The issue isn't the play or lack of play on 4th down.
A few key points to make here:
- It’s 4th and 10 for KY from the Iowa 46 yard line. KY goes for it on 4th down. Iowa (Harris) picks off the ball…and we take over possession at the Iowa 36. Why? That’s just basic football IQ and lack of coaching in that situation. Just knock the ball down and Iowa starts from the Iowa 46.
- Iowa takes possession with (3:59 remaining).
- First play - Iowa has 6 on the o-line, 2 RBs, TE split wide and receiver in motion away from the o-line. KY has 5 on the d-line and 2 LBs (7 in the box). Run up the middle and Iowa has a better matchup for this play and pushes the pile forward and turns a short gain into 6 yards.
- 2nd Down – Iowa has 6 on the o-line, 2 RBs, and the TE that moved behind the o-line, 1 WR split wide. KY has same defensive setup, 5 d-dline, 2 LBs. Run up the middle and Iowa has a neutral matchup now since the KY D flashed to the line with a zone defender. There is no advantage here and we don't have Linderbaum at center.
- 3rd Down – Iowa has 7 on the o-line, 2 RBs and a WR still split wide. KY has 5 d-line but move 10 players to within 1 yard of the ball pre-snap. WR is covered in man with zero help. Run up the middle and pickup nothing but what would you expect? 10 defenders vs 8 blockers is not good math. Audible that shit and see if your boy on the outside can make a play or draw a flag. Who wouldn't want a 1-on-1 matchup with zero coverage and max protect?
If Iowa doesn’t run the ball up the middle on every single play, Kentucky likely isn’t moving 10 players to the line on 3rd down.
If Iowa throws the ball on 2nd or 3rd down the only negative would have been KY left with 1 timeout. Big deal? I don’t think so. The clock pauses on all 1st downs in college until the ball is spotted and stops on incomplete passes. One remaining timeout isn’t going to change the outcome here but an Iowa 1st down would.
It starts with the coaches having a sack and playing to win. Let's put this into a little perspective. Last night in the National Champ Game, GA is up 19-18 with the ball, 7:04 on the clock, and starting from their own 38....sure there's a few more ticks on the clock but the philosophy is the same. Play to win.