Offense - over/under stats for season

R

Ronco

Well-Known Member
Rushing yards- 2000
Passing yards- 2500
PPG- 30
TD Passes- 22
Rushing TD's- 17
Pick 6's- 1
INT's- 7
Fumbles Lost- 4
leading rusher- 1300
Leading receiver- 850

To take the push or over on those stats seem like best case scenario for our offense.

I like our offense to score more points, but 30 seems like too big of a jump.
 
herkyattack said:
Way over on passing yards. 3000, or even 3250, would be a better o/u imo
Click to expand...

Have we ever thrown for 3000 yards under Ferentz? Certainly 3000 isn't a lot especially with a 12 game schedule, but that would be out of whack with KF's balance mantra.
 
Rushing yards- 2000 - under
Passing yards- 2500 - Over
PPG- 30 - Over
TD Passes- 22 - Over
Rushing TD's- 17 - under
Pick 6's- 1 - OVER - With the final play of the BTN practice being a Rick 6, I say 4?
INT's- 7 - Over
Fumbles Lost- 4 - push
leading rusher- 1300 - under - Jewel
Leading receiver- 850 - Over - DJK
 
Rushing yards- 2000
Under. Close, though. I'll say 1850. Our O-Line is slimmer and more athletic than usual and I think down the stretch as our pass offense gets more comfortable, we run the ball less. Not in Ferentz's typical style but he's never had a senior QB and receivers this talented at the same time before.

Passing yards- 2500
Over. 2770. Ricky will be more effective this year but our typical style is to ease off the gas early when we have a lead. Once we're up 14+, the run game takes over and we only pass on third and 4+. Our defense will keep the opponent's score low, so look for Iowa to ease off the gas earlier rather than later in most games.

PPG- 30
Under. 27.

TD Passes- 22
I really wanna push on this one but I'll say over. 7 to DJK, 9 to McNutt, 2 to Davis, 5 to tight ends and running backs. 23 TD Passes from Ricky.

Rushing TD's- 17
Over. With our conservative nature in the red zone and our zone blocking scheme, expect plenty of rushing TDs from 15 yards out. Jewel Hampton looks hungry to get on the field and our goal line offense looked great in the open scrimmage. Jewel Hampton gets 12 TDs, Ricky gets 4, A-Rob gets 5, and De'Andre Johnson gets 1 on opening weekend. 22 rushing TDs.

Pick 6's- 1
Over. A leopard doesn't change its spots. 3 Rick Sixes this season.

INT's- 7
Under. The picks from Ricky will be costly but they'll be limited. 6 INTs.

Fumbles Lost- 4
Under. Jewel and A-Rob are both sure ball carriers. I only see 3 fumbles overall. We lose 1.

leading rusher- 1300
Over. By week 4, Jewel is the standalone #1 back. A-Rob's role shrinks to mostly garbage time, and he finishes with 500 yards. Jewel has a strong season, finishing with 1350.

Leading receiver- 850
Over. DJK wants to go to the league. Look for him to make highlight catches and burn coverage over the middle. Though the pass game will be limited, DJK makes the most of his opportunities. 965 yards this year.
 
I like the optimism on the passing yardage, but for that to happen we'll need to average 30+ -AND- JVB will need to get playing time early and often.

I should have asked about FGs- I'll put those at 15.
 
Ronco said:
Have we ever thrown for 3000 yards under Ferentz? Certainly 3000 isn't a lot especially with a 12 game schedule, but that would be out of whack with KF's balance mantra.
Click to expand...

Ricky and Vandy last year combined for about 2900 yards. There were pretty much two "dead" games in there for us as well. The NW game, where Vandy was getting his first game action, and the Minnesota game, where he was pressured too often to get comfortable. I think Stanzi throws for pretty close to 3000 this year all by himself.
 
Rushing yards- 2000...under
Passing yards- 2500... over
PPG- 30...over
TD Passes- 22...over
Rushing TD's- 17...under
Pick 6's- 1...over
INT's- 7...over
Fumbles Lost- 4...over
leading rusher- 1300...under
Leading receiver- 850...over
 
Rushing 2000- Under
Passing- 2500 Over
PPG 30 Over
TD Passes 22 over
Rushing TD's Over
Pick 6- push
Ints 7 over
FUmbles lost 4 over
Leading rushinger 1300- (If Jewel is healthy) over (if not) under
Leading Receiver- 850 push
 
MidnightBlueSix said:
Rushing yards- 2000
Under. Close, though. I'll say 1850. Our O-Line is slimmer and more athletic than usual and I think down the stretch as our pass offense gets more comfortable, we run the ball less. Not in Ferentz's typical style but he's never had a senior QB and receivers this talented at the same time before.

Passing yards- 2500
Over. 2770. Ricky will be more effective this year but our typical style is to ease off the gas early when we have a lead. Once we're up 14+, the run game takes over and we only pass on third and 4+. Our defense will keep the opponent's score low, so look for Iowa to ease off the gas earlier rather than later in most games.

PPG- 30
Under. 27.

TD Passes- 22
I really wanna push on this one but I'll say over. 7 to DJK, 9 to McNutt, 2 to Davis, 5 to tight ends and running backs. 23 TD Passes from Ricky.

Rushing TD's- 17
Over. With our conservative nature in the red zone and our zone blocking scheme, expect plenty of rushing TDs from 15 yards out. Jewel Hampton looks hungry to get on the field and our goal line offense looked great in the open scrimmage. Jewel Hampton gets 12 TDs, Ricky gets 4, A-Rob gets 5, and De'Andre Johnson gets 1 on opening weekend. 22 rushing TDs.

Pick 6's- 1
Over. A leopard doesn't change its spots. 3 Rick Sixes this season.

INT's- 7
Under. The picks from Ricky will be costly but they'll be limited. 6 INTs.

Fumbles Lost- 4
Under. Jewel and A-Rob are both sure ball carriers. I only see 3 fumbles overall. We lose 1.

leading rusher- 1300
Over. By week 4, Jewel is the standalone #1 back. A-Rob's role shrinks to mostly garbage time, and he finishes with 500 yards. Jewel has a strong season, finishing with 1350.

Leading receiver- 850
Over. DJK wants to go to the league. Look for him to make highlight catches and burn coverage over the middle. Though the pass game will be limited, DJK makes the most of his opportunities. 965 yards this year.
Click to expand...

I dont really see DJK getting 7 TD's. Unless he breaks them from 20+ yards each, once we get to the redzone its all MC7 from there.
 
Rushing yards-2000....under, but not by much
Passing yards-2500....over, Stanzi will be really pushing 3,000 yards
PPG-30.....over, but only by a little, like 30.7
TD passes-22....over
Rushing TD's-17....under, I see us going to the fade route with McNutt more often this year down on the goalline
Pick 6's-1....I'm gonna say push. An earlier poster mentioned that a "leopard don't change its spots". That logic should have applied to Stanzi's fumbling issues from 2008. And it didn't. I think he all but eliminates his pick 6 bug this year.
INT's-7....over, but just by 1
Fumbles lost-4.....under. Two freshman held onto the ball quite nicely last year. I expect the same this year.
Leading rusher-1300....under. Jewell might get to 1100, but A-Rob is going to finish with around 700.
Leading receiver-850.....over. DJK is going to showcase every bit of talent and determination he's got this year, and it's going to show on the statsheet.
 
Didn't I read that Stanzi had 2400 passing yards last year? And that was nearly 3 games he didn't play in. With an improved running game, and the receivers he's got, I'm taking the over.

I also think his pick sixes were an anomoly last year. How often do you really see pick sixes?? Like 1/20 usually? I don't think any pick sixes..
 
Rushing yards- 2000
Over. Hampton is easily capable of being a 12-1500 rusher this year. Robinson and company can easily pick up the extra 500-800.

Passing yards- 2500
Over. What I said in my previous post. Stanzi almost had that last year being out two games.

PPG- 30
Under. In the Ferentz era have we ever even been close? My quick guess is no.

TD Passes- 22
Push. A little less than 2 per game sounds about right.

Rushing TD's- 17
Push. It's hard for me to say on this one.

Pick 6's- 1
Under. Last year was an outlier. No way will Stanzi be that careless again.

INT's- 7
Over. While I think Stanzi will be smarter, he won't be perfect. I'm gonna say 8 or 9 right now.

Fumbles Lost- 4
Under. How many did we lose last year? I can't think of any, except on Spievey's muffed punt against Indiana.

leading rusher- 1300
Push. Gonna be Hampton.

Leading receiver- 850
Over. I saw DJK, McNutt, or Davis has a big year and gets at least 1000.
 
rushing -under
passing- over barely
ppg- under 30 for sure
td passes- under
rushing td's- under
pick 6's -2 for us 2 for foes
interceptions- 7 ricky over our defense way over
fumbles lost- 4 over
leading rusher- under 1300 just because I expect the numbers to be split up.
leading receiver-over 850 I think DJK will push 1000
 
Jonesy86 said:
Rushing yards- 2000
Over. Hampton is easily capable of being a 12-1500 rusher this year. Robinson and company can easily pick up the extra 500-800.

Passing yards- 2500
Over. What I said in my previous post. Stanzi almost had that last year being out two games.

PPG- 30
Under. In the Ferentz era have we ever even been close? My quick guess is no.

TD Passes- 22
Push. A little less than 2 per game sounds about right.

Rushing TD's- 17
Push. It's hard for me to say on this one.

Pick 6's- 1
Under. Last year was an outlier. No way will Stanzi be that careless again.

INT's- 7
Over. While I think Stanzi will be smarter, he won't be perfect. I'm gonna say 8 or 9 right now.

Fumbles Lost- 4
Under. How many did we lose last year? I can't think of any, except on Spievey's muffed punt against Indiana.

leading rusher- 1300
Push. Gonna be Hampton.

Leading receiver- 850
Over. I saw DJK, McNutt, or Davis has a big year and gets at least 1000.
Click to expand...

In 2001, the Hawks averaged 33.82 ppg. In 2002, we averaged 37.23 ppg. The fewest points we scored in a regular season game was 20, and we went over 40 six times. In 2003 they came close, averaging 28.69 ppg. They averaged 26.9 ppg in 2005. And we averaged 30.31 ppg in 2008.

So to answer your question, we've either scored 30+ ppg or come close to it 5 times under Ferentz. Given the personnel we have now, I don't think it's hard to imagine there being a 6th.
 
Ronco said:
Rushing yards- 2000
Passing yards- 2500
PPG- 30
TD Passes- 22
Rushing TD's- 17
Pick 6's- 1
INT's- 7
Fumbles Lost- 4
leading rusher- 1300
Leading receiver- 850

To take the push or over on those stats seem like best case scenario for our offense.

I like our offense to score more points, but 30 seems like too big of a jump.
Click to expand...

Rushing yards- 2000 - (under) last year's total was under 1500. If Wegher was a factor instead of a unknown at this point I'd think about putting over. AROB and Jewel CAN NOT get hurt, as this is the only firepower Iowa has.

Passing yards- 2500 - (Over, easily). Stanzi got that almost by himself despite missing 2 games (I'm counting the NW game as a missed game). Stanzi, McNutt, DKJ = best QB,WR trio since 2002.

PPG- 30 (under) Iowa would have to average a whole TD more per game last year to get to 30 ppg.

TD Passes- 22 - (over) Iowa got 19 last season and they really didn't know who else besides DJK they had for WRs. Now they KNOW what they have.

Rushing TD's- 17 (under/push) - I'd like to go over, but for the same reason I have to say under the rushing yardage total. That and no more Wegher bombs this year.

Pick 6's- 1 (over) unless they burned that short out route from the playbook

INT's- 7 (over) That'd cut stanzi's int total by more than half
Fumbles Lost- 4 (push) ARobs pretty solid, don't know how jewel will be after a year off, Paki scares me

leading rusher- 1300 (under), I think jewel and arob will both be around the same total yards, it's unlikely that one will get enough carries to emerge as a true #1 back

Leading receiver- 850 (over) just barely, DJK got 750 last year, McNutt got 674 on 34 catches. Both those numbers go up this year. They could both do it.
 
tm3308 said:
In 2001, the Hawks averaged 33.82 ppg. In 2002, we averaged 37.23 ppg. The fewest points we scored in a regular season game was 20, and we went over 40 six times. In 2003 they came close, averaging 28.69 ppg. They averaged 26.9 ppg in 2005. And we averaged 30.31 ppg in 2008.

So to answer your question, we've either scored 30+ ppg or come close to it 5 times under Ferentz. Given the personnel we have now, I don't think it's hard to imagine there being a 6th.
Click to expand...

WOW! I would've never thought. Then again I haven't been following the program this closely til the 06 season..

I guess it's easy to underestimate when you forget about the games like 08 Minnesota..
 
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