I think Iowa has to win 8 more games to be confident of playing 2 NCAA games in Des Moines. Beating NW hurt us because we were supposed to win...by more.
So we have to win all of the games we’re supposed to win. Then I think we need 3 out of 4...MD, OSU, WI and Friday in BTT. There may be other scenarios. But IMO anything less than this is no more than 50-50.