 6-12 (absolutely brutal schedule the next 4 games)
 


W/O a signature win in that schedule (IL and MN are not signature wins), which mean Indiana or 2 big wins in the B1G Tourney, Iowa is not going unless IL and MN completely fall apart (which could happen) and there are few Cinderella's winning conference tourneys.

Iowa must:

Sweep Minny and beat IL
Beat IU or win 2 big games in B1G
Win all weak sister games.

Must be a normal or less than normal number of upsets in conference tourneys

IL gets in with an 8-10 record period
Minny at 9-9

If Minny and IL fail and Iowa doesn't go 10-8, there is no way.

The piper will be paid for the weak schedule. You can't have a much easier B1G schedule than Iowa has.
 


ILHawk said:
W/O a signature win in that schedule (IL and MN are not signature wins), which mean Indiana or 2 big wins in the B1G Tourney, Iowa is not going unless IL and MN completely fall apart (which could happen) and there are few Cinderella's winning conference tourneys.

Iowa must:

Sweep Minny and beat IL
Beat IU or win 2 big games in B1G
Win all weak sister games.

Must be a normal or less than normal number of upsets in conference tourneys

IL gets in with an 8-10 record period
Minny at 9-9

If Minny and IL fail and Iowa doesn't go 10-8, there is no way.

The piper will be paid for the weak schedule. You can't have a much easier B1G schedule than Iowa has.
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If Iowa finishes 10-8 and in 6th place, there's no way an 8-10 Illinois jumps them, especially if Iowa beats Illinois at home. If the schedule for those two teams plays out like it should, that game at Carver will be a de facto elimination game....
 


SpiderRico said:
If Iowa finishes 10-8 and in 6th place, there's no way an 8-10 Illinois jumps them, especially if Iowa beats Illinois at home. If the schedule for those two teams plays out like it should, that game at Carver will be a de facto elimination game....
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RPI - Illinois wins over top 25 = 4. Iowa wins over top 25 = 0
 


I would pick an 8-10 Illinois team over an 10-8 Iowa team even though I wouldn't want to. That 8-10 goes with some good non-conference wins.
 


I'll stick with my predictions...obviously with Wisconsin being a loss. Iowa did lose at Wisconsin but I think most would agree it lands in the 50-50 category...losing in double OT.

I agree with this but think WI is 50-50...still think we get the win even if I'm just being a homer.






Originally Posted by Section136

What is with these posts? Come on.

If the team was playing with little intensity they wouldnt be locked in on the defensive end like they have been since the game in Ann Arbor.

PSU- W
@Minny- L
@Wisky- W
NW- W
@PSU- W
Minny- W
@Neb- W
Purdue- W
@Indiana- L
Illinois- W
Neb- W

11-7 in conference.
 


HawkeyeNTexas said:
vs Penn State: Win
at Minny: Loss
at Wiscy: Loss
vs NW: Win
@Penn State: Loss
vs Minny: Loss
@Nebraska: Loss
vs Purdue: Win
@Indiana: Loss
vs Illinois: Loss
vs Nebraska: Win

I'm glad I was wrong regarding the PSU game, but it was close. It was a huge win no matter what PSU's record is. A win is a win no matter how you look at it. I'm still not 100% confident in winning at Nebraska. I think Nebraska's team and their crowd will be pumped up for that game due to the "rivalry." Let's hope Iowa can put up a good showing against Minny first.
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HawkeyeNTexas said:
HawkeyeNTexas said:
vs Penn State: Win
at Minny: Loss
at Wiscy: Loss
vs NW: Win
@Penn State: Loss
vs Minny: Loss
@Nebraska: Loss
vs Purdue: Win
@Indiana: Loss
vs Illinois: Loss
vs Nebraska: Win

I'm glad I was wrong regarding the PSU game, but it was close. It was a huge win no matter what PSU's record is. A win is a win no matter how you look at it. I'm still not 100% confident in winning at Nebraska. I think Nebraska's team and their crowd will be pumped up for that game due to the "rivalry." Let's hope Iowa can put up a good showing against Minny first.
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I'm more confident about Minnesota than Nebraska. That Nebraska has let down, trap game written all over it.

Actually, both Nebraska games have that feel.
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HawkeyeNTexas said:
vs Penn State: Win
at Minny: Loss
at Wiscy: Loss
vs NW: Win
@Penn State: Loss
vs Minny: Loss
@Nebraska: Loss
vs Purdue: Win
@Indiana: Loss
vs Illinois: Loss
vs Nebraska: Win

Iowa's only remaining loss will be against Indiana and they will be shooting themselves in the legs for losing this one. At least they are doing better than I predicted.
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