B1G Shift: Who Benefits from OSU's 'Demise'?

JonDMiller

Publisher/Founder
Jim Tressel's resignation from Ohio State on Monday was not a jaw dropping development into the ongoing state of affairs surrounding the Buckeye football program.

However, even though it wasn't a big surprise, it's still stunning.

The Buckeyes have been on a tear, winning the last six Big Ten football championships. Doing that in an era of scholarship limits is impressive, considering it hadn't been done in the previous era where scholarship limits did not apply.

The last time Ohio State wasn't in a BCS bowl game was following the 2004 season, the year the Hawks beat the Buckeyes in Kinnick, the year that ended with Tate to Holloway.

Now, 'The Vest' resigns amidst a great deal of controversy. He may have lied to the NCAA, he may have lied to the administration at Ohio State. The administration at Ohio State had better hope he lied to them, because the NCAA is going to be renting out some office space in Columbus as they dig deeper and deeper into allegations and/or appearances of significant improprieties related to several members of the football program.

Given Tressel's resignation and the consistent drum beat of more bad news on the near horizon (read this Sports Illustrated piece just released on Monday) in addition to the NCAA's recent penalties dished out to USC which were upheld this week, The Ohio State Buckeyes may be on the verge of a 'dark era' for their football program.

That could mean bowl bans, scholarship reductions or more. Sports Talk Provacatuer Skip Bayless suggests this could wind up being the biggest athletic program scandal since Southern Methodist University received the 'death penalty' in the 1980's.

I doubt we'll ever see another program get hit with that; SMU's football seasons were cancelled for the 1987 and 1988 seasons and they are still recovering from the fallout. Ohio State is also situated to rebound fairly quickly once NCAA penalties are meted out and completed, due to the amazing recruiting base they have in the state of Ohio.

Still, a few years of 7 to 8 wins will not sit well with the Buckeye faithful; since 1991, Ohio State has won at least eight games every year save two. Since 1967, they have won at least 66% of their games in all but seven seasons.

While we are still at the point where we are speculating on what sort of NCAA punishment will be coming down the pike, we know it's coming; one of the most successful coaches in Big Ten history (.827 winning percentage) does not just resign while in the midst of a six year title run. We could be looking at one of the stiffest penalties a Big Ten football program has received in my lifetime.

So if the Buckeyes are on the verge of heading south, for a least a while, who is going to benefit?

First, you have to look at the teams in their division. Penn State could benefit, but they have the Joe Paterno problem; as long as Paterno remains their coach, they have some recruiting hurdles to overcome and they just aren't consistent. They have the historical advantages, but at some point having a living legend as your head coach is also an obstacle.

Purdue is still a ways off...Indiana is starting over...Illinois is led by The Zooker.

That leaves Wisconsin. They have averaged nearly 10 wins per year over the past seven years. They don't have the recruiting advantages of an Ohio State or a Penn State, but they have been answering the bell more often than not and as much as it pains me to say this, they have lived up to expectations more than they have not in the past six or seven years.

If they can keep recruiting at a Top 25 level and keep implementing their power style effectively on offense, this is a program that could really benefit from Ohio State's impending dip.

In the Legends Division, Michigan is the team that I believe will benefit most from Ohio State's impending dip...first in head to head games, as The Vest owned the Wolverines with nine wins. But Michigan has always placed an emphasis in recruiting Ohio, and this could give them a boost in that regard. Nebraska head coach Bo Pelini is from Ohio and you know he is going to spend more time in his home state recruiting for the Huskers. Iowa has picked off a few Buckeye State gems over the years and may be able to do the same, but the water is going to be full of sharks.

The old saying goes something like 'nature abhors a vacuum'; nature does not like unfilled spaces and typically finds a way to fill them.

That will be the case in Big Ten football over the next five or so years; the Buckeyes are going to take a dip and some program is going to step in and fill that vacuum...the question worth watching is who will it be?
 
Hopefully OSU gets kicked out of the Big Ten so the conference has to come up with a new logo and stop referring to itself as "B1G". Cripes.
 
Mr. Miller, will you make a prediction as to what the NCAA penalties will be against Ohio State?

It's a somewhat blind guess because we don't know how far it goes, but something USC-like doesn't seem to be a reach right now...and given that USC 's issues were over improper benefits, and they got the hammer, you can say 'the whole world is watching'. Bad time for OSU to have this stuff.
 
I think the NCAA will come down with very harsh penalties on this program. Skip Bayless is right.

I have to admit, I'm a little ashamed to be a Big Ten fan right now. If Ohio State is cheating at this level, is it correct to assume that numerous other Big Ten schools are cheating in this way as well? If you cut through all the noise, what is really happening is that Ohio State and its boosters have created elaborate ways to compensate their best players and recruits.

One quote from the SI article is extremely telling: The author discloses that Pryor sold a lot of autographed equipment on numerous occasions. When challenged as to how he got his hands on the equipment, Pryor's response was that "they give me anything I want."

You can't tell me that the Ohio State athletic department didn't know what was going on.
 
No, I dont think that everyone is doing the things that are alleged to have taken place at Ohio State.

Columbus is a large city..one of the biggest in the Big Ten. Chicago is the biggest, but Northwestern is hardly Chicago's team and its not an NFL factory, and that's a pro sports town.

Nobody challenges the Buckeyes for top billing in Cbus, and again its one of the largest cities in the league. It's a unique set up that way, and while college football players are stars on most of the campuses in the league, it's a different pedestal at Ohio State...and there are so many people wanting access to these guys due to the volume of people involved...and you can hide a lot easier in a big town like that.

You can't hide stuff like that in small towns like Iowa City or Champaign.
 
I think you are right (at least I sure hope so).

Assuming you are correct, doesn't that unique set of facts give Ohio State a true unfair advantage? And as a consequence, doesn't the NCAA need to issue penalties that prevent Ohio State from ever allowing this to happen again?

I really believe that Ohio State has won the past 6 titles for one reason: They cheated at an unprecedented level.

Let me cite two examples: Does Iowa lose the last two games in 09 and 10 against Ohio State if Pryor had not played? My belief is that we win both of those games. Pryor's play as an ineligible player in 2009 cost Iowa the Rose Bowl. Pryor's play in 2010 cost Iowa a New Year's Day bowl. Remember, those where extremely close games. Pryor made huge plays in both games. How different would each of those seasons have been with a victory over Ohio State? Maybe I'm just bitter, but it doesn't seem right to me.

Is the message from all of this the following: To win a bunch of Big Ten titles and a national championship, is the game really all about paying players and hoping you don't get caught?

It really makes me mad, frankly. If you are right (and I believe you are), Ohio State plays under a different set of rules as compared to Iowa and the other Big Ten schools. That really stinks.

I also thought Delaney's statement was ridiculous, but what do you expect when he sees his golden goose on the NCAA chopping block?
 
OSU gets hurt worse than USC. The reason being that OSU is dealing with current players. These players will lose their eligibility, but OSU will still receive similar penalties as SC.

OSU could lose a dozen or more players this year and possibly 10 scholarships over the next couple of years. Plus, the NCAA could give this year's recruits the same get out of jail free option they gave USC's recruits.
 
It isn't just top billing Columbus Jon, it's top billing in Ohio. Even in Austin, there is so much other stuff going on, tons of other BCS level schools and oh yeah, The Cowboys.

That, and there is some serious eff you money walking around in Columbus.

They are the show, end. of. story.
 
Who benefits from this? It all depends on the NCAA and B10 sanctions. If they don't nut it up, this all goes for nothing. Bring the corruption down, and everyone benefits. This has been no secret...the cars, etc, etc, etc. This is the time for the NCAA to save a little face. Delaney has to step up also and maintain the integrity of the conference. Sorry OSU...you are the culprits and the message of the future to any program that has the itch. On this Memorial Day....Our year to bring down both tOSU and Bin Laden. Nice year!!!
 
OSU is off the docket for 2 years. But Iowa still needs to win its side of the bracket to get to the championship game. But not meeting OSU in the championship game will be good.

However, getting OSU in 2013 after OSU has lost up to 30 players in three years won't be bad either.
 
I fought the non-geographic divisional split by Delany all the way to the end. But they decided that they needed those big 4 programs split for balance. Now, with OSU's issues, you end up with a weakened PSU, a weakened OSU and Wisky vs the Legends having a rising Michigan,Neb.,Iowa and rising MSU....far tougher division.
Throwing Michigan and MSU into the Leaders with Wisky over in the legends would have evened it out a bit. Delany blew it on the divisional setup,and now it looks even worse.
Delany has a lot of egg on his face with the whole OSU fiasco. He supported Tressel when JT lied to him about the bowl deal,and he gave OSU the best deal with the divisions...and now JT has screwed him.

Wisky will have a clean shot at dominating the Leaders the next few years,with MSU/Mich/Neb/Iowa/NW fighting it out over in the Legends....nice job,Jimbo!
 
You are right about the alignments. Another problem with this set-up is that it could mean a weaker team ends up making the conference championships with more wins than a stronger team. If the stronger team then clobbers the weaker team, you can kiss the NC game goodbye.
 
You are right about the alignments. Another problem with this set-up is that it could mean a weaker team ends up making the conference championships with more wins than a stronger team. If the stronger team then clobbers the weaker team, you can kiss the NC game goodbye.
Remind you of the Big 12?
 
Iowa isn't hurt byt this one bit.

Iowa has to win against teams that they have no business losing against and we'll be fine.
 
Iowa isn't hurt byt this one bit.

Iowa has to win against teams that they have no business losing against and we'll be fine.

A weak OSU is a bad thing for Iowa for the next 2 years considering we don't play them and other opponents in our division do.

Iowa isn't "hurt" so to say, but our chances to win the division are.
 

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