I'm in the same boat. I didn't expect Iowa to be in his final schools. Hence the, no surprise comment.
Iowa would have been a very very tough sell for Ellis.
Yeah, with the state of Iowa's program anyone that is in a border state with Iowa, unless they really love Iowa, is going to shy away at this point I think. That is why it was so important for Iowa to get someone that will not be afraid to recruit anywhere, especially in the beginning. Fran is doing this, look at where all the offers are, all over the map. Olesani, is the closest kid to Iowa right now and if they can get one regional kid, or border state kid to go with Oglesby, it would send a positive message.
The 2011 class could be the most important, even if it isn't the most talented, reestablishing Iowa in the Midwest would be good and step towards keeping more in-state kids home in the 2012 and 2013 class. If Iowa can land Peter Jok, nobody will remember if we did or didn't get Paige/Staten/Woodbury.
The reality is that Iowa is down for a lot of reasons, but getting players like Basabe and Marble who are not that heavily recruited and seeing what they are doing as freshman is huge.
This staff can coach and makes adjustments throughout the game and that can go just as far as highly ranked talent:
See - Butler/Gonzaga/Oakland