For All The People Thinking Revenue Sharing Will Help...

Fryowa

Administrator
...it won't.

I keep reading a lot of people online commenting that once revenue sharing goes into effect it will help even out the playing field. Couldn't be further from the truth.

Revenue sharing is capped at $20.5 million per school to be divided up between sports. So in the case where say, Purdue currently has $7 million for basketball and Iowa has $1.5 million, the gap between other schools isn't going to close. Football is always going to be the big dog in town for each sports program (even basketball schools), and it's being widely reported that most places will put 75%+ of revenue sharing towards football which makes sense because you put your money toward your biggest revenue sport. Heinrichs has said for Iowa it will be probably more than 75%.

So let's be conservative and say that Iowa is going to give 30% of that $20.5 million to basketball ($6,150,000...not gonna happen, btw, lol)...Under current state that would bring us to $7.65 million for basketball salary.

Let's then be conservative the other way and say that Purdue gives 20% of their rev-share to basketball ($4,100,000). That would bring their total basketball salary money to $11.1 million. That extreme (and very unlikely) scenario...heavily favored towards Iowa...would still put the salary gap at $3.5 million to the detriment of the Hawks. And that's just one team.

Basically this means that if Iowa was on the bottom of NIL before rev share, they're still going to be on the bottom after.

Sorry to burst your bubble, folks, but that above hypothetical is total fiction, heavily biased towards Iowa, and isn't going to happen, but even if it did the Hawks are still WAY out of the mix for NIL. And then when you start talking schools like Penn State and OSU that have those enormous collectives it gets even worse. Those schools are effectively going to double the huge collectives they already have. And let's not even get started with the big SEC schools that have even bigger collectives, they could essentially give everything to basketball and it wouldn't even be a drop in the bucket to their football programs.

It's time to face the music and temper your expectations of what a new coach, revenue sharing, and so on will bring. It's not going to move the needle. People here better get ready for a new reality, and Iowa basketball isn't in that new reality. Until they get some donor to fork over $5-6 million bucks specifically to the basketball program this thing is going to tank no matter what coach they hire. You really think any coach they interview isn't doing that math too? If you know someone with an extra $5 million to blow expecting no ROI, give 'em a call. I'll wait.

Also, before anyone here starts gushing about McCollum, let's all remember he has ONE season of Division 1 basketball under his belt, no coaching experience in P6 basketball...and Todd Lickliter had 4 NCAA tourneys (including 2 S16's) before he came here. I get wanting a different coach...I really do...but you guys are setting yourselves up for extreme disappointment here.
 
Yeah I never looked at that being any kind of field leveler either because of what you'd wrote and kids are always going to just want more NIL above and beyond too. The Swarm isn't going to not have a place. There's no such thing as 'enough' for these players so long as they can get more they'll be looking to get it. This revenue sharing from the schools just means kids will be getting more $ then they are now.

Even if every school agreed to spending the same (not in a million yrs would they. courts would have to force them to before they'd do that) the players would all still want to make more NIL $ be it from collectives endorsements etc etc etc.
 
Even if every school agreed to spending the same (not in a million yrs would they. courts would have to force them to before they'd do that) the players would all still want to make more NIL $ be it from collectives endorsements etc etc etc.
This is the key. There's no legally-forced parity unless college players collectively bargain, and that's not going to happen. How could you even do that when probably 80% of kids in basketball and football aren't starters getting big money and they aren't going to realistically be on rosters the full 4 years? You'd have to have a new CBA every year.

I'm not opposed to what's happening, btw. This is the NCAA getting what it deserves and people in one industry shouldn't be prevented from making money providing a service versus another industry.

I think what it's going to do when the dust settles is create a "division" above D1 where the schools with the biggest collectives are the players. And I'm ok with that. It'll put skill against similar skill more than what it is now.
 
Iowa is doomed to live in the middle to bottom tier of the Big Ten in basketball for many years to come.
 
This is the key. There's no legally-forced parity unless college players collectively bargain, and that's not going to happen. How could you even do that when probably 80% of kids in basketball and football aren't starters getting big money and they aren't going to realistically be on rosters the full 4 years? You'd have to have a new CBA every year.

I'm not opposed to what's happening, btw. This is the NCAA getting what it deserves and people in one industry shouldn't be prevented from making money providing a service versus another industry.

I think what it's going to do when the dust settles is create a "division" above D1 where the schools with the biggest collectives are the players. And I'm ok with that. It'll put skill against similar skill more than what it is now.
Yeah that'd sure keep lawyers busy.. The players all come and go too fast. NFL running backs have longer careers then the good d1 athletes all do. The first order of business after signing LOIs will be to sit down for CBA talks. I don't see how that's a feasible thing at all. Just too many kids from coast to coast men/women both just a total shit show
 
...it won't.

I keep reading a lot of people online commenting that once revenue sharing goes into effect it will help even out the playing field. Couldn't be further from the truth.

Revenue sharing is capped at $20.5 million per school to be divided up between sports. So in the case where say, Purdue currently has $7 million for basketball and Iowa has $1.5 million, the gap between other schools isn't going to close. Football is always going to be the big dog in town for each sports program (even basketball schools), and it's being widely reported that most places will put 75%+ of revenue sharing towards football which makes sense because you put your money toward your biggest revenue sport. Heinrichs has said for Iowa it will be probably more than 75%.

So let's be conservative and say that Iowa is going to give 30% of that $20.5 million to basketball ($6,150,000...not gonna happen, btw, lol)...Under current state that would bring us to $7.65 million for basketball salary.

Let's then be conservative the other way and say that Purdue gives 20% of their rev-share to basketball ($4,100,000). That would bring their total basketball salary money to $11.1 million. That extreme (and very unlikely) scenario...heavily favored towards Iowa...would still put the salary gap at $3.5 million to the detriment of the Hawks. And that's just one team.

Basically this means that if Iowa was on the bottom of NIL before rev share, they're still going to be on the bottom after.

Sorry to burst your bubble, folks, but that above hypothetical is total fiction, heavily biased towards Iowa, and isn't going to happen, but even if it did the Hawks are still WAY out of the mix for NIL. And then when you start talking schools like Penn State and OSU that have those enormous collectives it gets even worse. Those schools are effectively going to double the huge collectives they already have. And let's not even get started with the big SEC schools that have even bigger collectives, they could essentially give everything to basketball and it wouldn't even be a drop in the bucket to their football programs.

It's time to face the music and temper your expectations of what a new coach, revenue sharing, and so on will bring. It's not going to move the needle. People here better get ready for a new reality, and Iowa basketball isn't in that new reality. Until they get some donor to fork over $5-6 million bucks specifically to the basketball program this thing is going to tank no matter what coach they hire. You really think any coach they interview isn't doing that math too? If you know someone with an extra $5 million to blow expecting no ROI, give 'em a call. I'll wait.

Also, before anyone here starts gushing about McCollum, let's all remember he has ONE season of Division 1 basketball under his belt, no coaching experience in P6 basketball...and Todd Lickliter had 4 NCAA tourneys (including 2 S16's) before he came here. I get wanting a different coach...I really do...but you guys are setting yourselves up for extreme disappointment here.
Question. So when revenue sharing kicks in, NIL still exists with no changes to that program?
 
At most schools, my guess would be 70-75% would go to football, but I am not sure how Title IX will factor into that, so those percentages I am guessing on could easily change.
 

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