People say that Iowa's schedule is bad. Tennessee's is as bad if not worse. They beat Virginia, Austin Peay, UTSA (made a bowl), South Carolina, Texas A&M (made a bowl, 7-6), Kentucky (made a bowl, 7-6), UConn, and Vanderbilt. Both teams beat 3 mediocre bowl games and got beat bad by the good teams they played and lost a game to a bad team. Very equal schedules and results.
The top 5 things that helped me make my decision.
5) Tennessee out several key players due to portal/draft. We're not other than the injured guys we've played without. We will actually have a few back to full strength from injury, whether they missed games or were limited. Advantage: Iowa
4) Tennessee's defense is statistically terrible. Advantage: Iowa
3) In Deacon's 1st 4 game, his best completion percentage was 42.9 (36% total in those 4 games). In his last 5 games, he's been over 50% in 4 of them and over 64% in 3 of them (58% in those 5 games). He's got it figured out. Advantage: Iowa
2) It's BF's last game. He wants it. His Dad wants it. The players love him so they want it. Advantage: Iowa
1) The #1 thing that helped me make my decision is that we never win when I pick us to win so I'm going with Tennessee 17-16. Advantage: Iowa