Iowa goes for it, scores a touchdown, and makes the two pointer, they're tied at 14-14.
Iowa goes for it, scores a touchdown, and misses the two pointer, they're down 14-12. They kick off with 3:00 minutes or so left. They need to stop Wisconsin, with the wind at their back, they need to get to Wisconsin's 35 yard line or so with a chance to win the game with a 52 yard FG. Recinos was practicing those at halftime (and making them).
Iowa goes for it, doesn't make it. Wisconsin takes over. Iowa needs to stop them, and then score a TD with the two point extra point for the tie.
Iowa doesn't go for it, kicks a FG and makes it, they're down 14-9. They need to stop Wisconsin, and score a TD.
Iowa doesn't go for it, kicks a FG and misses it, they're down 14-6. They need to stop Wisconsin and score a TD with the two point extra point for the tie.
Definitely too much math to process. Under 4 of these scenarios, they needed to stop Wisconsin and score a TD. They couldn't stop Wisconsin. That's why they should have gone for it, I think.