Schwartz Article - Irrational Fear

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WinOneThisCentury

Well-Known Member
I'm not sure what to think about this...but Maryland does concern me in some odd way...so I guess I'm agreeing with Schwartz this week. I'm not sure what agreeing with Schwartz means,, but it's unsettling. He also knows that Maryland is playing at Iowa in Kinnick, so that's also concerning that he's got his facts straight. Prepare for the apocalypse now.

My irrational fear/concern is that Maryland is a team with very good athletes. They have size and athleticism on the offensive and defensive lines, and freak athletes at RB and WR. In my estimation, they are a great game plan away from keeping this close and hitting a big play in the fourth quarter to win. The good news is that if we can keep Stanley protected against Maryland...I think that bodes well for the rest of our schedule. They have guys that can rush the passer.

This is compounded by the inexperience at LB and corner for Iowa. History tells you that at some point you pay for that inexperience and youth. Is this the week? I guess we may be saying this all year right.

The other thing is an old NFL betting strategy about teams who have played consecutive games on the road and pay a price for that travel, so the strategy is to take the points against the home favorite. It's why the line has moved down in Vegas.

I think Iowa wins in a close game...but Brian Ferentz better be aggressive in his game plan...similar to last week.
 
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Agreed on your suggestion of Maryland hitting a big play in the fourth quarter. The Hawks need to put them away in the first 50 minutes because there’s a real chance our defense gets worn down by the fourth quarter. That’s when they give up the most points. I think our offense can handle that, so I say we walk away with the win, but I think the spread is dead on.
 
not that scared, but they do have the 3rd best D in the league - they are explosive in the run game and have a win over Texas and smacked around Rtugers and Minnesota. But than Temple? I dunno. I would be more worried if it was on the road.
 
You can bet Maryland is coming in with the attitude that this is a "get attention" game. Beat IOWA at Iowa, have a win against Texas, at 5-2, they're sniffing the TOP 25. Without the loss to Temple (ouch). This is their chance to earn some respect.

This is a big game for Maryland...it better be for the Hawks too.
 
The weather conditions could possibly turn this into Indiana 2009 (Stanzi threw five picks and we almost went down three scores before the Sash play turned the game around) Gusty winds in excess of 35 MPH are predicted for the game, and may switch direction during the course of the game. Having the wind in the fourth quarter could be huge.
 
WinOneThisCentury said:
I'm not sure what to think about this...but Maryland does concern me in some odd way...so I guess I'm agreeing with Schwartz this week. I'm not sure what agreeing with Schwartz means,, but it's unsettling. He also knows that Maryland is playing at Iowa in Kinnick, so that's also concerning that he's got his facts straight. Prepare for the apocalypse now.

My irrational fear/concern is that Maryland is a team with very good athletes. They have size and athleticism on the offensive and defensive lines, and freak athletes at RB and WR. In my estimation, they are a great game plan away from keeping this close and hitting a big play in the fourth quarter to win. The good news is that if we can keep Stanley protected against Maryland...I think that bodes well for the rest of our schedule. They have guys that can rush the passer.

This is compounded by the inexperience at LB and corner for Iowa. History tells you that at some point you pay for that inexperience and youth. Is this the week? I guess we may be saying this all year right.

The other thing is an old NFL betting strategy about teams who have played consecutive games on the road and pay a price for that travel, so the strategy is to take the points against the home favorite. It's why the line has moved down in Vegas.

I think Iowa wins in a close game...but Brian Ferentz better be aggressive in his game plan...similar to last week.
Click to expand...
I hope consecutive road games don't affect us. We have to do it again shortly, and against tougher opponents than the two we just played.
 
Northside Hawk said:
Gusty winds in excess of 35 MPH are predicted for the game, and may switch direction during the course of the game. Having the wind in the fourth quarter could be huge.
Click to expand...
This is the graphical forecast for IC starting at 5AM, it's from the NWS which is what all weather websites and apps use. I find it to be scary accurate.

Looks like the wind should stay straight out of the corner and get worse. Coin flip is a MUST.

Recinos won't be able to save our ass for not converting 3rd downs and there won't be any deep threat from ISM or Smith in that wicked cross wind.

Fant, Hawkenson, and Easley setting legal picks on cross routes or bust. Maryland has a gigantic OL and is a run-first team, and has one of the better run defenses. This game is gonna be a problem unless our 31 flavors of LB can stuff the middle. I watched their Minnesota and Michigan games; Nelson and Hesse aren't going to have time to get in the backfield.
 
I actually like how Iowa lines up in this one. I look to their game against Michigan as the best comparison. If you take out their QB's negative rushes and yards they ran 33 times for 164 yards. They threw for only 73 yards. Michigan really shut down their offense. Our defense is just as good as Michigan's and both are road games for Maryland. Their QB isn't a runner and doesn't throw the ball very well. That should lead to a lot of success for Iowa on defense.

Maryland's defense has good numbers, but a deeper dive shows that it's more a result of their competition. Michigan is the best offense they've faced and Michigan racked up 465 yards of total offense. Heck, Temple gained 429 yards of total offense. If Iowa's offense looks similar to the past several weeks I think we win this one rather handily. My personal guess would be something along the lines of Iowa 38 Maryland 17.
 
Throw short routes to the tight ends and running backs. Test their LBs. Short routes mitigate the wind a little bit.

I don't think you'll see a lot of long routes in the two quarters when the wind is in Iowa's face
 
Stanzi said:
I actually like how Iowa lines up in this one. I look to their game against Michigan as the best comparison. If you take out their QB's negative rushes and yards they ran 33 times for 164 yards. They threw for only 73 yards. Michigan really shut down their offense. Our defense is just as good as Michigan's and both are road games for Maryland. Their QB isn't a runner and doesn't throw the ball very well. That should lead to a lot of success for Iowa on defense.

Maryland's defense has good numbers, but a deeper dive shows that it's more a result of their competition. Michigan is the best offense they've faced and Michigan racked up 465 yards of total offense. Heck, Temple gained 429 yards of total offense. If Iowa's offense looks similar to the past several weeks I think we win this one rather handily. My personal guess would be something along the lines of Iowa 38 Maryland 17.
Click to expand...

i hope you are right.
 
Why would he think that way going into the 2014 Maryland game? Iowa wasnt very good and playing on the road. This Iowa team would destroy the 2014 Hawkeyes
 
Schwartz should jump on the Terripin pages because they don’t sound so confident. Their fan base seems distracted with the reports coming out this week... and basketball. But on the football side, they are looking for a win against a B1G top 25
team, but seam to feel MSU or PSU might
Be better targets. Maryland seem to feel they will need to be plus 2 in turnovers and break a couple big pass plays to win.
 
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