BTT Bracket Simulator
- Thread starter 99topdawg
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WindsorHawk
Well-Known Member
Illinois has won 3 of their last 4...includes a sweep of NW and the win at our place. Of course the loss was at home to PSU so you never know with Groce.
My projections have us as the 7 seed. But my gut tells me we are going to be the 8 or 9 seed. I think the Illinois sweep may cost us a tiebreaker.
My projections have us as the 7 seed. But my gut tells me we are going to be the 8 or 9 seed. I think the Illinois sweep may cost us a tiebreaker.
There are 3 teams that are better than the rest. Of those 3 teams, it really doesn't matter who we play. If we are the 8/9, we only have to play one of them to make the finals. If we are in the bottom of the bracket, we would have to play two of them to make the finals. That's one plus of the 8/9.
WindsorHawk
Well-Known Member
I honestly don't care which team we draw right now. And I can't begin to guess which team we would play in our Friday game...can't really figure out which team we will play on Thursday.
I can't imagine Rutgers making it to Friday...if they win Wednesday they almost certainly lose Thursday. But it won't shock me to see any of the other 13 teams still playing on Saturday. I think it's going to be a crazy, competitive and fun BTT.
Edit - I don't even care if we are the 7, 8 or 9 seed...other than I want to be 7 so we aren't playing at 11 a.m. Thursday and Friday.
I can't imagine Rutgers making it to Friday...if they win Wednesday they almost certainly lose Thursday. But it won't shock me to see any of the other 13 teams still playing on Saturday. I think it's going to be a crazy, competitive and fun BTT.
Edit - I don't even care if we are the 7, 8 or 9 seed...other than I want to be 7 so we aren't playing at 11 a.m. Thursday and Friday.
BrueCrew3
Well-Known Member
As long as Iowa doesn't have to play on Wednesday I'm comfortable. That means the Hawks finished in the middle of the pack and with this team that's a huge accomplishment. The B1G has shown that this year especially any of the middle teams can play with any of the top teams. With a break or two, those middle teams can even win.
1977Hawkeye
Well-Known Member
Agreed. Not sure if Iowa has what it takes to go the distance, but there are no elite teams in the conference this year.. So if anyone wants to do 4 games in 4 days, this is a good year to do it.
I forgot about time of day. I definitely don't wasn't the 8/9 game now.
I just ran it changing nothing but the outcome of the Minnesota game and we finished in a 4 or 5 way tie for 4th place and had the 5 seed. Then I changed the Wisconsin game to have us win out and we finished alone in 4th place. That's crazy if they just would have gotten that obvious call right, we would still be playing for a double bye with 2 games to go.
WindsorHawk
Well-Known Member
To
If we go 2-0 Michigan only has to lose 1...seems likely they will lose at least 1 of their 2 road games. Wisconsin has lost 3 out of 4 including 2 home games. And they play at MSU tomorrow. So we get the extra day of prep...like MD today. And we get them after what will likely be a very physical game.
If we go 1-1 then Michigan has to go 0-2. Michigan has won 5 out of 6. But their only 2 road wins are IN (tied 11th) and RUT (14th). So winning at NW (desperately needs a win) and NE (Senior Day) will not be easy.
If we go 2-0 Michigan only has to lose 1...seems likely they will lose at least 1 of their 2 road games. Wisconsin has lost 3 out of 4 including 2 home games. And they play at MSU tomorrow. So we get the extra day of prep...like MD today. And we get them after what will likely be a very physical game.
deanvogs
Well-Known Member
most likely scenario is Iowa goes 1-1 and finishes alone in 8th place. A lot of combo's where Iowa goes 1-1 and finishes tied for 7th place. As long as Iowa goes 1-1 (Ill, and Nebraska) can't finish in front of Iowa and a 7th place tie or 8th place finish is secure
Disaster scenario......Iowa goes 0-2 and Nebraska (2-1), or Ill (2-1), and Penn St. go 2-0 Iowa would finish tied for 9th place.
I won't even consider the possibility of beating Wisconsin at Wisconsin until that happens. If that happens, there are too many possibilities to consider, and it will be easy to figure then out after that game.
Disaster scenario......Iowa goes 0-2 and Nebraska (2-1), or Ill (2-1), and Penn St. go 2-0 Iowa would finish tied for 9th place.
I won't even consider the possibility of beating Wisconsin at Wisconsin until that happens. If that happens, there are too many possibilities to consider, and it will be easy to figure then out after that game.
WindsorHawk
Well-Known Member
Wisconsin has now lost 4 out of 5. They finish at home against MN so we aren't playing them on Senior Day. I believe they returned all 5 starters so I think it is possible they had little room to improve while most teams n the Big 10 are young and have improved as the season progressed. Also, Bo's disciplines, influence on the program, etc. will erode more and more over time. Is the current coach good or did he inherit some guys that Bo developed? This is a fair question IMO.
WindsorHawk
Well-Known Member
I simulated the rest of the season based on who has been playing well over the past 2 to 3 weeks. I ignored home court advantage since it doesn't seem to matter much lately. This is what I get.
PU 14-4
WI 12-6
MSU 11-7
MD 11-7
MN 11-7
MI 11-7
IA 10-8
IL 9-9
NW 9-9
PSU 7-11
OSU 7-11
NE 6-12
IN 6-12
RUT 2-16
Note - This assumes IL beats MSU...tough to call since both are playing pretty well.
PU 14-4
WI 12-6
MSU 11-7
MD 11-7
MN 11-7
MI 11-7
IA 10-8
IL 9-9
NW 9-9
PSU 7-11
OSU 7-11
NE 6-12
IN 6-12
RUT 2-16
Note - This assumes IL beats MSU...tough to call since both are playing pretty well.
SteveGarvey1
Well-Known Member
Had the right call been made we would had a 2 point lead, had the ball and probably would have gotten the ball in where one of our players would have been fouled. Probably would have been Jok, Jo Bo, or Ellingson, one of whom probably would have made at least one FT. We would have been up 3-4 pts. with maybe 17 seconds left and then who knows what would have happened. We probably would have won but not necessarily.
Odds weren't 100% but they were well over 90%.
If that plays out, we would have finished in a tie for 3rd for the third straight year if we would have beaten Minnesota.
