If Alabama and Cincinnati lose and Iowa wins, Georgia and Notre Dame are in the playoffs for sure. The list of teams fighting for the other 2 spots are the Big 12 winner, Pac 12 winner, Alabama, and Iowa. I don't think any other teams have a shot. Iowa would need to beat out two of those teams.
You could make an argument that it's dumb to put a 2 loss team who just lost to the 1 seed over a 2 loss team who just beat a top 4 team. I doubt the committee will care about that tho. But say they do see it that way, that's one team we jumped. I don't think there's any way we jump the Big 12 winner so it would have to be the Pac 12 winner. If it comes down to Iowa and Utah for the final spot, and our victory over Michigan is fresh on the committee's mind, I could definitely see us getting in over them. Even tho I think the odds are next to zero of getting in, I'll be rooting for those teams to lose to make the selection exciting.