No offense, but have you even looked at some of the other bubble teams? Arizona State with an RPI in the mid 90s. Virginia with an RPI of 70 and a non-con SOS almost identical to ours who lost to Old Dominion ranked #317. Southern Miss, who plays in the 11th toughest conference in the country and just loss to the mighty Marshall Thundering Herd and have ZERO wins against RPI Top 50.
That's just a sampling. So, to say that it's a long shot that we'll make the tourney if we make the semi's of the BTT, is laughable.