For people interested in analytics

[lazyhawkfan]

Saw this on sb Nation. Has a Michigan state lean, but found it really interesting.

Big Ten Hoops Odds Update (A win is a win)

Michigan State finally got into the win column at Nebraska. Have the prospects for the rest of the season improved? Let’s check the #math

www.theonlycolors.com

 

[ssckelley]

Is Michigan State the 2nd or 3rd worse team in the conference?

 

[HaydenHawk56]

A lot of our main competition has easier schedules compared to us looking at this chart. I would agree....especially Michigan.

 

[Luftgekuehlt67]

Saw this on sb Nation. Has a Michigan state lean, but found it really interesting.

Big Ten Hoops Odds Update (A win is a win)

Michigan State finally got into the win column at Nebraska. Have the prospects for the rest of the season improved? Let’s check the #math

www.theonlycolors.com

That was interesting. The numbers say the Hawks have a shot at the title but it'll be a battle. Sounds about right.

 

[Ian Pike Hammer]

Saw this on sb Nation. Has a Michigan state lean, but found it really interesting.

Big Ten Hoops Odds Update (A win is a win)

Michigan State finally got into the win column at Nebraska. Have the prospects for the rest of the season improved? Let’s check the #math

www.theonlycolors.com

It figures: Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Rutgers all have easier schedules. I guess that mean only 1 thing: we need to beat them head to head!

 

[PCHawk]

It figures: Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Rutgers all have easier schedules. I guess that mean only 1 thing: we need to beat them head to head!

Would be nice to have our 1 plays against Illinois and Michigan at home instead of on the road.

 

[Lumberman]

I loved the scatter graph! Haven’t seen one since Statistics class in college. This guy is a serious math geek, who also loves sports! I was impressed

 

[WindsorHawk]

Is Michigan State the 2nd or 3rd worse team in the conference?

Right now they definitely are IMO.

 

[WindsorHawk]

It figures: Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Rutgers all have easier schedules. I guess that mean only 1 thing: we need to beat them head to head!

They all need those advantages since none of them have the National POY.

 

[MisterLucky]

Well, Illinois thinks they do.

 

[MisterLucky]

I loved the scatter graph! Haven’t seen one since Statistics class in college. This guy is a serious math geek, who also loves sports! I was impressed

Wonder why I don't see Iowa on that graph as a possible 2021 contender.

 

[Luftgekuehlt67]

It figures: Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Rutgers all have easier schedules. I guess that mean only 1 thing: we need to beat them head to head!

Yeah, I know what you mean and, obviously, an easier schedule would be preferable to a harder one...but, consider:

- Good teams lose to teams they should beat all the time... possibly especially so in a league/year like this where most games promise to be a 40 minute bare knuckle brawl.

- Sadly, injuries happen. At least one of the championship contending teams is likely to be significantly impacted by injury before the race is won.

- Teams trend up and down, so what might look like an easy game today might be a tougher out in a few week's time. Not to bring up a bad memory, but recall a few years back when the Hawks were top 10 in the early/mid season and beating everyone in sight...and then by season's end I'm not sure we would have been a lock to win an intramural tournament.

It's a cliche, but I think the only way to go is to treat every game like a 1-game season. Try to go 1-0 and, if you fail, try to go 1-0 again a few nights later. Once you get down to the last 2-3 games, then start comparing schedules and scoreboard watching.

Just my 2 cents. I'm a big fan of analytics, but also acknowledging the games will be decided on court.

 

[PCHawk]

Yeah, I know what you mean and, obviously, an easier schedule would be preferable to a harder one...but, consider:

- Good teams lose to teams they should beat all the time... possibly especially so in a league/year like this where most games promise to be a 40 minute bare knuckle brawl.

- Sadly, injuries happen. At least one of the championship contending teams is likely to be significantly impacted by injury before the race is won.

- Teams trend up and down, so what might look like an easy game today might be a tougher out in a few week's time. Not to bring up a bad memory, but recall a few years back when the Hawks were top 10 in the early/mid season and beating everyone in sight...and then by season's end I'm not sure we would have been a lock to win an intramural tournament.

It's a cliche, but I think the only way to go is to treat every game like a 1-game season. Try to go 1-0 and, if you fail, try to go 1-0 again a few nights later. Once you get down to the last 2-3 games, then start comparing schedules and scoreboard watching.

Just my 2 cents. I'm a big fan of analytics, but also acknowledging the games will be decided on court.

I'm already scoreboard watching. Problem is, I have no idea who to root for tonight.

 

[Seth53]

I'm already scoreboard watching. Problem is, I have no idea who to root for tonight.

Easy for me. Sparty has caused us much recent hardwood angst.

I say let Buttgers pound on them and have Izzo et al creep on towards the B1G basement.

 

[MileHighHawkeye]

MSU will be MSU the rest of the season. I thought tonight their D' looked good. They get out on the three point shooters. Don't ever count them out. RU made some runs but they don't have the horses of MSU. Plus RU's FT shooting will be their Achilles heel the rest of the season. Because of that they will end up mid-pack in the B1G. They are good enough though to win some games, particularly at home. Any team outside of the B1G should beware of them at Indy. Us winning there is big.