HawkeyeNation 2012 Iowa Football Game By Game Prediction

In regards to the bowl game let us remember that tOSU and PSU are not eligible for bowls so depending on how everybody finishes some B1G teams may get bumped up a spot or two on the bowl pecking order putting some teams in bowls a little better than their record.
 
PCHawk said:
in the last 10 years we have rarely gotten better as the year went on.
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This is way off. Last couple or few years, maybe. But last 10 years? The 2002-2004 teams had an unbelievable record in October and November. I also seem to recall the 2008 team came on very strong at the end of the year.
 
"There is no way Iowa gives up 24 points to UNI. Also are lot more games to worry about than Indiana." David 79

I agree. If Iowa gives up 24 points to UNI, then every other prediction is in jeopardy.

If Iowa's DL doesn't perform...The only lock is Central Michigan. Iowa's offense may be good, but I doubt they will be able to average 30 points a game. If the defense gives up 24 to UNI, how much are going to give up to B1G teams? 30? 40?

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I don't see Iowa losing to Indiana, but the possibility is there. Iowa has sent better teams to Bloomington and lost. Indiana doesn't roll over and play dead.

Northwestern is always a problem, but once again, better Iowa teams have been beaten by the Wildcats.

Michigan has too much of a talent pool to stay down long. I don't see them losing at home to this Iowa team.
 
Section136 said:
PCHawk said:
in the last 10 years we have rarely gotten better as the year went on.
Click to expand...
This is way off. Last couple or few years, maybe. But last 10 years? The 2002-2004 teams had an unbelievable record in October and November. I also seem to recall the 2008 team came on very strong at the end of the year.
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I said 10 because it was an even number, guess I should have been more specific. in the last 7 years we have gotten better as
 
last season's defense took large strides late in the year even with several key players missing. Health will be the key to the entire season.
 
The problem is statements like this are nearly impossible to prove...

PCHawk said:
as the year went on 1 time
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as there are so many variables. Each season has to be seen within the context of what is going on at the time.

2006 - Iowa starts 5-1, finishes 6-7. Undoubtedly did not get better.
2007 - Starts 2-4, finishes 4-2. 4-2 finish includes beating good Illinois team, MSU in OT. Also includes loss to Western Michigan to drop Iowa out of a bowl.
2008 - Iowa wins 6 of last 7. This was a good team that basically couldn't buy a win in a close game early in the year and then with PSU by 1 point, followed up with close win over Purdue, then blowouts over other teams.
2009 - the record would say Iowa did not get better, but what happens if Stanzi doesn't get hurt? One could reasonably argue that Iowa beats Northwestern and even with a loss to OSU Iowa wins a title of the conference title. Bounced back by winning a BCS bowl. Hard to say Iowa dropped off significantly in the last half of the year.
2010 - Team was in position until the gut-punch losses to Northwestern and OSU, and the total capitulation in losing to Minnesota. Did not get better.
2011 - Up and won final half of year. Lose at Minnesota, then win over Michigan. Play poorly against MSU at home, follow up by winning at Purdue. Then lose to 2 better teams in Nebraska and Oklahoma.
 
Man that 2002 team was good. If only Ferentz had changed his bowl preparation before this season, that bowl game may have a different ending... but USC just absolutely pulverized us.
 
I'm going with 8-4, with the Northwestern game being a huge momentum situation. That is always the type of game that takes the wind out of our sails. 8-4 with this roster would be huge for the coming seasons...
 
I think the record is about right. You're missing the big upset win that iowa has every year but those are generally hard to predict before the season.

Iowa isn't losing to Indiana. They could lose to Northwestern or Purdue though.
 
The way I see it, with no upset wins and no upset losses we go 9-3. More likely that we have an upset loss than a win. Wild card is the number of injuries, growth of team during the year, impact of coaching staff changes, and playing to win.
 
Jon i'm cool with you throwing out the loss we always get against a team we have no business losing to like NW or Indiana or Minny, but you forgot the game we show up and dominate against some team we probably shouldn't beat. We get one of those every year it seems too, and usually they're from the state of Michigan. 10-2 schedule, with an 8-4 team, equals 9-3 and a bowl win. I think we'll lose to MSU, I think we'll beat Nebraska at home, and Michigan will be a toss up, probably lose since its on the road. 3rd loss probably comes to a team from the state of Indiana. 9-3, bowl win, really good season.
 
Btw. Honestly Jon i think NIU should be more of a "sure-win" then Central Michigan. Their entire offensive line is gonzo, and you mentioned all their skill guys. a completely brand new offensive line and offense sounds like just what the new dline of iowa needs to get healthy.
 
troy said:
I hope you are correct, but if the Iowa defense allows nearly 27 points per game, 8 wins won't happen. Opposing teams aren't going to respect the Iowa running game, and they will really go after the QB. I hope the O-line can protect Vandy, and I also hope the running game is serviceable with minimal turnovers.
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JonDMiller said:
I have them allowing just under 24 per game. Where do you get nearly 27?
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Sorry Jon, I looked at the wrong number. Here's what you wrote:

"Here is how my points per game and points per game allowed totals added up:
Points Per Game Average: 26.66
Points Per Game Allowed Average: 23.66"
 
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