Bubble Talk

clicheusername3 said:
Oh look I have a website too! Where there is NO mention of Iowa, not in the bracket, not in the bubble watch, so I'll take Jerry Palm's word over your word that Iowa isn't on the bubble blah blah blah. blah blah blah blah. Take your weak azz argument and gtfo ain't nobody got time for dat. For every website there's a counter website and that game is lame.
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Actually Jerry Palm updated his page today....it does say "probably out" but it mentions Iowa now.
 


clicheusername3 said:
Oh look I have a website too! Where there is NO mention of Iowa, not in the bracket, not in the bubble watch, so I'll take Jerry Palm's word over your word that Iowa isn't on the bubble blah blah blah. blah blah blah blah. Take your weak azz argument and gtfo ain't nobody got time for dat. For every website there's a counter website and that game is lame.
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Ok, gangsta boy.
 




1977Hawkeye said:
Ok, gangsta boy.
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nationalchamps said:
35cdc8.jpg
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nationalchamps said:
LOL...CUN3 pwned yet again....

images
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SpiderRico said:
No, it hasn't. It went from one where the inmates ran the asylum and was past the point of unbearable to a place where, for the most part, ideas and opinions can be freely and openly debated without the constant BS from the same people. We're almost there.....just have one more poster that needs to go.....
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Really? Has it? It seems to me like there are just new less interesting, less humorous, and less intelligent inmates running the asylum.
 


clicheusername3 said:
Omg I had no idea, MIND BLOWN. The only thing I said was that is not his official bracketology and you come out with this?

Wtsf is wrong with this place. I hope this is what JDM wanted when he banned everyone because this has gone from a fun forum to one with over sensitivity and seriousness, bad combo.
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Dude, you were trying to make it sound like it was "just some blog", but it's actually from Lunardi. Try again.
 






clicheusername3 said:
When I linked that wasn't there, now it has updated. Are you seriously trying to call me out on that? SpiderRico please tell me again how much this place has changed?
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Hey, you make your bed....you lay in it. The biggest change is you don't have your "friends" to come to your rescue. Maybe if you spent more time intelligently debating the OPs that are posted instead of being such a beligerent jerk, things'd be different.
 


clicheusername3 said:
Omg I had no idea, MIND BLOWN. The only thing I said was that is not his official bracketology and you come out with this?

Wtsf is wrong with this place. I hope this is what JDM wanted when he banned everyone because this has gone from a fun forum to one with over sensitivity and seriousness, bad combo.
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Then I said he is not going to update his bracketology everyday. So obviously it's going to be a blog update if he just did his bracketology the other day. Quit being so sensitive jeez...

Lunardi is considering us...
Palm says win a couple before we get to serious contention...
Cnnsi says win at Neb and see what the BTT pairing look like for us...

That's 3 major sites that have us on the bubble maybe on the far wrong side of the bubble, but on the bubble no less.

Beat Nebby Saturday and we don't have to win the BTT. So yeah that means we are on some sort of bubble.
 


I know it's not gospel but just 2 years ago the B10 got four 9-9 teams in the dance, two of which had less than 20 wins. If Iowa beats Nebraska on Saturday, wins in the first round of the B10 tourney and loses in the 2nd, that puts them at 10-10 in the conference and 21 wins overall. A lot depends on the strength of the conference (which appears to be pretty good this year) and the quality of the bubble teams (which seems to be fairly weak this year). I find it hard to believe that resume doesn't put Iowa squarely on the bubble with a good chance of squeaking in.
 


If we beat Nebraska, this is how I see it:

1. If we lose our first round game, we're out.
2. If we win our first round game, but lose the 2nd round game, I think we're in the play-in game as a 13 or 14 seed.
3. If we win both our first and second round games, but lose in the semi's, I think we miss the play in and get in as a 12 seed
4. If we win all but the championship, we get in somewhere around 9-11 seed
5. If we win the whole thing, then we get in somewhere around 7-9 seed.
 






SpiderRico said:
If we beat Nebraska, this is how I see it:

1. If we lose our first round game, we're out.
2. If we win our first round game, but lose the 2nd round game, I think we're in the play-in game as a 13 or 14 seed.
3. If we win both our first and second round games, but lose in the semi's, I think we miss the play in and get in as a 12 seed
4. If we win all but the championship, we get in somewhere around 9-11 seed
5. If we win the whole thing, then we get in somewhere around 7-9 seed.
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Keep in mind that BOTH sub-20 win, 9-9 conference teams got 10 seeds in the tourney in a season when the Big 10 was not as strong as it is this year.
 


AdamHawk said:
Keep in mind that BOTH sub-20 win, 9-9 conference teams got 10 seeds in the tourney in a season when the Big 10 was not as strong as it is this year.
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And keep in mind that both those teams had SUBSTANTIALLY better RPI's than Iowa currently does (39th and 45th by the end of the season, so they could have been different by a few spots going into the tourney).
 






SpiderRico said:
It looks like, right now, there are probably 8 spots available for at-large bubble teams. Those 8 spots look to be up for grabs for about 17 teams. They are as follows:

Colorado, Virginia, Kentucky, LaSalle, ISU, Boise State, Ole Miss, Iowa, Villanova, Temple, Maryland, Tennessee, Alabama, Baylor, Southern Miss, Arkansas, and Arizona State.

Right off the bat, I think you can take 4 teams out of that list:

Baylor - Only 16 total wins, 4-8 in their last 12, and 6th place in the 6th toughest conference. Not good enough in my opinion.
Southern Miss - They have only 1 win all year against Top 100 RPI. I know they're in 2nd place in their conference, but CUSA is only the 11th toughest conference in the country.
Arkansas - 7th place in the 7th toughest conference and an avg ranking (RPI, BPI, KenPom) of 79.
Arizona State - RPI of 93 and an avg ranking of 79 and 2 losses against 150 plus RPI teams.

That leaves 13 teams for 8 spots. Of those 13, here are the avg ranking for each:

Colorado - 39
Virigina - 40 (high RPI but very low KenPom. They have 7 wins over Top 100, but 4 losses against 150+)
Kentucky - 42
LaSalle - 43
ISU - 47
Boise St - 47
Ole Miss - 48
Iowa - 53
Villanova - 56
Temple - 58
Maryland - 61
Tennessee - 62
Alabama - 65

As you can see, Iowa has the 8th highest avg ranking of this group. Not that that's the be all, end all, but it shows we are not as far out of the discussion as some would have you believe. Close out the regular season with a win against Nebby, win the 1st round BTT game and I think, barring a complete collapse/blowout in the 2nd round, we are in. Win that quarterfinal game and we are definitely in.

It's going to be a fun next 2 weeks, that's for sure!
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With Villanova and ISU winning last night over ranked teams, I think it's safe to say that they are both in.

Given that, we are probably down to 6 available spots for 11 teams. Those 11 are:
Colorado
Virginia
Kentucky
LaSalle
Boise St
Ole Miss
Iowa
Temple
Maryland
Tennessee
Alabama

So if you're wondering who to root against, I'd start with those other 10 teams.
 


SpiderRico said:
With Villanova and ISU winning last night over ranked teams, I think it's safe to say that they are both in.

Given that, we are probably down to 6 available spots for 11 teams. Those 11 are:
Colorado
Virginia
Kentucky
LaSalle
Boise St
Ole Miss
Iowa
Temple
Maryland
Tennessee
Alabama

So if you're wondering who to root against, I'd start with those other 10 teams.
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I think Villanova is safer than ISU. They are finished with the regular season and have more rpi top 50 wins.
We need teams that are IN to start losing too:St. Marys, Cinncinatti, San Diego St.
 




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