I think you underestimate the importance of experience, but I do agree that a coaches ability to recruit good players is very important. Brad Stevens spent 7 yrs as an assistant and he has probably studied more game tape during that time than Hoiberg has in 10 yrs of playing in the NBA. (I think Stevens started as the video coordinator breaking down opponents schemes)
You can have all the talent in the world, but a coach has to get the most out of that talent to win. If what you say was true a guy like Wayne Morgan would still be coaching somewhere today. Tracy Webster would have been snatched up by a school by now.
True. However it's not like Fred hasn't watched plenty of tape in his life. I could watch tape for a year and it wouldn't make a difference because I'm an idiot when it comes to that stuff.
We had a player from the 90s under Orr post on our board recently that the teams he was on basically ran one play, the Wheel, and they ran the crap out of it. ISU retained TJ Otz to help recruit and they'll be bringing in an old hand to help with the X's and O's. I'm not saying this is a sure thing and far from it but I think Fred is acutely aware of his shortcomings and is addressing that on his staff.