I don't see Fran getting fired after next season, even if the team is not winning yet. However, his fate as Hawkeye coach could be sealed by then.
If he doesn't see a dramatic uptick in recruiting by that point, that means he has missed out on his Spring 2011 targets and Fall 2012. That means he will be looking at at least 2 more subpar years. No way he can survive that many down years.
So you are saying that Iowa will not fire Fran after two seasons???
You are really going out on the limb there.
Barta got his one mulligan. Fran is not going anywhere for a minimum of 5 years.
How far into Lute's run was it before he got a single highly rated player?
Sky King was not highly rated,neither was Ronnie Lester.
Coaching does count in this equation.
The illini have 10 top 150 players on their roster and sit at 4-4,same as MSU,who also have at least 5 top40 players.
I just think you have to back off the declarative statements on Fran's fate. If he hits on a kyle korver,who nobody wanted, and he turns into a 1st team All American...well, he could prosper.
Talent evaluation is still not an exact science.
If Woodbury and Gesell sign by next November,it will be a good thing,but it does not guarantee success either.
Jacob Pullen was nobodys HS all american but is big 12 preseason POY and a preseason 1st team AA...hopefully Fran can find a guy like that.