OSU # 1 In Sagarin, And They Should Be

[4thngoal]

I'm not going to knock anyone's way of doing things. I try to learn something from everyone.
I was telling someone recently, that maybe I should factor in one or two more things and see if I can get my average up more.
They looked at me (I share all my bets with them) and said I don't know what you do, but don't mess with it and just keep doing it.
I agreed and said sometimes I tend to over complicate.
I'm a simple man and it wouldn't matter if I were betting hundreds of thousands of dollars, I would still be a simple man.
The old saying "keeping up with the Joneses" doesn't apply to me, because I don't know the Joneses therefore maybe I don't want to keep up, maybe I want to go the other way than they are.

 

[HaydenHawk56]

Right now, I would probably put an Iowa/OSU BTT game at:

OSU 38
Iowa 24

But Iowa has more time to grow, but they still have proving to do. 3 games will tell us a lot....Michigan, Penn St, and Wisconsin.

 

[Xerxes]

MSU stinks!, they almost lost to IU

IU got blasted at home by Ohio St with their backup QB and lost a close game at MSU with him. Most teams in the B1G, under the same circumstances would have the same results.

 

[Zstatman]

I'd like to play OSU in the title game, it would mean we would be playing winning football between now and then.

Sagarin has Michigan favored by 3 over the Hawks based on home field advantage alone. I'll take that.

 

[The Big LeHAWKski]

Based on the results I've seen so far and IMO (which means next to nothing), I'd say right now there are 7 teams who seem to have separated themselves talent-wise from the rest of the Top-25. On any given day any of these seven could beat each other.
(alphabetically)
Alabama, Auburn, Clemson, Georgia, LSU, Ohio State and Oklahoma.

Of course it's still early in the season and anything could happen, but the next National Champion is most likely somewhere within this group.
I know Clemson hasn't done much to impress, but until you beat the Man...
Yes, I have omitted Wisky from this list. Until I see something more from him I'm not impressed with their QB and to be among the elite you've got to have stellar QB play regardless of how strong your run game is.

8-Team playoff anyone?
He, he, heeeh!

 

[PlatypusMessiah]

Prove it?

With facts or statistics and not opinion?

I think I even read an article on this by Jeff Sagrin. Until the data becomes independent for the year, his algorithm relies on subjective human bias. That pre-season human interaction is weened out over the first half of the season. So in his modeling you can see where Clemson is starting to fall this year because of on field performance, but something like ESPN FPI still likes Clemson a lot. At one point, Sagrin had this bias footnoted.