ACC/B1G Challenge Thread

C

CHShawk

Well-Known Member
Note that with 12 games now, the tie-breaker goes to the conference that won the previous year which would be the B1G for this year.

Who ya got this year?

#15 Michigan (5 - 1) @ Virginia (5 - 1)
Northwestern (5 - 0) @ Georgia Tech (4 - 2)
Illinois (6 - 0) @ Maryland (3 - 2)
Miami (4 - 1) @ Purdue (6 - 1)
Clemson (3 - 2) @ Iowa (4 - 2)
#4 Duke (7 - 0) @ #2 Ohio State (6 - 0)
Penn State (5 - 2) @ Boston College (2 - 4)
Indiana (6 - 0) @ North Carolina State (5 - 1)
Florida State (5 - 2) @ Michigan State (4 - 2)
Virginia Tech (5 - 1) @ Minnesota (6 - 1)
Wake Forest (4 - 2) @ Nebraska (4 - 1)
#7 Wisconsin (6 - 0) @ #5 North Carolina (5 - 1)

Personally, I have the Big 10 winning 7 wins to 5 losses this year.
 
CHShawk said:
Note that with 12 games now, the tie-breaker goes to the conference that won the previous year which would be the B1G for this year.

Who ya got this year?

#15 Michigan (5 - 1) @ Virginia (5 - 1)
Northwestern (5 - 0) @ Georgia Tech (4 - 2)
Illinois (6 - 0) @ Maryland (3 - 2)
Miami (4 - 1) @ Purdue (6 - 1)
Clemson (3 - 2) @ Iowa (4 - 2)
#4 Duke (7 - 0) @ #2 Ohio State (6 - 0)
Penn State (5 - 2) @ Boston College (2 - 4)
Indiana (6 - 0) @ North Carolina State (5 - 1)
Florida State (5 - 2) @ Michigan State (4 - 2)
Virginia Tech (5 - 1) @ Minnesota (6 - 1)
Wake Forest (4 - 2) @ Nebraska (4 - 1)
#7 Wisconsin (6 - 0) @ #5 North Carolina (5 - 1)
Click to expand...
 
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Different mix than superfan, but I have the Big Ten 7-5 as well. Unfortunately, I don't believe we will be one of the seven.
 
CHShawk said:
Note that with 12 games now, the tie-breaker goes to the conference that won the previous year which would be the B1G for this year.

Who ya got this year?

#15 Michigan (5 - 1) @ Virginia (5 - 1)
Northwestern (5 - 0) @ Georgia Tech (4 - 2)
Illinois (6 - 0) @ Maryland (3 - 2)
Miami (4 - 1) @ Purdue (6 - 1)
Clemson (3 - 2) @ Iowa (4 - 2)
#4 Duke (7 - 0) @ #2 Ohio State (6 - 0)
Penn State (5 - 2) @ Boston College (2 - 4)
Indiana (6 - 0) @ North Carolina State (5 - 1)
Florida State (5 - 2) @ Michigan State (4 - 2)
Virginia Tech (5 - 1) @ Minnesota (6 - 1)
Wake Forest (4 - 2) @ Nebraska (4 - 1)
#7 Wisconsin (6 - 0) @ #5 North Carolina (5 - 1)

Personally, I have the Big 10 winning 7 wins to 5 losses this year.
Click to expand...
 
CHShawk said:
Yeah Iowa won that game 45 - 42. Iowa has lost its last five (going backwards) by 3 pts, 6 pts, 2 pts, 9 pts, and 4 pts.
Click to expand...

I forgot that was the score that game. NC State played some version of the Princeton offense and it was horrible.
 
Winners:
Michigan
Georgia Tech
Maryland
Purdue
Iowa
Ohio State
Boston College
NC State
Michigan State
Virginia Tech
Nebraska
Wisconsin
 
From KenPom on the Challenge: The 13th annual Big Ten/ACC Challenge gets underway this evening. Based on Monday’s ratings, here are the chances of the favored team winning each game…

Tuesday
Michigan at Virginia (62%)
Northwestern at Georgia Tech (52%)
Illinois (55%) at Maryland
Miami at Purdue (79%)
Clemson (55%) at Iowa
Duke at Ohio State (78%)

Wednesday
Penn State (62%) at Boston College
Indiana (53%) at N.C. State
Florida State at Michigan State (68%)
Virginia Tech at Minnesota (62%)
Wake Forest at Nebraska (86%)
Wisconsin (54%) at North Carolina

Obviously there are a few grains of salt to be taken here. Even if Harrison Barnes is less than 100%, UNC should be expected to beat Wisconsin. And Minnesota no longer has the services of Trevor Mbakwe, thus their chances against Virginia Tech may be closer to a toss-up.

Using the game probabilities listed, the following chart describes the likelihood of every possible scenario in the event. Keep in mind, for the first time in the history of the event, there are an even number of games scheduled*. This brings in the possibility of a tie.



This is not only a semi-useful analysis, but an instructive exercise in math! Even with the Big Ten favored in nine games based on the ratings, the most likely outcome is a 7-5 Big Ten victory due to many of the match-ups being close to coin flips.

Add up the numbers, and you get the following chances for each conference winning:

Big Ten: 68.9%
ACC: 13.5%
Tie: 17.5%

Even if we give UNC a 70% chance of winning and Virginia Tech a 50% chance of victory, The Big Ten’s win probability only drops to 61%. For the record, the Big Ten has a 0.18% chance of a skunk, while just two out of one million simulations resulted in a 12-0 ACC win.

The early power ratings have emphatically supported the Big Ten being the strongest conference in the country. The next two days will serve as a great indication whether this is realistic or not.
 
The most amazing thing I noticed is that 4 teams are ranked in the top 7...but only 5 teams ranked between the conferences overall. Yikes.

9-3 - BIG...hoping for the Hawks to hold serve at home...
 
ACC / B1G Challenge Thread

Anyone else watching any of the other games in anticipation for the Iowa game? Watching the final 5 minutes of the Maryland v Illinois battle and the MD fans are cracking me up. Bruce Webber keeps riding the refs and the study section had a very audible chant "Shut up Bruce" that lasted an entire Illinois possession. Definitely hope we have equally aggressive student exuberance tonight.
 
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Re: ACC / B1G Challenge Thread

It's Weber but no we won't have an intense crowd tonight, student section included.
So don't be disappointed.
 
Re: ACC / B1G Challenge Thread

For a moment I was Jedi mind tricked and wondering how in the hell I had missed Pearl getting the Maryland job...:eek:
 
Re: ACC / B1G Challenge Thread

HawkeyeShane said:
For a moment I was Jedi mind tricked and wondering how in the hell I had missed Pearl getting the Maryland job...:eek:
Click to expand...

The Terp student section apparantely wasn't happy with the hire... they are chanting for their own coach to shut up!!:eek:
 
Re: ACC / B1G Challenge Thread

ibahawkeye said:
The Terp student section apparantely wasn't happy with the hire... they are chanting for their own coach to shut up!!:eek:
Click to expand...

Haha...I'm not watching that game so I had no idea who the home team is! I figured if any fanbase was going to let Pearl have it as a visiting coach, it would definitely be the Illini! :p

Edit: And YES I really did miss the "MD fans" part of the post! :eek:
 
Re: ACC / B1G Challenge Thread

ibahawkeye said:
It's Weber but no we won't have an intense crowd tonight, student section included.
So don't be disappointed.
Click to expand...

Brutal.... another small crowd? We're on national television. How are we supposed to attract top athletes to Iowa without great facilities, coaching and crowds? A crazy crowd atmosphere will juice up the players and could potentially create a real home court advantage and sway a game or two.

Figure it out students!
 
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