NorfolkNeb
Active Member
We just faced the most explosive offensive team we will face in the reguar season. We won. Things look good. Ricky Stanzi is one of the top-5 rated quarterbacks in QB efficiency in the nation, after 7 games. The color commentator for ESPN today (a tool) did not like the way Ricky threw the ball to DJK on the right sideline for an incompletion in the third quarter (when Iowa had a 14 point lead). DJ was double covered, and Ricky's looping throw was over the head of all three. The color man intimated that Ricky could have threaded the ball to DJ if he'd thrown a moment earlier.
Trying to throw that ball (the way the commentator asked for) was exactly what Ricky would have tried the last two years. It likely would've given Michigan the momentum in that game 10 minutes before they actually did gain it. It was a home game for Michigan with a whole lot on the line for both teams.
Ricky threw a ball that a tremendous athlete like DJK might have been able to get to, if he'd somehow split the defenders with a kamakazie move and sprawled toward the sideline. The pass the color guy called for would've had a 20% chance of being caught by DJ, a 40% chance of being incomplete, and a 40% chance of being intercepted by one of the two DB's covering him.
That's why Ricky is a third year starting senior. He doesn't make that throw, with a 14 point lead in the third quarter. He makes the throw he did. The thow Ricky made had a 10% chance of completion, a 90% chance of an incompletion, and a 0% chance of interception.
Ricky has thrown 2 int's in 7 games. Iowa is 6-1. Unless Iowa is trailing at halftime in 3 of the 5 remaining games, don't count on him throwing more than 2 int's the rest of the season.
Ricky is as cool, or cooler, than Chuck Long was: six games into his senior season.
Trying to throw that ball (the way the commentator asked for) was exactly what Ricky would have tried the last two years. It likely would've given Michigan the momentum in that game 10 minutes before they actually did gain it. It was a home game for Michigan with a whole lot on the line for both teams.
Ricky threw a ball that a tremendous athlete like DJK might have been able to get to, if he'd somehow split the defenders with a kamakazie move and sprawled toward the sideline. The pass the color guy called for would've had a 20% chance of being caught by DJ, a 40% chance of being incomplete, and a 40% chance of being intercepted by one of the two DB's covering him.
That's why Ricky is a third year starting senior. He doesn't make that throw, with a 14 point lead in the third quarter. He makes the throw he did. The thow Ricky made had a 10% chance of completion, a 90% chance of an incompletion, and a 0% chance of interception.
Ricky has thrown 2 int's in 7 games. Iowa is 6-1. Unless Iowa is trailing at halftime in 3 of the 5 remaining games, don't count on him throwing more than 2 int's the rest of the season.
Ricky is as cool, or cooler, than Chuck Long was: six games into his senior season.