Just Leaving This Here...

[Fryowa]

Objectively, Iowa State went on the road and beat Iowa head-to-head. Jesu...

So by your logic Vanderbilt should be ranked ahead of Alabama. Jesu…

 

[Fryowa]

It’s not my fault btw if people don’t have the power to understand math, statistics (as a field), and the fact that biased human opinion is meaningless. There’s a whole bunch of people here I envision being in Vegas laying money on a roulette table thinking the longer they play the better their odds get because “at some point odds say you have to win eventually.”

 

[AreWeThereYet]

Here is the AI overview on Sagarin rankings.

Jeff Sagarin's Sagarin Rankings are based on two rating systems, each of which assigns a certain number of points to each team:

• Elo chess
  This system is based on the Elo rating system used to rank chess players, and only considers wins and losses.
• Predictor
  This system takes the margin of victory into account. The difference in rating scores between two teams is meant to predict the margin of victory for the stronger team.
  
  

In both systems, teams gain higher ratings by winning against stronger opponents, and home-venue advantage is also considered. In the Predictor system, a law of diminishing returns is applied to the margin of victory. For example, a team that wins by 7–6 is rewarded less than a team that wins by 21–7, but a team that wins by 35–0 receives similar ratings to a team that wins by 70–0.

I will add that Sagarin is not based on any "in-game" performance metrics, such as yards or completions. It's just W/L and score of a team, its opponents, and its opponents opponents.