First Game: Northern Illinois

WinOneThisCentury

Well-Known Member
Honestly, I hate the first game of the year. Teams have a month to prepare...mistakes happen...and playing teams like N. Illinois can provide you plenty of anxiety. They have a very good nucleus on offense coming back, 4 on the OL...although the QB is unproven if he has to beat you throwing. Good read though. Nebraska sure enjoyed playing them last year.

My guess is that we find out really quickly how good our LBs are going to be...and maybe how good the whole defense will be. The good news...is that I think we can score enough points to beat them regardless.

Today at No. 60: Northern Illinois

Coach: Rod Carey (44-24, entering seventh season; 44-24 overall)

2017 record: 8-5, 6-2 in the Mid-American Conference; tied for second in West Division

Look back: It didn’t take long for Northern Illinois fans to see that the 2017 campaign was going to be different than the previous season. A 21-17 road win at Nebraska in the third week was enough to catch everyone’s attention.

The Huskies would go on to win six of their next eight games and while a conference championship wasn’t in the cards, it was certainly a nice bounce-back season.

Offensive starters returning: 8

Offensive starters lost: 3

Defensive starters returning: 6

Defensive starters lost: 5

Key losses: RB Jordan Huff, WR Christian Blake, WR Chad Beebe, TE Shane Wimann, LB Jawuan Johnson, LB Bobby Jones IV, DB Shawun Lurry

Top returnees: QB Marcus Childers, WR Spencer Tears, WR D.J. Brown, OL Max Sharping, OL Luke Shively, OL Nathan Veloz, OL Jordan Steckler, DE Sutton Smith

Strengths: The Huskies featured the best defense in the conference last season led by a handful of all-conference selections and defensive end Sutton Smith, who earned MAC Defensive Player of the Year honors after leading the league in sacks (14.0).

Smith’s return bolsters a group that must make up for losing nearly a third of its production from last season.

The offensive line returns virtually intact, including a pair of all-conference performers in tackles Max Sharping and Jordan Steckler.

Weaknesses: Quarterback hasn’t necessarily been strength for the Huskies during the past few seasons. Injuries thrust five different players into the starting job the past two years, making the position one of the most inconsistent on the team. Marcus Childers earned Freshman of the Year honors after taking over the job five games into last season and leading the team to a 5-3 record. Childers’ ability to make plays on the ground and through the air makes him a valuable commodity heading into the 2018 season.

The 178 yards per game the Huskies averaged on the ground last season were the worst production from a Huskies team since 2008. Junior Marcus Jones (350 yards), who stepped into the starting lineup on a limited basis last season, earns a shot a much broader role in 2018. Sophomore Tre Harbison (290 yards) also will compete for carries. Northern Illinois is looking for its first 1,000-yard rusher since Joel Bouagnon in 2015.

Three of the top five NIU receiving threats are gone via graduation, leaving junior Spencer Tears (528 yards) as the strongest returning target.

Outlook: Northern Illinois played in six consecutive conference championships from 2010 to 2015 before injuries help end the streak. Last season’s turnaround was a nice start for the Huskies and Carey. With 14 returning starters and a slew of experience up and down the roster, there’s no reason this team couldn’t contend for another division title.
 
Interesting that Rod Carey has lasted 7 seasons at NIU. Before him it seemed like the NIU coach was getting promoted to a P5 program every couple of years. Jerry Kill went to Minnesota, Dave Doeren went to NCSU. I just assumed Carey would be gone in a couple of years too.
 
The good news is Ferentz doesn't lose to directional schools.

Sarcasm noted. What is the count up to?
Western Michigan, Central Michigan, Northern Illinois. That's at least 3 directional schools he has lost to.

Am I missing any? Does NORTH Dakota State count as a directional school?
 
Sarcasm noted. What is the count up to?
Western Michigan, Central Michigan, Northern Illinois. That's at least 3 directional schools he has lost to.

Am I missing any? Does NORTH Dakota State count as a directional school?

Should have lost to Northern Iowa but for the two blocked field goals. That should almost count.
 
Sarcasm noted. What is the count up to?
Western Michigan, Central Michigan, Northern Illinois. That's at least 3 directional schools he has lost to.

Am I missing any? Does NORTH Dakota State count as a directional school?
North Dakota is a state name, so not a directional school. Northwestern is also not a directional school. Central is also not a direction. I had repressed Western Michigan and Northern Illinois, so you got me on two.

How about this - Ferentz has never lost to a school with "Tech" in its name. I think that one's true, isn't it? Texas Tech, Tennessee Tech and Georgia Tech?
 
Thing about their QB is he is a much better runner than thrower, and we've been vastly improved in defending scrambling QB's since Phil took over. I don't think we blow the doors off them, but I think it will be a somewhat comfortable win. Say 24-10, 27-13 range, with a late score by NIU.
 
I was much more worried about Wyoming last year. If we lose to a non-Power 5 I think it’s week three, and I don’t think we drop a non-con this year. 3-0 Wisconsin and 3-0 Iowa in Kinnick on prime time television. I hope Stanley rubs ISU’s face in the dirt the way Beathard did in ‘16. Props to them knocking off Nebraska last year, but Iowa and Riley-Nebraska are worlds apart. If Josh Allen couldn’t beat us, their QB can’t. The only chance they have is a low scoring game, our defense will hold them to no more than two touchdowns. They have to hold us in the teens, and I think Stanley is going to post two or three passing TDs on his own. You remember those deep throws to wide open receivers that gave us so much hope week one last year? Those are going to connect this year. Any rushing production is icing on the cake.
 
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I think Iowa comes out looks sloppy in the first half, cleans up somewhat in the second half to win. Directional or not. It's the W that counts.
 
Sutton Smith at DE was the DPOY in the MAC last year. 14 sacks is pretty awesome regardless of who you are playing against. I hope the staff is creating a game plan that gives our OTs help against him. If he has a free shot at our QB, and it causes an injury to Stanley, then our hopes for the season take a big nose dive.

He is on a lot of lists as a Top10 pick in the upcoming 2019 draft. He is the real deal and we need to account for him.
 
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