It seems like your original attack on Iowa's win didn't bear fruit, because was ridiculous but at least capable of being proven statistically true.
Your second myth based attack is even sillier than the worst. Only 119 seconds and no time outs. About a 6% chance of recovering an onside kick (there was apparently been a rule change for the '22 season that made recoveries much less likely)
You are working extra hard to denigrate the win. Me, I'm happy with wins. Wish they were better looking on offense to be sure. I'm not sure working that hard just to create negative thoughts would not be good for one's health. Stress kills people so don't work to impose unnecessary stress, especially based on silly or mythological expectations.