OK, here's my take, which I don't expect many/any others to agree with.
I think most of the success Ferentz has had was a great deal from *after glow fallout* from the Hayden Fry era.
I think Ferentz was given a lot of credit for being responsible for good young men coming into the program who would have signed no matter who the coach was, based on the rabid fanaticism that built up during *The Hayden Fry Years*..
Fry did build up the program to strength and greatness, and he was absolutely brilliant in whipping up the very fanaticism that drove our appetites. So little tykes knew they were going to play for the Hawkeyes when they grew up, if they could. We had our pick of the best kids in the state... and beyond!
AND, we could offer for a whole lot of great kids from other states who were happy to come and play for Fry and be a Hawkeye. It was a great program. They could be showcased. They could be a part of all that winning!
And Fry got a snowball rolling.
So, for awhile, it kept rolling, if sporadically, for several more years after Hayden's departure. It slowed a bit at Hayden's end, but it wasn't stalled out, and it kept rolling for awhile. What Hayden Fry built benefited the coach that followed him! For awhile...
But, as the years passed, our *great years* were strung out a bit more, other teams climbed to their own greatness too, and I think it's harder and harder to get as many really, really good young men to play here. Always some really good one on board, don't get me wrong. But not enough who are that much better, and in dense enough numbers to keep the quality of the Hawkeye play what it used to be in those Fry years.
And so, the program loses a tiny bit of luster. We have a great season, and we get back a little more of the luster, but then we have a couple years of really mid-level results (yeah, yeah, bowl game, but still mid-level in the B1G) and after awhile, the best of the best start looking to sign with other teams.
The snowball just isn't rolling along very well much anymore. Other teams get more of the best players. We're trying to build with what we can get. Not lousy quality, but just not what we used to be able to attract. Recruiting always sounds exciting, but still.. most of the best don't come to us anymore. You gotta' be able to recruit, and then you gotta' be able to bring them along. It isn't working anymore.
It just feels like for the past quite a few years Ferentz has been getting by on the after glow from the Fry years that we've been able to take advantage of, but we aren't really making our own glow to keep it going anymore. It's like he fell into it and came up smelling like a rose because Hayden's snowball kept rolling for awhile, but then.. Ferentz wasn't able to keep the snowball rolling from his own ability. Hayden's after glow what the magic, and it ran out.
Don't know whether that made sense to anyone. Just a thought...