All you need to know (or care about) vs AZ

STILLBUSTER

Well-Known Member
Haven't seen anyone mention this yet. (Don't know why this surprises me that people simply struggle to pay attention to anything beyond their own, unfounded self-chatter about what might happen or what should be of concern with regards to AZ.)

During ISU post game interview with Dolph, Dolph asked about AZ and (like so many have been doing whenever the word "Arizona" is mentioned) referenced the last trip to ASU not going so well. (Even though it is completely irrelevant because it was an entire recruiting class ago!)
KF's response: He admitted not adequately preparing for the night game / time change aspect during that trip. This time ... he has already been holding scrimmages at 9 pm at night to try to acclimate the team to a night schedule. If this is not enough to put this overblown fear to rest ... if you think he's addressing this, wouldn't it stand to reason that he's probably had Doyle / the training staff also boning up on different strategies to help the body adapt and perform in the desert heat, at night? (Although, to hear some of you describe it, it is going to be an impossible task to overcome the hell-like inferno that is Tucson, AZ at 7:30 pm in September.)

There you have it! KF and staff are diligently addressing the primary fear that has been lamented as thee #1 obstacle to a Hawkeye victory. If that's not good enough for you, how 'bout some common sense?

I've maintained all along that AZ has a very suspect defense (2 returning starters?) Even then, I still had some concerns that Iowa's young o-line might not allow the Hawks to maximize their skill position talents and exploit this weak defense. Again, anyone been paying attention the last 2 weeks?

While EIU and ISU are not going to be world beaters, I'm quite confident they are both going to be +500 ball teams. In other words, Iowa has not played a couple stiffs and, more importantly, the offense is about 100 light years ahead of where they were last year at this time in terms of deliberate, surgical execution. (Oh, yeah, about the same time they happened to dominate this same AZ team, with the same offense and a much more respectable defense! Remember, had Ricky not thrown a pick 6, Iowa won that game by 3 scores!)

Still, lets say that the offense is due for a little drop off -- Ricky's due for a pick and it's the first roadie. All things considered, isn't it reasonable to predict Iowa's offense, going against an indisputably weaker defense than last year, will match last season's score of 27 points? Now let me ask this ... do you honestly believe that Arizona's offense is going to hang 28 points on Iowa's defense?

AZ's offensive stats are eye-popping ... so are Iowa's defensive stats. Usually in this case, something is going to give; not just give ... collapse. The question is, do you honestly believe it's going to be Iowa's defense?

If you're still struggling with angst, go watch the result of a virtually identical scenario -- night game, different time zone, high-powered offense vs an outstanding defense -- last year's Orange bowl. (Is AZ better than Ga Tech?) Go ask Daryl Clark how those "revenge" matches (including a much more meaningful conference night game & hostile road environment) turned out. (Is AZ better than last year's Penn State?)

Iowa 29 - Arizona 21 (and that 21st point doesn't come for AZ until less than 2 minutes left in the 4th.)
 
I THINK Arizona is good, but I'm not sure what I can take away from their first two games.

At least Iowa has played a BCS opponent, although I'm not sure what to make of ISU at this point either.

I think we win by 10.

24-14 hawks
 
Az has a decent offense, but I wouldn't grade them as elite yet. They have a talented running back and Quarterback. If they stay healthy, they will win more games this year than last year.
Their defense is young and not as good as they were last year, while Iowa's offense is better than it was last year.
Iowa's defense should match up pretty well against their offense. Their offensive line lost a lot of experiance to graduation and next Saturday will be their first big test against a top defensive line.
 
I THINK Arizona is good, but I'm not sure what I can take away from their first two games.

At least Iowa has played a BCS opponent, although I'm not sure what to make of ISU at this point either.

I think we win by 10.

24-14 hawks

These are my thoughts. I don't know what to make of ISU. Are we good or are they bad?

I believe their offense is better than average, and I know our defense is good. OTOH, I also believe their defense, especially their D-line, is bad/terrible, so I don't know what to make of our O-line. We looked about as good as we can, but what does it mean?
 
ISU and EIU will not be .500. EIU got demolished again this week.

ditto.

EIU got demolished, and NIU beat a 1AA team by 6 points. Both teams will have poor records at the end of the year, as will the clowns. Clowns will struggle to win a b12 game, IMO.
 
I think Arizona can score 28 on anyone.

and ISU wont be +500 this year.

I think I can say confidently, no one in the country will score 28 points against the Hawks, certainly not AZ. Only 1 team did last year and the IA defense is better this year.
ISU may get to +.500 but we sure didn't allow them to look that way.
UncleHawk
 
Here's a little perspective for people:

Arizona stats '09 through first two games:

vs Central Michigan (high quality foe)

UA O
- chalked up 24 first downs
- had 448 total yards (202 yards passing)
- gave up 2 turnovers
- CAVEAT: Only put up 19 points (settled for 4 FGs)

UA D
- gave up 11 first downs (impressive given CMU's elite QB)
- gave up 184 total yards (108 yards passing ... again, very impressive defensive stat)
- recipient of 2 turnovers
- gave up only 6 points

vs Northern Arizona (pretty high quality FCS foe, usually pretty good passing attack)

UA O
- chalked up 27 first downs
- had 559 total yards (194 yards passing)
- gave up 2 turnovers
- Put up 34 points

UA D
- gave up 13 first downs
- gave up 226 total yards (159 yards passing)
- recipient of 2 turnovers
- gave up only 17 points

Arizona stats '10 through first two games:

vs Toledo (mediocre foe)

UA O
- chalked up 25 first downs
- had 518 total yards (413 yards passing)
- gave up 1 turnover
- Put up 41 points, gave away 2 points

UA D
- gave up 10 first downs
- gave up 183 total yards (103 yards passing)
- recipient of 2 turnovers
- gave up 0 points

vs Citadel (mediocre foe)

UA O
- chalked up 22 first downs
- had 489 total yards (275 yards passing)
- gave up 1 turnover
- Put up 52 points

UA D
- gave up 10 first downs
- gave up 171 total yards (21 yards passing) [Citadel is more of a spread option team]
- recipient of 3 turnovers
- gave up 6 points


BIG PICTURE OBSERVATIONS:
- In BOTH '09 and '10, UA has gained A TON of yardage. The primary contrast is that they seem better at finding the end-zone.
- Without question, UA played a much tougher schedule prior to the Iowa game in '09. The '09 CMU squad is much better than the '10 Toledo squad and the same is true when comparing Northern Arizona to Citadel.
- The circumstantial evidence seems to suggest that the '09 UA D was substantially better than the '10 UA D. While giving up nearly identical yardage, the '09 foes were simply tougher. Thus, in my estimation, that makes the '09 production more impressive. Due to the above fact, I also presume that this is why CMU and Northern Arizona were able to score more than the '10 foes. Of course, one could certainly argue that this is a knock on the '09 UA squad's scoring D.
- The 2010 foes scream out FINESSE to me (at least concerning their respective Os). Citadel's O was 1-dimensional by design. Not shockingly, UA's D was able to gut them.
- While everybody talks up how much better the 2010 UA offense is, I am really struck by how much yardage the '09 UA put up. The '09 UA O seemed to not have too much trouble moving the ball. Their primary problem seemed to be scoring. All the same, the Iowa D still dominated them and shut them down!
 
The Ferentz will have us ready to dominate. 31-10.

One thing to remark about UA's play at home ... they have lost at home by more than a score since 2006. Thus, they seem to do a really good job of competing well on their home turf. Just something to keep in mind ....
 
AZ has seven new starters on defense three of them linebackers! iowa's bend but not break defense will come into play between the 20's. the offense will eventually wear AZ down and start to pound the ball down their throats. all you need to do is to beat the opponents defense. in this case iowa has the upper hand! like jon replied last week, what are you worried about with iowa state? "Nothing, I am an Iowa fan!" GO Hawks!
 
At this point of the season it is hard to tell how good or bad most teams are, but one thing we have to go on is this. Both games the Hawks have vertually ended at the end of the first quarter. That was not the case last year. The only big wins took all 4 quarters to put up the points. If the offense has to go full strenght for 4 quarters I think it can do that. But that being said I need to see a comfortable win over a "good" team to feel confident.
 
Not sure why people keep talking about last time there.It was ASU that beat us not Arizona.Two different teams with different personnel.My prediction 31-10 IOWA,see you there,Sec 24 row 1.GO HAWKS
 
I think another thing that has been overlooked in the comparison to the ASU game vs next weeks game vs AZ is that there was an ungodly storm prior to the game which resulted in Iowa's locker room being flooded. I know that it may seem like a small thing but that would be a lot of distraction right before the game starts. Instead of preparing for the game the whole team had to relocate to another area, move equipment, get everything reorganized, etc. and then go out and play in a hostile environment. Is it any surprise that they came out flat?
 

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