Luftgekuehlt67
Well-Known Member
Apologies if something similar has already done because, frankly, someone else could probably do it better. But, I was curious, so I did some digging.
First, I want to say I think Fran is a good coach. Maybe not a *great* coach but, as I have shown before, he outperforms Iowa's historical performance as a program by a solid margin and, as such, I advocate for keeping him.
But, it does seem that Iowa has been somewhat...peaky under Fran. As in, play really well mid season but end up going out with a whimper. Does the data support this impression?
I looked all all of Fran's seasons from 2010-11 through present (which happens to be the OSU game). I focused on the KenPom top 150 just to get a nice even dataset. I split the 150 into three tiers:
1-50
51-100
101-150
Then, I looked at what Iowa's overall winning percentage is against each of the 3 tiers under Fran. Then, within each tier, I broke it down by month (February through March - only 2 April games under Fran).
Here is what I found. Yes, I think there is a trend. The KenPom ratings are based on how that team finished the year in the rankings (or, in the case of the current season, their current KenPom ranking)
First, I want to say I think Fran is a good coach. Maybe not a *great* coach but, as I have shown before, he outperforms Iowa's historical performance as a program by a solid margin and, as such, I advocate for keeping him.
But, it does seem that Iowa has been somewhat...peaky under Fran. As in, play really well mid season but end up going out with a whimper. Does the data support this impression?
I looked all all of Fran's seasons from 2010-11 through present (which happens to be the OSU game). I focused on the KenPom top 150 just to get a nice even dataset. I split the 150 into three tiers:
1-50
51-100
101-150
Then, I looked at what Iowa's overall winning percentage is against each of the 3 tiers under Fran. Then, within each tier, I broke it down by month (February through March - only 2 April games under Fran).
Here is what I found. Yes, I think there is a trend. The KenPom ratings are based on how that team finished the year in the rankings (or, in the case of the current season, their current KenPom ranking)